Napoli vs Arsenal Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 1
Napoli

Napoli

22nd in table
DWLLW
Full time
0:1
HT 0 - 0
Arsenal

Arsenal

8th in table
WLWWW
42' Billy Gilmour
75' M. Odegaard
85' Lorenzo Lucca
90+1' Martin Ødegaard
Wednesday, 9 September 2026
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples
Glenn Nyberg, Sweden

Head to head

Last 4 meetings
4games
1Napoli wins
0Draws
3Arsenal wins
1.8Goals per game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
18 Apr 2019UEFA Europa League Napoli 0 - 1 Arsenal
11 Apr 2019UEFA Europa League Arsenal 2 - 0 Napoli
11 Dec 2013UEFA Champions League Napoli 2 - 0 Arsenal
01 Oct 2013UEFA Champions League Arsenal 2 - 0 Napoli

UEFA Champions League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 3300 14:5 +9 9 WWW
2 Liverpool 3300 12:7 +5 9 WWW
3 VfB Stuttgart 3210 7:2 +5 7 DWW
4 Aston Villa 2200 9:2 +7 6 WW
5 Barcelona 3201 11:6 +5 6 LWW
6 Manchester City 3201 9:5 +4 6 WLW
7 Sporting CP 2200 5:1 +4 6 WW
8 Arsenal 2200 4:0 +4 6 WW
9 Real Madrid 2200 6:4 +2 6 WW
10 Real Betis 2200 6:4 +2 6 WW
11 Borussia Dortmund 3201 5:4 +1 6 WLW
12 Bayern München 2110 8:3 +5 4 DW
13 AS Roma 3111 8:5 +3 4 WLD
14 Shakhtar Donetsk 2110 4:2 +2 4 WD
15 Atletico Madrid 3111 4:3 +1 4 DWL
16 PSV Eindhoven 3111 2:2 0 4 WLD
17 Como 2101 6:4 +2 3 LW
18 Manchester United 2101 4:2 +2 3 LW
19 Villarreal 3102 8:8 0 3 LWL
20 Club Brugge KV 2101 6:6 0 3 WL
21 Lens 2101 3:4 -1 3 LW
22 Napoli 3102 5:7 -2 3 WLL
23 RB Leipzig 2101 2:4 -2 3 WL
24 Feyenoord 2101 4:7 -3 3 WL
25 Sabah FA 3102 3:6 -3 3 LWL
26 Bodo/Glimt 3102 4:9 -5 3 LWL
27 AEK Athens FC 3102 3:8 -5 3 LLW
28 Fenerbahçe 3021 3:9 -6 2 DLD
29 Viking 2011 4:6 -2 1 DL
30 Slavia Praha 3012 4:7 -3 1 DLL
31 Inter 2002 4:6 -2 0 LL
32 Lask Linz 2002 3:7 -4 0 LL
33 FC Porto 3003 2:6 -4 0 LLL
34 Lille 2002 2:6 -4 0 LL
35 Galatasaray 2002 2:7 -5 0 LL
36 Slovan Bratislava 3003 1:13 -12 0 LLL

Top scorers

UEFA Champions League
1 J. MickelsSabah FA 4goals 1assists 10apps
2 E. DemirovićVfB Stuttgart 4goals 0assists 2apps
3 E. HaalandManchester City 4goals 0assists 2apps
4 TaliscaFenerbahçe 4goals 0assists 6apps
5 N. TresoldiClub Brugge KV 4goals 0assists 2apps
6 O. DembéléParis Saint Germain 3goals 3assists 2apps
7 V. SimićSabah FA 3goals 0assists 10apps
8 ReinaldoLevski Sofia 3goals 0assists 8apps
9 N. SikharulashviliFC Iberia 1999 3goals 0assists 4apps
10 F. FleckerLask Linz 3goals 0assists 3apps

Recent form

4 W 1 D 5 L in the last 10
20 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Napoli 4 - 3 Bodo/Glimt W
17 Oct 2026Serie A Venezia 1 - 0 Napoli L
13 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Villarreal 3 - 1 Napoli L
10 Oct 2026Serie A Napoli 3 - 0 Frosinone W
20 Sep 2026Serie A Fiorentina 1 - 1 Napoli D
13 Sep 2026Serie A Napoli 1 - 0 Bologna W
09 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League Napoli 0 - 1 Arsenal L
05 Sep 2026Serie A Inter 3 - 2 Napoli L
30 Aug 2026Serie A Napoli 1 - 2 Como L
22 Aug 2026Serie A Genoa 0 - 2 Napoli W
9 W 0 D 1 L in the last 10
18 Oct 2026Premier League Nottingham Forest 0 - 1 Arsenal W
13 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Arsenal 3 - 0 Lille W
10 Oct 2026Premier League Arsenal 2 - 1 Leeds W
19 Sep 2026Premier League Brighton 3 - 0 Arsenal L
15 Sep 2026League Cup Ipswich 2 - 4 Arsenal W
12 Sep 2026Premier League Sunderland 0 - 2 Arsenal W
09 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League Napoli 0 - 1 Arsenal W
06 Sep 2026Premier League Arsenal 2 - 1 Chelsea W
31 Aug 2026Premier League Aston Villa 0 - 1 Arsenal W
21 Aug 2026Premier League Arsenal 3 - 0 Coventry W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Napoli Draw Arsenal
Value spotted: Napoli win at 4.88 (model 44% vs market 20%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.6%
1-0 11.5%
0-1 9%
2-1 8.8%
0-0 8.2%
2-0 8%

Expected goals: 1.4 Napoli · 1.1 Arsenal

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams score50%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
0%
Form
0%
0%
Attack
0%
0%
Defence
0%
0%
Goal model
0%
25%
Head to head
75%
29%
Goals
71%
27%
Overall
73%

Napoli vs Arsenal: preview and prediction

Napoli host Arsenal in the World UEFA Champions League (League Stage - 1) on Wednesday, 9th September 2026 at 20:00 at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples. Napoli sit 22nd in the table and Arsenal 8th.

Napoli have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-L-L-W). Arsenal are flying, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-L-W-W-W).

In the last 4 meetings, Napoli won 1, Arsenal won 3 and 0 ended level. These games average 1.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% and over 2.5 goals in 0%.

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Napoli and 1.1 for Arsenal. It gives Napoli the edge (44% home win, 27% draw, 30% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw. We also like Away Win, BTTS Yes, Draw No Bet: Away.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Napoli vs Arsenal FAQs

What is the best prediction for Napoli vs Arsenal?

Our top tip is Tip of the Day: Away or Draw.

Who will win Napoli vs Arsenal?

Napoli are favourites: our model gives Napoli 44%, the draw 27% and Arsenal 30%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 50% chance in our model, and it happened in 0% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Napoli vs Arsenal?

Kick-off is on Wednesday, 9th September 2026 at 20:00 at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples.

Who is the referee?

Glenn Nyberg, Sweden is in charge of this game.