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Morton vs Arbroath Prediction, H2H & Stats

Scotland: Championship · Regular Season - 3
Morton

Morton

10th in table
LLLLW
Full time
1:2
HT 0 - 1
Arbroath

Arbroath

8th in table
LLWLL
20' J. Bonnar
48' D. Black
54' H. Cochrane
62' G. Gillespie
90+5' L. Fairnie
90' T. O'Brien
Saturday, 22 August 2026
Cappielow Park, Greenock
R. Hardie

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
5Morton wins
2Draws
1Arbroath wins
2.5Goals per game
63%Both scored
63%Over 2.5
28 Mar 2026Championship Morton 2 - 1 Arbroath
23 Jan 2026Championship Arbroath 1 - 1 Morton
08 Nov 2025Championship Morton 1 - 0 Arbroath
20 Sep 2025Championship Arbroath 1 - 1 Morton
20 Apr 2024Championship Arbroath 1 - 2 Morton
27 Jan 2024Championship Morton 3 - 0 Arbroath
09 Dec 2023Championship Arbroath 1 - 2 Morton
26 Aug 2023Championship Morton 0 - 3 Arbroath

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Stenhousemuir 9711 12:4 +8 22 LWWWW
2 Raith Rovers 10622 15:6 +9 20 WWLDW
3 Partick 9531 10:3 +7 18 WWDLW
4 Livingston 10415 14:11 +3 13 LLWDW
5 Dunfermline 8341 7:5 +2 13 DWWDW
6 Inverness CT 10343 12:11 +1 13 LWWDW
7 Ayr Utd 10334 10:11 -1 12 DWLWL
8 Arbroath 10325 7:15 -8 11 LLWLL
9 Queen's Park 10217 6:16 -10 7 WLLLL
10 Morton 10118 7:18 -11 4 WLLLL

Recent form

1 W 1 D 8 L in the last 10
10 Oct 2026Championship Arbroath 1 - 2 Morton W
03 Oct 2026Championship Morton 1 - 2 Raith Rovers L
25 Sep 2026Championship Inverness CT 2 - 0 Morton L
19 Sep 2026Championship Morton 0 - 1 Dunfermline L
11 Sep 2026Championship Morton 1 - 4 Livingston L
05 Sep 2026Championship Queen's Park 2 - 1 Morton L
29 Aug 2026Championship Ayr Utd 1 - 1 Morton D
22 Aug 2026Championship Morton 1 - 2 Arbroath L
08 Aug 2026Championship Stenhousemuir 2 - 0 Morton L
01 Aug 2026Championship Morton 0 - 1 Partick L
3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
10 Oct 2026Championship Arbroath 1 - 2 Morton L
03 Oct 2026Championship Partick 3 - 0 Arbroath L
25 Sep 2026Championship Arbroath 2 - 1 Queen's Park W
19 Sep 2026Championship Stenhousemuir 1 - 0 Arbroath L
12 Sep 2026Championship Raith Rovers 4 - 0 Arbroath L
05 Sep 2026Championship Arbroath 1 - 1 Dunfermline D
29 Aug 2026Championship Arbroath 1 - 0 Livingston W
22 Aug 2026Championship Morton 1 - 2 Arbroath W
08 Aug 2026Championship Arbroath 0 - 0 Inverness CT D
01 Aug 2026Championship Ayr Utd 2 - 0 Arbroath L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Morton Draw Arbroath
Value spotted: Morton win at 3.26 (model 44% vs market 28%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.6%
1-0 11.5%
0-1 9%
2-1 8.8%
0-0 8.2%
2-0 8%

Expected goals: 1.4 Morton · 1.1 Arbroath

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams score50%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
0%
Form
100%
0%
Attack
0%
40%
Defence
60%
0%
Goal model
0%
85%
Head to head
15%
64%
Goals
36%
63%
Overall
37%

Season numbers

Championship 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
2
76-90'
1
Morton Arbroath

Side by side

Morton Arbroath
2 Played 2
0 Won 0
0 Drawn 1
2 Lost 1
0 Goals scored per game 0
1.5 Goals conceded per game 1
0 / 0 Scored per game (home / away) 0 / 0
0 Clean sheets 1
2 Failed to score 2
0 Longest winning run 0
- Biggest win -
0-1 Biggest defeat 2-0
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Morton vs Arbroath: preview and prediction

Morton host Arbroath in the Scotland Championship (Regular Season - 3) on Saturday, 22nd August 2026 at 15:00 at Cappielow Park, Greenock. Morton sit 10th in the table and Arbroath 8th.

Morton are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-L-L-W). Arbroath are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-L-L).

In the last 8 meetings, Morton won 5, Arbroath won 1 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 63% and over 2.5 goals in 63%.

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Morton and 1.1 for Arbroath. It gives Morton the edge (44% home win, 27% draw, 30% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away Win at odds of 2.11. We also like Under 2.5, BTTS No.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Morton vs Arbroath FAQs

What is the best prediction for Morton vs Arbroath?

Our top tip is Away Win: Away Win (2.11 odds).

Who will win Morton vs Arbroath?

Morton are favourites: our model gives Morton 44%, the draw 27% and Arbroath 30%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 50% chance in our model, and it happened in 63% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Morton vs Arbroath?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 22nd August 2026 at 15:00 at Cappielow Park, Greenock.

Who is the referee?

R. Hardie is in charge of this game.