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Negelle Arsi vs Fasil Ketema Prediction, H2H & Stats

Ethiopia: Premier League · Regular Season - 29
Negelle Arsi

Negelle Arsi

2nd in table
WDWLD
Full time
0:0
HT 0 - 0
Fasil Ketema

Fasil Ketema

4th in table
WWLWD
Thursday, 30 April 2026

Head to head

Last 1 meetings
1games
0Negelle Arsi wins
0Draws
1Fasil Ketema wins
1Goals per game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
20 Dec 2025Premier League Fasil Ketema 1 - 0 Negelle Arsi

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Sidama Bunna 3819118 43:23 +20 68 LWDWW
2 Negelle Arsi 3815158 37:30 +7 60 LWDWD
3 Mekelakeya 3814159 44:31 +13 57 DLWLL
4 Fasil Ketema 38141311 28:28 0 55 WLWWL
5 Mebrat Hayl 38131510 32:26 +6 54 WDWDL
6 Kedus Giorgis 38141212 33:31 +2 54 DWDWW
7 Welayta Dicha 3811189 37:31 +6 51 DWLWD
8 Ethiopia Bunna 38131213 40:39 +1 51 DWDLL
9 Awassa Kenema 38121412 37:32 +5 50 LDDLW
10 Sheger Ketema 38111710 34:31 +3 50 WWLDW
11 Bahardar 389218 28:28 0 48 DLDLD
12 Hadiya Hosaena 38111512 31:35 -4 48 DDWLD
13 Ethiopia Nigd Bank 38111413 45:45 0 47 DLDLW
14 Ethiopian Medhin 38101612 30:31 -1 46 LLLWD
15 Adama Kenema 38101612 35:39 -4 46 WLDWL
16 Welwalo Adigrat Uni 38101612 32:36 -4 46 DWLDD
17 Suhul Shire 3891514 24:32 -8 42 LWDLD
18 Dire Dawa Kenema 3891514 27:41 -14 42 WDWLL
19 Mekelle Kenema 3881614 26:38 -12 40 WLDDD
20 Arba Minch Kenema 3871417 30:46 -16 35 LLLWW

Recent form

4 W 4 D 2 L in the last 10
10 Oct 2026Premier League Kedus Giorgis 1 - 1 Negelle Arsi D
01 Jul 2026Premier League Mekelle Kenema 3 - 0 Negelle Arsi L
26 Jun 2026Premier League Negelle Arsi 2 - 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank W
20 Jun 2026Premier League Sidama Bunna 1 - 1 Negelle Arsi D
15 Jun 2026Premier League Negelle Arsi 2 - 1 Awassa Kenema W
04 Jun 2026Premier League Welayta Dicha 0 - 0 Negelle Arsi D
21 May 2026Premier League Negelle Arsi 0 - 0 Suhul Shire D
14 May 2026Premier League Mekelakeya 4 - 0 Negelle Arsi L
11 May 2026Premier League Negelle Arsi 3 - 0 Dire Dawa Kenema W
06 May 2026Premier League Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1 - 2 Negelle Arsi W
4 W 1 D 5 L in the last 10
10 Oct 2026Premier League Welayta Dicha 0 - 0 Fasil Ketema D
01 Jul 2026Premier League Fasil Ketema 1 - 0 Ethiopian Medhin W
26 Jun 2026Premier League Kedus Giorgis 1 - 0 Fasil Ketema L
22 Jun 2026Premier League Fasil Ketema 2 - 0 Arba Minch Kenema W
15 Jun 2026Premier League Hadiya Hosaena 0 - 1 Fasil Ketema W
29 May 2026Premier League Fasil Ketema 0 - 1 Sheger Ketema L
20 May 2026Premier League Ethiopia Bunna 2 - 1 Fasil Ketema L
16 May 2026Premier League Fasil Ketema 3 - 1 Adama Kenema W
10 May 2026Premier League Mebrat Hayl 3 - 1 Fasil Ketema L
06 May 2026Premier League Fasil Ketema 0 - 2 Bahardar L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Negelle Arsi Draw Fasil Ketema
Value spotted: Fasil Ketema win at 3.47 (model 32% vs market 26%)

Most likely scores

0-0 22.3%
0-1 16.7%
1-0 16.7%
1-1 12.6%
0-2 6.3%
2-0 6.3%

Expected goals: 0.75 Negelle Arsi · 0.75 Fasil Ketema

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals44%
Over 2.5 goals19%
Over 3.5 goals7%
Both teams score28%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
43%
Form
57%
71%
Attack
29%
33%
Defence
67%
49%
Goal model
51%
0%
Head to head
100%
0%
Goals
100%
49%
Overall
51%

Season numbers

Premier League 2025

When the goals come

6
0-15'
2
3
16-30'
2
3
31-45'
4
4
46-60'
3
3
61-75'
4
8
76-90'
4
2
0-15'
1
2
16-30'
2
2
31-45'
0
3
46-60'
6
4
61-75'
4
7
76-90'
5
Negelle Arsi Fasil Ketema

Side by side

Negelle Arsi Fasil Ketema
28 Played 28
11 Won 10
11 Drawn 12
6 Lost 6
1 Goals scored per game 0.7
0.7 Goals conceded per game 0.6
0.9 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 0.6 / 0.7
12 Clean sheets 17
9 Failed to score 12
4 Longest winning run 3
2-0 Biggest win 1-0
0-2 Biggest defeat 0-3
3/3 Penalties scored 0/0

Negelle Arsi vs Fasil Ketema: preview and prediction

Negelle Arsi host Fasil Ketema in the Ethiopia Premier League (Regular Season - 29) on Thursday, 30th April 2026 at 13:00. Negelle Arsi sit 2nd in the table and Fasil Ketema 4th.

Negelle Arsi have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-W-L-D). Fasil Ketema are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-L-W-D).

In the last 1 meetings, Negelle Arsi won 0, Fasil Ketema won 1 and 0 ended level. These games average 1 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% and over 2.5 goals in 0%.

Our goal model expects about 0.75 goals for Negelle Arsi and 0.75 for Fasil Ketema. It gives Negelle Arsi the edge (32% home win, 37% draw, 32% away win), 19% for over 2.5 goals and 28% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-0.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.48. We also like Over 1.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Negelle Arsi vs Fasil Ketema FAQs

What is the best prediction for Negelle Arsi vs Fasil Ketema?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.48 odds).

Who will win Negelle Arsi vs Fasil Ketema?

It looks very close: our model gives Negelle Arsi 32%, the draw 37% and Fasil Ketema 32%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 28% chance in our model, and it happened in 0% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 1.5 goals in total, with a 19% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Negelle Arsi vs Fasil Ketema?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 30th April 2026 at 13:00.