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PSM Makassar vs Persebaya Surabaya Prediction, H2H & Stats

Indonesia: Liga 1 · Regular Season - 6
PSM Makassar

PSM Makassar

10th in table
DDLWW
Full time
1:0
HT 0 - 0
Persebaya Surabaya

Persebaya Surabaya

9th in table
WDWDL
16' R. Irianto
74' Y. Fernandes (Own Goal)
90+1' T. Firmansyah
90+3' A. Mannan
90+7' Ardiansyah
Thursday, 22 October 2026
Gelora BJ Habibie, Parepare City
B. Y. Nurcahya

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
2PSM Makassar wins
3Draws
4Persebaya Surabaya wins
1.6Goals per game
33%Both scored
22%Over 2.5
25 Feb 2026Liga 1 Persebaya Surabaya 1 - 0 PSM Makassar
06 Dec 2025Liga 1 PSM Makassar 1 - 1 Persebaya Surabaya
07 Mar 2025Liga 1 PSM Makassar 0 - 1 Persebaya Surabaya
23 Oct 2024Liga 1 Persebaya Surabaya 1 - 1 PSM Makassar
28 Feb 2024Liga 1 PSM Makassar 0 - 0 Persebaya Surabaya
18 Aug 2023Liga 1 Persebaya Surabaya 1 - 0 PSM Makassar
24 Feb 2023Liga 1 Persebaya Surabaya 0 - 1 PSM Makassar
10 Sep 2022Liga 1 PSM Makassar 3 - 0 Persebaya Surabaya
14 Jan 2022Liga 1 Persebaya Surabaya 2 - 1 PSM Makassar

Liga 1 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Persija 6501 15:5 +10 15 WLWWW
2 Dewa United 6420 12:6 +6 14 WDWWD
3 Persepam Madura Utd 6411 11:7 +4 13 WDLWW
4 Bali United 6402 19:7 +12 12 WLWLW
5 Persita 5320 11:8 +3 11 WWDWD
6 Bhayangkara FC 6240 11:8 +3 10 WDDWD
7 Persik Kediri 6312 7:4 +3 10 WLWDW
8 Persib Bandung 6312 9:7 +2 10 LWDWL
9 Persebaya Surabaya 6231 6:5 +1 9 LDWDW
10 PSM Makassar 6222 9:12 -3 8 WWLDD
11 Java United 7232 10:10 0 7 DDWWL
12 Arema FC 6132 12:14 -2 6 LLDDD
13 Pusamania Borneo 5203 4:6 -2 6 LWLWL
14 Garudayaksa 6123 6:12 -6 5 LWLDL
15 PSS Sleman 6114 9:11 -2 4 LDWLL
16 Isenmulang Kalteng 7124 3:12 -9 3 DDWLL
17 PSIM Yogyakarta 7025 3:11 -8 2 DLLLL
18 Persijap 7016 3:15 -12 1 DLLLL

Recent form

3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
22 Oct 2026Liga 1 PSM Makassar 1 - 0 Persebaya Surabaya W
16 Oct 2026Liga 1 PSIM Yogyakarta 1 - 2 PSM Makassar W
11 Oct 2026Liga 1 PSS Sleman 3 - 0 PSM Makassar L
19 Sep 2026Liga 1 PSM Makassar 2 - 2 Persita D
13 Sep 2026Liga 1 PSM Makassar 3 - 3 Arema FC D
06 Sep 2026Liga 1 Persib Bandung 3 - 1 PSM Makassar L
23 May 2026Liga 1 Persepam Madura Utd 2 - 0 PSM Makassar L
17 May 2026Liga 1 PSM Makassar 1 - 2 Persib Bandung L
09 May 2026Liga 1 Arema FC 3 - 0 PSM Makassar L
04 May 2026Liga 1 PSM Makassar 2 - 1 Bhayangkara FC W
5 W 4 D 1 L in the last 10
22 Oct 2026Liga 1 PSM Makassar 1 - 0 Persebaya Surabaya L
18 Oct 2026Liga 1 Persebaya Surabaya 2 - 2 PSS Sleman D
09 Oct 2026Liga 1 Isenmulang Kalteng 0 - 1 Persebaya Surabaya W
19 Sep 2026Liga 1 Persebaya Surabaya 1 - 1 Garudayaksa D
13 Sep 2026Liga 1 Persebaya Surabaya 1 - 0 PSIM Yogyakarta W
05 Sep 2026Liga 1 Bhayangkara FC 1 - 1 Persebaya Surabaya D
06 Aug 2026Piala Presiden Persib Bandung 1 - 1 Persebaya Surabaya D
04 Aug 2026Piala Presiden Persebaya Surabaya 1 - 0 Arema FC W
01 Aug 2026Piala Presiden Persebaya Surabaya 2 - 1 Port FC W
29 Jul 2026Piala Presiden Persebaya Surabaya 1 - 0 PSMS Medan W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
PSM Makassar Draw Persebaya Surabaya
Value spotted: PSM Makassar win at 3.32 (model 33% vs market 27%)

Most likely scores

1-1 10.2%
1-2 8.9%
2-1 7.6%
0-1 6.8%
2-2 6.7%
0-2 5.9%

Expected goals: 1.5 PSM Makassar · 1.75 Persebaya Surabaya

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Both teams score64%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
36%
Form
64%
57%
Attack
43%
25%
Defence
75%
24%
Goal model
76%
25%
Head to head
75%
33%
Goals
67%
33%
Overall
66%

Season numbers

Liga 1 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
2
1
46-60'
0
3
61-75'
0
2
76-90'
3
0
0-15'
1
2
16-30'
0
2
31-45'
0
2
46-60'
1
2
61-75'
1
4
76-90'
1
PSM Makassar Persebaya Surabaya

Side by side

PSM Makassar Persebaya Surabaya
5 Played 5
1 Won 2
2 Drawn 3
2 Lost 0
1.6 Goals scored per game 1.2
2.4 Goals conceded per game 0.8
2.5 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 1.3 / 1
0 Clean sheets 2
1 Failed to score 0
0 Longest winning run 1
1-2 Biggest win 1-0
3-0 Biggest defeat -
1/1 Penalties scored 1/1

PSM Makassar vs Persebaya Surabaya: preview and prediction

PSM Makassar host Persebaya Surabaya in the Indonesia Liga 1 (Regular Season - 6) on Thursday, 22nd October 2026 at 09:30 at Gelora BJ Habibie, Parepare City. PSM Makassar sit 10th in the table and Persebaya Surabaya 9th.

PSM Makassar have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-D-L-W-W). Persebaya Surabaya have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-W-D-L).

In the last 9 meetings, PSM Makassar won 2, Persebaya Surabaya won 4 and 3 ended level. These games average 1.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% and over 2.5 goals in 22%.

Our goal model expects about 1.5 goals for PSM Makassar and 1.75 for Persebaya Surabaya. It gives Persebaya Surabaya the edge (33% home win, 23% draw, 44% away win), 63% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Draw at odds of 3.22.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

PSM Makassar vs Persebaya Surabaya FAQs

What is the best prediction for PSM Makassar vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Our top tip is Draw: Draw (3.22 odds).

Who will win PSM Makassar vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Persebaya Surabaya are favourites: our model gives PSM Makassar 33%, the draw 23% and Persebaya Surabaya 44%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 64% chance in our model, and it happened in 33% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.3 goals in total, with a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is PSM Makassar vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 22nd October 2026 at 09:30 at Gelora BJ Habibie, Parepare City.

Who is the referee?

B. Y. Nurcahya is in charge of this game.