Norway vs Denmark Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: UEFA Nations League · League A - 1
Norway

Norway

4th in table
LWLLL
Full time
3:2
HT 2 - 1
Denmark

Denmark

2nd in table
WLWLW
14' Oscar Bobb
18' Erling Haaland
25' Mikkel Damsgaard
38' Rasmus Kristensen
60' Rasmus Højlund
68' David Møller Wolfe
70' Patrick Dorgu
74' Erling Haaland
90+3' David Møller Wolfe
90+3' David Møller Wolfe
90+1' Gustav Isaksen
Thursday, 24 September 2026
Ullevaal Stadion, Oslo
Tobias Stieler, Germany

Head to head

Last 1 meetings
1games
0Norway wins
0Draws
1Denmark wins
4Goals per game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
08 Jun 2024Friendlies Denmark 3 - 1 Norway

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Portugal 4400 9:4 +5 12 WWWW
2 Denmark 4202 7:7 0 6 WLWL
3 Wales 4103 2:5 -3 3 LWLL
4 Norway 4103 6:8 -2 3 LLLW

Top scorers

UEFA Nations League
1 H. KaneEngland 6goals 1assists 4apps
2 M. OliseFrance 4goals 2assists 4apps
3 Lamine YamalSpain 4goals 1assists 4apps
4 L. WaltaFinland 4goals 1assists 4apps
5 V. GyökeresSweden 4goals 0assists 4apps
6 T. ParrottRep. Of Ireland 4goals 0assists 4apps
7 O. ÓskarssonIceland 3goals 2assists 4apps
8 Mikel MerinoSpain 3goals 1assists 4apps
9 Gonçalo RamosPortugal 3goals 1assists 4apps
10 João FélixPortugal 3goals 1assists 4apps

Recent form

5 W 0 D 5 L in the last 10
04 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Portugal 2 - 1 Norway L
01 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Wales 2 - 1 Norway L
27 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Norway 1 - 2 Portugal L
24 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Norway 3 - 2 Denmark W
11 Jul 2026World Cup Norway 1 - 2 England L
05 Jul 2026World Cup Brazil 1 - 2 Norway W
30 Jun 2026World Cup Ivory Coast 1 - 2 Norway W
26 Jun 2026World Cup Norway 1 - 4 France L
23 Jun 2026World Cup Norway 3 - 2 Senegal W
16 Jun 2026World Cup Iraq 1 - 4 Norway W
4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
04 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Wales 0 - 1 Denmark W
01 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Denmark 2 - 4 Portugal L
27 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Denmark 2 - 0 Wales W
24 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Norway 3 - 2 Denmark L
07 Jun 2026Friendlies Denmark 2 - 1 Ukraine W
03 Jun 2026Friendlies Congo DR 0 - 0 Denmark D
31 Mar 2026World Cup - Qualification Europe Czechia 1 - 1 Denmark D
26 Mar 2026World Cup - Qualification Europe Denmark 4 - 0 FYR Macedonia W
18 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Scotland 4 - 2 Denmark L
15 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Denmark 2 - 2 Belarus D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Norway Draw Denmark
Value spotted: Denmark win at 4.60 (model 30% vs market 21%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.6%
1-0 11.5%
0-1 9%
2-1 8.8%
0-0 8.2%
2-0 8%

Expected goals: 1.4 Norway · 1.1 Denmark

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams score50%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
0%
Form
0%
0%
Attack
0%
0%
Defence
0%
0%
Goal model
0%
20%
Head to head
80%
25%
Goals
75%
22%
Overall
77%

Norway vs Denmark: preview and prediction

Norway host Denmark in the World UEFA Nations League (League A - 1) on Thursday, 24th September 2026 at 19:45 at Ullevaal Stadion, Oslo. Norway sit 4th in the table and Denmark 2nd.

Norway are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-L-L). Denmark are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-W-L-W).

In the last 1 meetings, Norway won 0, Denmark won 1 and 0 ended level. These games average 4 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% and over 2.5 goals in 100%.

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Norway and 1.1 for Denmark. It gives Norway the edge (44% home win, 27% draw, 30% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Over 1.5. We also like Over 2.5, BTTS Yes.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Norway vs Denmark FAQs

What is the best prediction for Norway vs Denmark?

Our top tip is Tip of the Day: Over 1.5.

Who will win Norway vs Denmark?

Norway are favourites: our model gives Norway 44%, the draw 27% and Denmark 30%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 50% chance in our model, and it happened in 100% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Norway vs Denmark?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 24th September 2026 at 19:45 at Ullevaal Stadion, Oslo.

Who is the referee?

Tobias Stieler, Germany is in charge of this game.