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Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction, H2H & Stats

France: Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 34
Paris FC

Paris FC

11th in table
WLWLW
Full time
2:1
HT 0 - 0
Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain

1st in table
WWWWW
50' B. Barcola
76' A. Gory
90+4' Alimami Gory
90+1' Maxime López
90' A. Gory
Sunday, 17 May 2026
Stade Jean Bouin, Paris
G. Paradis

Head to head

Last 3 meetings
3games
1Paris FC wins
0Draws
2Paris Saint Germain wins
2.3Goals per game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
12 Jan 2026Coupe de France Paris Saint Germain 0 - 1 Paris FC
04 Jan 2026Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain 2 - 1 Paris FC
16 Dec 2022Friendlies Clubs Paris Saint Germain 2 - 1 Paris FC

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 74:29 +45 76 LWWDW
2 Lens 342248 66:35 +31 70 WLWDD
3 Lille 341879 52:37 +15 61 LWDWD
4 Lyon 3418610 53:40 +13 60 LLWWW
5 Marseille 3418511 63:45 +18 59 WWLDL
6 Rennes 341789 59:50 +9 59 LWLWW
7 Monaco 3416612 60:54 +6 54 LLWDD
8 Strasbourg 3415811 58:47 +11 53 WWDLW
9 Lorient 34111211 48:51 -3 45 LWDLW
10 Toulouse 3312813 47:46 +1 44 WWDLL
11 Paris FC 34111112 47:50 -3 44 WLWLW
12 Stade Brestois 29 3410915 43:55 -12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers 349916 29:48 -19 36 DDLLD
14 Le Havre 3471413 32:44 -12 35 WLDDD
15 Auxerre 3481016 34:44 -10 34 WWWLD
16 Nice 3471116 37:60 -23 32 WDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 29:52 -23 23 LWLLD
18 Metz 343823 32:76 -44 17 DLLDL

Top scorers

Ligue 1
1 E. LepaulRennes 21goals 5assists 34apps
2 M. GreenwoodMarseille 16goals 7assists 32apps
3 J. PanichelliStrasbourg 16goals 1assists 27apps
4 F. BalogunMonaco 13goals 4assists 30apps
5 O. ÉdouardLens 12goals 3assists 29apps
6 W. SaïdLens 12goals 2assists 29apps
7 L. SinayokoAuxerre 12goals 4assists 32apps
8 P. ŠulcLyon 11goals 3assists 27apps
9 B. BarcolaParis Saint Germain 11goals 1assists 29apps
10 F. ThauvinLens 11goals 6assists 33apps

Recent form

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Ligue 1 Paris FC 3 - 1 Monaco W
24 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Lens 2 - 1 Paris FC L
18 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Paris FC 4 - 3 Rennes W
10 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Lorient 1 - 0 Paris FC L
19 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Paris FC 2 - 1 Strasbourg W
12 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Paris FC 0 - 0 Lyon D
06 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 2 - 3 Paris FC W
30 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Paris FC 3 - 0 Nice W
22 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Estac Troyes 0 - 0 Paris FC D
15 Aug 2026Friendlies Clubs Angers 3 - 2 Paris FC L
10 W 0 D 0 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026UEFA Champions League Villarreal 0 - 6 Paris Saint Germain W
30 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Le Havre 1 - 5 Paris Saint Germain W
26 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain 2 - 0 Lyon W
20 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Paris Saint Germain 4 - 2 Barcelona W
17 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Strasbourg 1 - 3 Paris Saint Germain W
14 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Manchester City 2 - 4 Paris Saint Germain W
10 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain 3 - 1 Le Mans W
20 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 1 - 2 Paris Saint Germain W
13 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Stade Brestois 29 0 - 1 Paris Saint Germain W
09 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League Paris Saint Germain 6 - 1 Slovan Bratislava W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Paris FC Draw Paris Saint Germain
Value spotted: Paris FC win at 5.13 (model 27% vs market 19%)

Most likely scores

1-1 10.7%
1-2 9.6%
0-1 8.5%
0-2 7.7%
2-1 6.7%
2-2 6%

Expected goals: 1.25 Paris FC · 1.8 Paris Saint Germain

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals36%
Both teams score60%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
41%
Form
59%
52%
Attack
48%
29%
Defence
71%
27%
Goal model
73%
33%
Head to head
67%
43%
Goals
57%
37%
Overall
62%

Season numbers

Ligue 1 2025

When the goals come

7
0-15'
12
9
16-30'
7
4
31-45'
15
5
46-60'
10
8
61-75'
11
12
76-90'
18
3
0-15'
2
9
16-30'
6
10
31-45'
4
9
46-60'
5
5
61-75'
4
13
76-90'
6
Paris FC Paris Saint Germain

Side by side

Paris FC Paris Saint Germain
33 Played 33
10 Won 24
11 Drawn 4
12 Lost 5
1.4 Goals scored per game 2.2
1.5 Goals conceded per game 0.8
1.6 / 1.1 Scored per game (home / away) 2.4 / 2
8 Clean sheets 18
9 Failed to score 2
2 Longest winning run 7
4-0 Biggest win 5-0
0-5 Biggest defeat 1-3
5/5 Penalties scored 5/5

Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain: preview and prediction

Paris FC host Paris Saint Germain in the France Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 34) on Sunday, 17th May 2026 at 20:00 at Stade Jean Bouin, Paris. Paris FC sit 11th in the table and Paris Saint Germain 1st.

Paris FC are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-W-L-W). Paris Saint Germain are flying, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-W-W-W).

In the last 3 meetings, Paris FC won 1, Paris Saint Germain won 2 and 0 ended level. These games average 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 goals in 67%.

Our goal model expects about 1.25 goals for Paris FC and 1.8 for Paris Saint Germain. It gives Paris Saint Germain the edge (27% home win, 23% draw, 50% away win), 59% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.20.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain FAQs

What is the best prediction for Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.20 odds).

Who will win Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain?

Paris Saint Germain are favourites: our model gives Paris FC 27%, the draw 23% and Paris Saint Germain 50%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 60% chance in our model, and it happened in 67% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.1 goals in total, with a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 17th May 2026 at 20:00 at Stade Jean Bouin, Paris.

Who is the referee?

G. Paradis is in charge of this game.