Ponferradina vs Real Avilés Prediction, H2H & Stats

Spain: Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Group 1 - 7
Ponferradina

Ponferradina

10th in table
LDDDD
Full time
0:2
HT 0 - 0
Real Avilés

Real Avilés

9th in table
LWWLW
8' M. Artetxe
29' C. Montes
33' D. Andujar
44' Neskes
45+4' A. Jelbat
52' B. Valle
67' A. Santamaria (Penalty)
84' J. Mahicas
86' C. Calderon
90' M. Artetxe
90' M. Artetxe
Sunday, 11 October 2026
Ponferrada
J. Figueiredo Comesana

Head to head

Last 4 meetings
4games
2Ponferradina wins
2Draws
0Real Avilés wins
2.3Goals per game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
01 Aug 2026Friendlies Clubs Ponferradina 1 - 1 Real Avilés
09 May 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Ponferradina 3 - 1 Real Avilés
31 Aug 2025Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Real Avilés 0 - 3 Ponferradina
02 Aug 2023Friendlies Clubs Real Avilés 0 - 0 Ponferradina

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Lugo 10811 18:9 +9 25 WLWWW
2 UD Logroñés 10622 20:13 +7 20 LWDLW
3 Mirandes 10523 13:10 +3 17 WWLDL
4 Racing Ferrol 10523 9:7 +2 17 DLWWW
5 Extremadura 1924 10514 19:10 +9 16 WWDWW
6 Athletic Club II 10433 17:13 +4 15 WLLDL
7 Pontevedra 10433 12:11 +1 15 DWWLL
8 Cacereño 10433 9:8 +1 15 LWLDL
9 Real Avilés 10424 18:13 +5 14 WLWWL
10 Ponferradina 10352 6:6 0 14 DDDLW
11 Real Unión 10343 19:17 +2 13 LWDDD
12 Mérida AD 10415 16:14 +2 13 LDWWW
13 Cultural Leonesa 10334 10:10 0 12 LLDWL
14 Zamora 10334 11:12 -1 12 LLDDW
15 Barakaldo 10253 8:10 -2 11 DDWLD
16 Deportivo La Coruña II 10325 11:17 -6 11 WLLLL
17 Unionistas de Salamanca 10316 12:18 -6 10 LWLDW
18 CD Coria 10235 12:17 -5 9 LDWLL
19 UD Ourense 10226 4:15 -11 8 WLLWD
20 Arenas Getxo 10226 8:22 -14 8 WWLLD

Recent form

2 W 6 D 2 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Racing Ferrol 0 - 0 Ponferradina D
27 Oct 2026Copa del Rey Llanera 1 - 1 Ponferradina D
24 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Ponferradina 0 - 0 Barakaldo D
17 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Zamora 1 - 1 Ponferradina D
11 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Ponferradina 0 - 2 Real Avilés L
04 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Ponferradina 1 - 0 Mirandes W
27 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Pontevedra 1 - 1 Ponferradina D
19 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Ponferradina 1 - 0 Mérida AD W
13 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Deportivo La Coruña II 2 - 1 Ponferradina L
04 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Ponferradina 0 - 0 Lugo D
4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Real Unión 0 - 3 Real Avilés W
24 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Real Avilés 1 - 3 UD Logroñés L
18 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Real Avilés 3 - 0 UD Ourense W
11 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Ponferradina 0 - 2 Real Avilés W
02 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Real Avilés 1 - 2 Lugo L
27 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Barakaldo 3 - 3 Real Avilés D
19 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 CD Coria 1 - 1 Real Avilés D
12 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Real Avilés 3 - 1 Unionistas de Salamanca W
06 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Athletic Club II 2 - 1 Real Avilés L
28 Aug 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Real Avilés 0 - 1 Pontevedra L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Ponferradina Draw Real Avilés
Value spotted: Real Avilés win at 4.30 (model 32% vs market 21%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.7%
1-0 11.1%
0-1 9.4%
2-1 8.6%
0-0 8.2%
2-0 7.5%

Expected goals: 1.35 Ponferradina · 1.15 Real Avilés

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams score51%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
62%
Form
38%
31%
Attack
69%
75%
Defence
25%
100%
Goal model
0%
80%
Head to head
20%
78%
Goals
22%
65%
Overall
34%

Season numbers

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
3
0
46-60'
2
0
61-75'
2
1
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
2
2
61-75'
3
0
76-90'
3
Ponferradina Real Avilés

Side by side

Ponferradina Real Avilés
6 Played 6
3 Won 1
2 Drawn 2
1 Lost 3
0.8 Goals scored per game 1.5
0.5 Goals conceded per game 1.7
0.7 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 1.3 / 1.7
4 Clean sheets 0
1 Failed to score 1
1 Longest winning run 1
1-0 Biggest win 3-1
2-1 Biggest defeat 1-2
1/1 Penalties scored 0/0

Ponferradina vs Real Avilés: preview and prediction

Ponferradina host Real Avilés in the Spain Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (Group 1 - 7) on Sunday, 11th October 2026 at 15:30 at Ponferrada. Ponferradina sit 10th in the table and Real Avilés 9th.

Ponferradina are still looking for a win, with 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-D-D-D-D). Real Avilés are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-W-L-W).

In the last 4 meetings, Ponferradina won 2, Real Avilés won 0 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 50%.

Our goal model expects about 1.35 goals for Ponferradina and 1.15 for Real Avilés. It gives Ponferradina the edge (41% home win, 27% draw, 32% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Under 2.5 at odds of 1.66.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Ponferradina vs Real Avilés FAQs

What is the best prediction for Ponferradina vs Real Avilés?

Our top tip is Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5 (1.66 odds).

Who will win Ponferradina vs Real Avilés?

Ponferradina are favourites: our model gives Ponferradina 41%, the draw 27% and Real Avilés 32%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 51% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Ponferradina vs Real Avilés?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 11th October 2026 at 15:30 at Ponferrada.

Who is the referee?

J. Figueiredo Comesana is in charge of this game.