Netherlands vs Germany Prediction, H2H & Stats
World: UEFA Nations League
· League A - 1 Head to head
Last 9 meetings
1 - 0
Netherlands
2 - 2
Germany
2 - 1
Netherlands
1 - 1
Germany
2 - 4
Netherlands
2 - 3
Germany
2 - 2
Netherlands
3 - 0
Germany
1 - 2
Germany
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | +2 | 8 |
| 2 |  Greece |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | +2 | 8 |
| 3 | Germany |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 5 |
| 4 |  Serbia |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 0 |
Top scorers
UEFA Nations League
H. Kane
England
6goals
M. Olise
France
4goals
Lamine Yamal
Spain
4goals
L. Walta
Finland
4goals
V. Gyökeres
Sweden
4goals
T. Parrott
Rep. Of Ireland
4goals
O. Óskarsson
Iceland
3goals
Mikel MerinoSpain
3goals
Gonçalo Ramos
Portugal
3goals
João FélixPortugal
3goals
Recent form
2 - 1
Serbia
W
2 - 2
Netherlands
D
1 - 2
Netherlands
W
1 - 1
Germany
D
1 - 1
Morocco
D
1 - 3
Netherlands
W
5 - 1
Sweden
W
2 - 2
Japan
D
2 - 1
Uzbekistan
W
0 - 1
Algeria
L
0 - 0
Germany
D
2 - 0
Serbia
W
0 - 1
Greece
L
1 - 1
Germany
D
1 - 1
Paraguay
D
2 - 1
Germany
L
2 - 1
Ivory Coast
W
7 - 1
Curaçao
W
1 - 2
Germany
W
4 - 0
Finland
W
Who wins? Three ways to read it
1 · X · 2Most likely scores
Expected goals: 1.4 Netherlands · 1.1 Germany
Goal lines
Team comparison
Netherlands vs Germany: preview and prediction
Netherlands host Germany in the World UEFA Nations League (League A - 1) on Thursday, 24th September 2026 at 19:45 at Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam. Netherlands sit 1st in the table and Germany 3rd.
Netherlands are unbeaten, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (D-D-W-D-W). Germany have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-D-L-W-D).
In the last 9 meetings, Netherlands won 2, Germany won 4 and 3 ended level. These games average 3.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 78% and over 2.5 goals in 78%.
Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Netherlands and 1.1 for Germany. It gives Netherlands the edge (44% home win, 27% draw, 30% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.
Our pick was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.43. We also like Over 0.5.
Netherlands vs Germany FAQs
What is the best prediction for Netherlands vs Germany?
Our top tip is Both Teams to Score: BTTS Yes (1.43 odds).
Who will win Netherlands vs Germany?
Netherlands are favourites: our model gives Netherlands 44%, the draw 27% and Germany 30%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams scoring has a 50% chance in our model, and it happened in 78% of recent meetings.
How many goals are expected?
Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.
When is Netherlands vs Germany?
Kick-off is on Thursday, 24th September 2026 at 19:45 at Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam.
Who is the referee?
Alejandro Hernandez, Spain is in charge of this game.