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Penybont vs Barry Town Prediction, H2H & Stats

Wales: Premier League · Regular Season - 13
Penybont

Penybont

3rd in table
WWLWW
Full time
3:1
HT 2 - 1
Barry Town

Barry Town

6th in table
LLWLW
12' J. Lester
18' E. Cann
39' T. Walker (Penalty)
53' E. Cann
80' D. Barton
Friday, 9 October 2026
Bryntirion Park, Bridgend
C. Charlton-Fleming

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
3Penybont wins
3Draws
3Barry Town wins
3Goals per game
67%Both scored
56%Over 2.5
03 Apr 2026Premier League Penybont 0 - 2 Barry Town
03 Mar 2026Premier League Barry Town 1 - 0 Penybont
09 Dec 2025Premier League Penybont 1 - 1 Barry Town
22 Aug 2025Premier League Barry Town 2 - 3 Penybont
26 Dec 2024Premier League Barry Town 1 - 2 Penybont
22 Oct 2024League Cup Barry Town 3 - 2 Penybont
04 Oct 2024Premier League Penybont 4 - 1 Barry Town
29 Mar 2024Premier League Barry Town 0 - 0 Penybont
10 Feb 2024Premier League Penybont 2 - 2 Barry Town

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 The New Saints 131210 44:6 +38 37 WWWWW
2 GAP Connah S Quay FC 131012 30:9 +21 31 WWWWW
3 Penybont 13931 25:11 +14 30 WLWWW
4 Caernarfon Town 13823 37:15 +22 26 WLDWD
5 Colwyn Bay 13814 22:15 +7 25 WLWWW
6 Barry Town 13814 28:23 +5 25 LWLLD
7 Cardiff MET 13634 24:16 +8 21 LWWDL
8 Airbus UK 13706 25:18 +7 21 WWLWL
9 Cambrian & Clydach 13535 21:33 -12 18 LLWLW
10 Llandudno 13517 22:23 -1 16 LLLLD
11 Briton Ferry 13337 12:22 -10 12 LWDDL
12 Haverfordwest County AFC 13319 8:19 -11 10 LLLLW
13 Ammanford AFC 13238 10:32 -22 9 WWLLD
14 Flint Town United 13229 12:25 -13 8 LWWLL
15 Trefelin 13139 8:31 -23 6 WLLDL
16 Holywell 130211 14:44 -30 2 LLDLL

Recent form

7 W 2 D 1 L in the last 10
18 Oct 2026Welsh Cup Afan Lido 2 - 3 Penybont W
09 Oct 2026Premier League Penybont 3 - 1 Barry Town W
03 Oct 2026Premier League GAP Connah S Quay FC 1 - 0 Penybont L
26 Sep 2026Premier League Penybont 2 - 1 Airbus UK W
18 Sep 2026Premier League Ammanford AFC 1 - 5 Penybont W
15 Sep 2026Premier League Penybont 3 - 2 Briton Ferry W
11 Sep 2026Premier League Trefelin 0 - 1 Penybont W
05 Sep 2026Premier League Penybont 1 - 0 Colwyn Bay W
31 Aug 2026Premier League Cambrian & Clydach 2 - 2 Penybont D
28 Aug 2026Premier League Penybont 1 - 1 Flint Town United D
5 W 1 D 4 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026Welsh Cup Barry Town 2 - 0 Tredegar Town W
09 Oct 2026Premier League Penybont 3 - 1 Barry Town L
03 Oct 2026Premier League Caernarfon Town 0 - 1 Barry Town W
26 Sep 2026Premier League Barry Town 1 - 4 GAP Connah S Quay FC L
18 Sep 2026Premier League Colwyn Bay 5 - 2 Barry Town L
15 Sep 2026Premier League Barry Town 2 - 2 Ammanford AFC D
11 Sep 2026Premier League Barry Town 4 - 1 Llandudno W
05 Sep 2026Premier League The New Saints 1 - 0 Barry Town L
31 Aug 2026Premier League Briton Ferry 1 - 4 Barry Town W
28 Aug 2026Premier League Barry Town 4 - 2 Airbus UK W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Penybont Draw Barry Town
Value spotted: Barry Town win at 3.84 (model 36% vs market 24%)

Most likely scores

1-1 10.8%
2-1 8.6%
1-2 8.1%
1-0 7.2%
0-1 6.8%
2-2 6.5%

Expected goals: 1.6 Penybont · 1.5 Barry Town

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Over 3.5 goals37%
Both teams score62%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
63%
Form
37%
52%
Attack
48%
71%
Defence
29%
52%
Goal model
48%
50%
Head to head
50%
46%
Goals
54%
55%
Overall
44%

Season numbers

Premier League 2026

When the goals come

3
0-15'
4
3
16-30'
4
10
31-45'
3
2
46-60'
4
1
61-75'
7
4
76-90'
5
2
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
4
1
31-45'
2
0
46-60'
4
1
61-75'
6
5
76-90'
3
Penybont Barry Town

Side by side

Penybont Barry Town
12 Played 12
8 Won 8
3 Drawn 1
1 Lost 3
1.8 Goals scored per game 2.3
0.8 Goals conceded per game 1.7
1.5 / 2.2 Scored per game (home / away) 2.3 / 2.2
4 Clean sheets 2
2 Failed to score 1
5 Longest winning run 6
3-2 Biggest win 4-1
1-0 Biggest defeat 1-4
1/3 Penalties scored 2/3

Penybont vs Barry Town: preview and prediction

Penybont host Barry Town in the Wales Premier League (Regular Season - 13) on Friday, 9th October 2026 at 19:45 at Bryntirion Park, Bridgend. Penybont sit 3rd in the table and Barry Town 6th.

Penybont are flying, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-L-W-W). Barry Town are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-L-W).

In the last 9 meetings, Penybont won 3, Barry Town won 3 and 3 ended level. These games average 3 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 goals in 56%.

Our goal model expects about 1.6 goals for Penybont and 1.5 for Barry Town. It gives Penybont the edge (40% home win, 24% draw, 36% away win), 60% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home Win at odds of 1.78.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Penybont vs Barry Town FAQs

What is the best prediction for Penybont vs Barry Town?

Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (1.78 odds).

Who will win Penybont vs Barry Town?

Penybont are favourites: our model gives Penybont 40%, the draw 24% and Barry Town 36%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 62% chance in our model, and it happened in 67% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.1 goals in total, with a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Penybont vs Barry Town?

Kick-off is on Friday, 9th October 2026 at 19:45 at Bryntirion Park, Bridgend.

Who is the referee?

C. Charlton-Fleming is in charge of this game.