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Pontevedra vs Mérida AD Prediction, H2H & Stats

Spain: Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Group 1 - 7
Pontevedra

Pontevedra

7th in table
LWWLD
Full time
1:2
HT 0 - 1
Mérida AD

Mérida AD

12th in table
WWWDL
16' I. Ivorra
34' H. Carrillo
45' S. El Ftouhi
52' Barbu
64' R. Beneit
77' J. Areso
82' S. Hallsson
90' P. Gaye
90+5' M. Solar
90' P. Gaye
Sunday, 11 October 2026
Pontevedra
N. Holgueras Castellanos

Head to head

Last 4 meetings
4games
0Pontevedra wins
2Draws
2Mérida AD wins
3Goals per game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
23 Jan 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Mérida AD 1 - 1 Pontevedra
15 Nov 2025Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Pontevedra 1 - 1 Mérida AD
15 Apr 2023Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Pontevedra 1 - 5 Mérida AD
01 Oct 2022Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Mérida AD 2 - 0 Pontevedra

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Lugo 10811 18:9 +9 25 WLWWW
2 UD Logroñés 10622 20:13 +7 20 LWDLW
3 Mirandes 10523 13:10 +3 17 WWLDL
4 Racing Ferrol 10523 9:7 +2 17 DLWWW
5 Extremadura 1924 10514 19:10 +9 16 WWDWW
6 Athletic Club II 10433 17:13 +4 15 WLLDL
7 Pontevedra 10433 12:11 +1 15 DWWLL
8 Cacereño 10433 9:8 +1 15 LWLDL
9 Real Avilés 10424 18:13 +5 14 WLWWL
10 Ponferradina 10352 6:6 0 14 DDDLW
11 Real Unión 10343 19:17 +2 13 LWDDD
12 Mérida AD 10415 16:14 +2 13 LDWWW
13 Cultural Leonesa 10334 10:10 0 12 LLDWL
14 Zamora 10334 11:12 -1 12 LLDDW
15 Barakaldo 10253 8:10 -2 11 DDWLD
16 Deportivo La Coruña II 10325 11:17 -6 11 WLLLL
17 Unionistas de Salamanca 10316 12:18 -6 10 LWLDW
18 CD Coria 10235 12:17 -5 9 LDWLL
19 UD Ourense 10226 4:15 -11 8 WLLWD
20 Arenas Getxo 10226 8:22 -14 8 WWLLD

Recent form

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Barakaldo 0 - 0 Pontevedra D
27 Oct 2026Copa del Rey Arosa 2 - 0 Pontevedra L
24 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Cultural Leonesa 1 - 2 Pontevedra W
18 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Pontevedra 1 - 0 Cacereño W
11 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Pontevedra 1 - 2 Mérida AD L
03 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Racing Ferrol 2 - 0 Pontevedra L
27 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Pontevedra 1 - 1 Ponferradina D
18 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 UD Logroñés 1 - 1 Pontevedra D
12 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Pontevedra 1 - 3 Athletic Club II L
05 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Pontevedra 4 - 1 Arenas Getxo W
4 W 1 D 5 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Lugo 2 - 1 Mérida AD L
25 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Mérida AD 0 - 0 CD Coria D
18 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Arenas Getxo 0 - 4 Mérida AD W
11 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Pontevedra 1 - 2 Mérida AD W
04 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Mérida AD 2 - 0 Cacereño W
27 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Mérida AD 3 - 5 UD Logroñés L
19 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Ponferradina 1 - 0 Mérida AD L
12 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Mérida AD 3 - 4 Mirandes L
06 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Cultural Leonesa 1 - 0 Mérida AD L
29 Aug 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Mérida AD 1 - 0 Deportivo La Coruña II W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Pontevedra Draw Mérida AD
Value spotted: Mérida AD win at 3.28 (model 41% vs market 28%)

Most likely scores

1-1 10.6%
1-2 8.7%
2-1 8%
0-1 7.1%
2-2 6.6%
1-0 6.4%

Expected goals: 1.5 Pontevedra · 1.65 Mérida AD

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Over 3.5 goals39%
Both teams score63%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
63%
Form
38%
47%
Attack
53%
58%
Defence
42%
100%
Goal model
0%
20%
Head to head
80%
25%
Goals
75%
42%
Overall
57%

Season numbers

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
1
3
46-60'
1
2
61-75'
3
2
76-90'
2
0
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
1
3
31-45'
3
0
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
1
3
76-90'
4
Pontevedra Mérida AD

Side by side

Pontevedra Mérida AD
6 Played 6
2 Won 2
2 Drawn 0
2 Lost 4
1.3 Goals scored per game 1.5
1.3 Goals conceded per game 1.8
2 / 0.7 Scored per game (home / away) 2.3 / 0
1 Clean sheets 2
1 Failed to score 2
2 Longest winning run 1
4-1 Biggest win 2-0
1-3 Biggest defeat 3-5
1/1 Penalties scored 0/0

Pontevedra vs Mérida AD: preview and prediction

Pontevedra host Mérida AD in the Spain Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (Group 1 - 7) on Sunday, 11th October 2026 at 15:30 at Pontevedra. Pontevedra sit 7th in the table and Mérida AD 12th.

Pontevedra have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-W-L-D). Mérida AD are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-W-D-L).

In the last 4 meetings, Pontevedra won 0, Mérida AD won 2 and 2 ended level. These games average 3 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% and over 2.5 goals in 25%.

Our goal model expects about 1.5 goals for Pontevedra and 1.65 for Mérida AD. It gives Mérida AD the edge (35% home win, 24% draw, 41% away win), 61% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.25. We also like Over 1.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Pontevedra vs Mérida AD FAQs

What is the best prediction for Pontevedra vs Mérida AD?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.25 odds).

Who will win Pontevedra vs Mérida AD?

Mérida AD are favourites: our model gives Pontevedra 35%, the draw 24% and Mérida AD 41%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 63% chance in our model, and it happened in 75% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.2 goals in total, with a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Pontevedra vs Mérida AD?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 11th October 2026 at 15:30 at Pontevedra.

Who is the referee?

N. Holgueras Castellanos is in charge of this game.