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Marseille vs Rennes Prediction, H2H & Stats

France: Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 34
Marseille

Marseille

5th in table
LLLWL
Full time
3:1
HT 2 - 0
Rennes

Rennes

6th in table
DLLWW
2' P. Hojbjerg
10' A. Gouiri
49' Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
55' P. Aubameyang
76' Amine Gouiri
79' Mahdi Camara
84' E. Lepaul
90+5' Benjamin Pavard
Sunday, 17 May 2026
Orange Vélodrome, Marseille
R. Buquet

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
5Marseille wins
1Draws
2Rennes wins
2.5Goals per game
38%Both scored
38%Over 2.5
03 Feb 2026Coupe de France Marseille 3 - 0 Rennes
15 Aug 2025Ligue 1 Rennes 1 - 0 Marseille
17 May 2025Ligue 1 Marseille 4 - 2 Rennes
11 Jan 2025Ligue 1 Rennes 1 - 2 Marseille
17 Mar 2024Ligue 1 Rennes 2 - 0 Marseille
21 Jan 2024Coupe de France Rennes 1 - 1 Marseille
03 Dec 2023Ligue 1 Marseille 2 - 0 Rennes
05 Mar 2023Ligue 1 Rennes 0 - 1 Marseille

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 74:29 +45 76 LWWDW
2 Lens 342248 66:35 +31 70 WLWDD
3 Lille 341879 52:37 +15 61 LWDWD
4 Lyon 3418610 53:40 +13 60 LLWWW
5 Marseille 3418511 63:45 +18 59 WWLDL
6 Rennes 341789 59:50 +9 59 LWLWW
7 Monaco 3416612 60:54 +6 54 LLWDD
8 Strasbourg 3415811 58:47 +11 53 WWDLW
9 Lorient 34111211 48:51 -3 45 LWDLW
10 Toulouse 3312813 47:46 +1 44 WWDLL
11 Paris FC 34111112 47:50 -3 44 WLWLW
12 Stade Brestois 29 3410915 43:55 -12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers 349916 29:48 -19 36 DDLLD
14 Le Havre 3471413 32:44 -12 35 WLDDD
15 Auxerre 3481016 34:44 -10 34 WWWLD
16 Nice 3471116 37:60 -23 32 WDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 29:52 -23 23 LWLLD
18 Metz 343823 32:76 -44 17 DLLDL

Top scorers

Ligue 1
1 E. LepaulRennes 21goals 5assists 34apps
2 M. GreenwoodMarseille 16goals 7assists 32apps
3 J. PanichelliStrasbourg 16goals 1assists 27apps
4 F. BalogunMonaco 13goals 4assists 30apps
5 O. ÉdouardLens 12goals 3assists 29apps
6 W. SaïdLens 12goals 2assists 29apps
7 L. SinayokoAuxerre 12goals 4assists 32apps
8 P. ŠulcLyon 11goals 3assists 27apps
9 B. BarcolaParis Saint Germain 11goals 1assists 29apps
10 F. ThauvinLens 11goals 6assists 33apps

Recent form

3 W 0 D 7 L in the last 10
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League Marseille 0 - 1 Olympiakos Piraeus L
11 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Estac Troyes 0 - 2 Marseille W
20 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 1 - 2 Paris Saint Germain L
17 Sep 2026UEFA Europa League Beşiktaş 4 - 1 Marseille L
11 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Rennes 1 - 0 Marseille L
06 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 2 - 3 Paris FC L
30 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Monaco 2 - 0 Marseille L
21 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 4 - 0 Strasbourg W
14 Aug 2026Friendlies Clubs Marseille 1 - 2 Atletico Madrid L
09 Aug 2026Friendlies Clubs Marseille 3 - 1 Athletic Club W
5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League Rennes 2 - 1 OFI W
11 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Rennes 4 - 1 Auxerre W
02 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Laval 1 - 0 Rennes L
19 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Lyon 4 - 0 Rennes L
16 Sep 2026UEFA Europa League Sturm Graz 0 - 0 Rennes D
11 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Rennes 1 - 0 Marseille W
06 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Angers 1 - 2 Rennes W
30 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Rennes 3 - 2 Le Mans W
23 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Rennes 2 - 2 Paris Saint Germain D
15 Aug 2026Friendlies Clubs Sunderland 2 - 1 Rennes L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Marseille Draw Rennes

Most likely scores

2-1 9%
1-1 8.4%
2-2 6.8%
3-1 6.5%
1-2 6.3%
2-0 6%

Expected goals: 2.15 Marseille · 1.5 Rennes

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals70%
Over 3.5 goals49%
Both teams score68%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
37%
Form
63%
31%
Attack
69%
50%
Defence
50%
62%
Goal model
38%
60%
Head to head
40%
60%
Goals
40%
50%
Overall
50%

Season numbers

Ligue 1 2025

When the goals come

6
0-15'
6
10
16-30'
15
7
31-45'
5
10
46-60'
12
11
61-75'
7
17
76-90'
10
6
0-15'
7
6
16-30'
1
3
31-45'
10
9
46-60'
10
5
61-75'
11
14
76-90'
11
Marseille Rennes

Side by side

Marseille Rennes
33 Played 33
17 Won 17
5 Drawn 8
11 Lost 8
1.8 Goals scored per game 1.8
1.3 Goals conceded per game 1.4
2.4 / 1.3 Scored per game (home / away) 1.8 / 1.8
9 Clean sheets 10
8 Failed to score 6
5 Longest winning run 4
6-2 Biggest win 4-1
0-2 Biggest defeat 0-2
6/6 Penalties scored 5/5

Marseille vs Rennes: preview and prediction

Marseille host Rennes in the France Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 34) on Sunday, 17th May 2026 at 20:00 at Orange Vélodrome, Marseille. Marseille sit 5th in the table and Rennes 6th.

Marseille are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-L-W-L). Rennes have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-L-W-W).

In the last 8 meetings, Marseille won 5, Rennes won 2 and 1 ended level. These games average 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 38% and over 2.5 goals in 38%.

Our goal model expects about 2.15 goals for Marseille and 1.5 for Rennes. It gives Marseille the edge (52% home win, 21% draw, 27% away win), 70% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-1.

Our pick was Away Win at odds of 3.68. We also like Under 3.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Marseille vs Rennes FAQs

What is the best prediction for Marseille vs Rennes?

Our top tip is Away Win: Away Win (3.68 odds).

Who will win Marseille vs Rennes?

Marseille are favourites: our model gives Marseille 52%, the draw 21% and Rennes 27%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 68% chance in our model, and it happened in 38% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.7 goals in total, with a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Marseille vs Rennes?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 17th May 2026 at 20:00 at Orange Vélodrome, Marseille.

Who is the referee?

R. Buquet is in charge of this game.