Orense SC vs Leones del Norte Prediction, H2H & Stats

Ecuador: Liga Pro · Regular Season - 13
Orense SC

Orense SC

13th in table
LDDWD
Full time
2:0
HT 0 - 0
Leones del Norte

Leones del Norte

8th in table
DLLWW
22' Jordan Morán
36' Valentín Burgoa
45+7' Erick Zambrano
45+5' Segundo Portocarrero
55' Valentín Burgoa
76' Nicolás Monserrat
79' Agustin Herrera
82' Michael Bermúdez
90+9' Erick Plúas
90+3' Leonel Nazareno
Saturday, 9 May 2026
Estadio 9 de Mayo, Machala
Franklin Andres Congo Viteri, Ecuador

Head to head

Last 1 meetings
1games
0Orense SC wins
0Draws
1Leones del Norte wins
1Goals per game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
22 Aug 2025Copa Ecuador Leones del Norte 1 - 0 Orense SC

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Independiente del Valle 302424 73:33 +40 74 WWLDW
2 Universidad Catolica 301497 51:27 +24 51 WWDDW
3 Macara 301569 41:33 +8 51 WLWWL
4 Aucas 301488 33:28 +5 50 DDDWW
5 LDU de Quito 3013710 31:24 +7 46 DWDLW
6 Barcelona SC 3011118 32:25 +7 44 DDWLW
7 Libertad 3011811 33:34 -1 41 LWDLW
8 Leones del Norte 3010911 31:32 -1 39 LDWLL
9 Guayaquil City FC 3010911 33:36 -3 39 WLLWW
10 Emelec 3010911 25:34 -9 39 LWDWL
11 Mushuc Runa SC 3091110 35:38 -3 38 LDDWD
12 Deportivo Cuenca 3010614 25:37 -12 36 DLWLD
13 Orense SC 309615 36:47 -11 33 LWLLL
14 Tecnico Universitario 3010218 28:42 -14 32 WLLWL
15 Delfin SC 307716 19:31 -12 28 DLWLL
16 Manta FC 305619 17:42 -25 21 DLLWL

Top scorers

Liga Pro
1 F. PosseMacara 16goals 5assists 34apps
2 E. MeroGuayaquil City FC 13goals 5assists 35apps
3 Vilinton Germán Branda MerlínLibertad 13goals 2assists 34apps
4 R. CarrilloEmelec 13goals 3assists 34apps
5 A. CampanaMacara 12goals 3assists 19apps
6 A. HerreraOrense SC 12goals 3assists 35apps
7 J. FajardoUniversidad Catolica 11goals 3assists 33apps
8 Juan Luis Anangonó LeónLeones del Norte 11goals 1assists 35apps
9 F. AyuntaDelfin SC 11goals 1assists 33apps
10 C. GonzálezIndependiente del Valle 10goals 1assists 22apps

Recent form

2 W 3 D 5 L in the last 10
02 Nov 2026Liga Pro Orense SC 1 - 1 Tecnico Universitario D
24 Oct 2026Liga Pro Orense SC 4 - 0 Delfin SC W
19 Oct 2026Liga Pro Mushuc Runa SC 1 - 1 Orense SC D
11 Oct 2026Liga Pro Orense SC 0 - 0 Deportivo Cuenca D
21 Sep 2026Liga Pro Manta FC 2 - 1 Orense SC L
15 Sep 2026Liga Pro Universidad Catolica 2 - 1 Orense SC L
08 Sep 2026Liga Pro Orense SC 4 - 3 Guayaquil City FC W
03 Sep 2026Liga Pro Leones del Norte 1 - 0 Orense SC L
30 Aug 2026Liga Pro Orense SC 1 - 2 Macara L
23 Aug 2026Liga Pro Barcelona SC 3 - 0 Orense SC L
3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Liga Pro Emelec 0 - 2 Leones del Norte W
25 Oct 2026Liga Pro Leones del Norte 4 - 1 Libertad W
18 Oct 2026Liga Pro Leones del Norte 1 - 3 Emelec L
09 Oct 2026Liga Pro Libertad 3 - 0 Leones del Norte L
19 Sep 2026Liga Pro Guayaquil City FC 1 - 1 Leones del Norte D
13 Sep 2026Liga Pro Leones del Norte 0 - 1 Tecnico Universitario L
08 Sep 2026Liga Pro Mushuc Runa SC 1 - 1 Leones del Norte D
03 Sep 2026Liga Pro Leones del Norte 1 - 0 Orense SC W
30 Aug 2026Liga Pro Emelec 2 - 1 Leones del Norte L
22 Aug 2026Liga Pro Leones del Norte 2 - 3 Independiente del Valle L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Orense SC Draw Leones del Norte
Value spotted: Leones del Norte win at 5.75 (model 24% vs market 16%)

Most likely scores

1-0 15.1%
1-1 12.9%
0-0 11.6%
0-1 9.9%
2-0 9.8%
2-1 8.4%

Expected goals: 1.3 Orense SC · 0.85 Leones del Norte

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals63%
Over 2.5 goals36%
Over 3.5 goals17%
Both teams score42%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
65%
Form
35%
53%
Attack
47%
56%
Defence
44%
68%
Goal model
32%
0%
Head to head
100%
0%
Goals
100%
60%
Overall
39%

Season numbers

Liga Pro 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
1
3
16-30'
3
4
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
6
2
61-75'
0
3
76-90'
0
1
0-15'
0
2
16-30'
0
4
31-45'
3
3
46-60'
3
1
61-75'
2
5
76-90'
2
Orense SC Leones del Norte

Side by side

Orense SC Leones del Norte
12 Played 12
4 Won 3
4 Drawn 4
4 Lost 5
1.4 Goals scored per game 0.8
1.4 Goals conceded per game 1
1.3 / 1.5 Scored per game (home / away) 1.2 / 0.5
1 Clean sheets 5
2 Failed to score 5
1 Longest winning run 1
3-2 Biggest win 3-0
1-2 Biggest defeat 0-2
2/2 Penalties scored 1/1

Orense SC vs Leones del Norte: preview and prediction

Orense SC host Leones del Norte in the Ecuador Liga Pro (Regular Season - 13) on Saturday, 9th May 2026 at 01:00 at Estadio 9 de Mayo, Machala. Orense SC sit 13th in the table and Leones del Norte 8th.

Orense SC have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-D-D-W-D). Leones del Norte have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-L-W-W).

In the last 1 meetings, Orense SC won 0, Leones del Norte won 1 and 0 ended level. These games average 1 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% and over 2.5 goals in 0%.

Our goal model expects about 1.3 goals for Orense SC and 0.85 for Leones del Norte. It gives Orense SC the edge (47% home win, 29% draw, 24% away win), 36% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Home Win at odds of 1.63. We also like Over 1.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Orense SC vs Leones del Norte FAQs

What is the best prediction for Orense SC vs Leones del Norte?

Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (1.63 odds).

Who will win Orense SC vs Leones del Norte?

Orense SC are favourites: our model gives Orense SC 47%, the draw 29% and Leones del Norte 24%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 42% chance in our model, and it happened in 0% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.2 goals in total, with a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Orense SC vs Leones del Norte?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 9th May 2026 at 01:00 at Estadio 9 de Mayo, Machala.

Who is the referee?

Franklin Andres Congo Viteri, Ecuador is in charge of this game.