Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 1
Liverpool

Liverpool

3rd in table
WLWWW
Full time
2:1
HT 1 - 1
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

16th in table
WWWWD
17' M. Llorente
28' Alexis Mac Allister
40' D. Szoboszlai
50' A. Mac Allister
51' Marc Pubill
Wednesday, 9 September 2026
Anfield, Liverpool
Davide Massa, Italy

Head to head

Last 5 meetings
5games
3Liverpool wins
0Draws
2Atletico Madrid wins
3.6Goals per game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
17 Sep 2025UEFA Champions League Liverpool 3 - 2 Atletico Madrid
03 Nov 2021UEFA Champions League Liverpool 2 - 0 Atletico Madrid
19 Oct 2021UEFA Champions League Atletico Madrid 2 - 3 Liverpool
11 Mar 2020UEFA Champions League Liverpool 2 - 3 Atletico Madrid
18 Feb 2020UEFA Champions League Atletico Madrid 1 - 0 Liverpool

UEFA Champions League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 3300 14:5 +9 9 WWW
2 Aston Villa 3300 12:3 +9 9 WWW
3 Liverpool 3300 12:7 +5 9 WWW
4 Real Madrid 3300 10:5 +5 9 WWW
5 Real Betis 3300 7:4 +3 9 WWW
6 VfB Stuttgart 3210 7:2 +5 7 DWW
7 Arsenal 3210 6:2 +4 7 DWW
8 Barcelona 3201 11:6 +5 6 LWW
9 Como 3201 10:5 +5 6 WLW
10 Manchester City 3201 9:5 +4 6 WLW
11 Club Brugge KV 3201 9:6 +3 6 WWL
12 Sporting CP 3201 7:4 +3 6 LWW
13 Borussia Dortmund 3201 5:4 +1 6 WLW
14 Bayern München 3120 10:5 +5 5 DDW
15 AS Roma 3111 8:5 +3 4 WLD
16 Atletico Madrid 3111 4:3 +1 4 DWL
17 Shakhtar Donetsk 3111 4:3 +1 4 LWD
18 PSV Eindhoven 3111 2:2 0 4 WLD
19 Villarreal 3102 8:8 0 3 LWL
20 Manchester United 3102 5:6 -1 3 LLW
21 Inter 3102 5:6 -1 3 WLL
22 Napoli 3102 5:7 -2 3 WLL
23 Galatasaray 3102 6:9 -3 3 WLL
24 Lask Linz 3102 6:9 -3 3 WLL
25 Sabah FC 3102 3:6 -3 3 LWL
26 Feyenoord 3102 4:8 -4 3 LWL
27 Lens 3102 3:7 -4 3 LLW
28 Bodo/Glimt 3102 4:9 -5 3 LWL
29 AEK Athens FC 3102 3:8 -5 3 LLW
30 RB Leipzig 3102 3:8 -5 3 LWL
31 Fenerbahçe 3021 3:9 -6 2 DLD
32 Slavia Praha 3012 4:7 -3 1 DLL
33 Viking 3012 5:9 -4 1 LDL
34 FC Porto 3003 2:6 -4 0 LLL
35 Lille 3003 4:10 -6 0 LLL
36 Slovan Bratislava 3003 1:13 -12 0 LLL

Top scorers

UEFA Champions League
1 J. MickelsSabah FA 4goals 1assists 11apps
2 E. DemirovićVfB Stuttgart 4goals 0assists 3apps
3 E. HaalandManchester City 4goals 0assists 2apps
4 S. GuirassyBorussia Dortmund 4goals 0assists 3apps
5 TaliscaFenerbahçe 4goals 0assists 6apps
6 N. TresoldiClub Brugge KV 4goals 0assists 2apps
7 O. DembéléParis Saint Germain 3goals 3assists 3apps
8 M. GreenwoodFenerbahçe 3goals 2assists 9apps
9 P. FodenManchester City 3goals 1assists 2apps
10 V. SimićSabah FA 3goals 0assists 11apps

Recent form

7 W 2 D 1 L in the last 10
20 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Liverpool 4 - 3 Villarreal W
17 Oct 2026Premier League Brentford 1 - 2 Liverpool W
14 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Lask Linz 3 - 6 Liverpool W
11 Oct 2026Premier League Liverpool 0 - 3 Manchester City L
20 Sep 2026Premier League Bournemouth 0 - 1 Liverpool W
15 Sep 2026League Cup Liverpool 3 - 1 Tottenham W
12 Sep 2026Premier League Liverpool 0 - 0 Fulham D
09 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League Liverpool 2 - 1 Atletico Madrid W
04 Sep 2026Premier League Ipswich 0 - 2 Liverpool W
29 Aug 2026Premier League Liverpool 2 - 2 Nottingham Forest D
7 W 1 D 2 L in the last 10
20 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League VfB Stuttgart 1 - 1 Atletico Madrid D
17 Oct 2026La Liga Espanyol 0 - 1 Atletico Madrid W
13 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Atletico Madrid 2 - 0 Manchester United W
10 Oct 2026La Liga Alaves 1 - 2 Atletico Madrid W
20 Sep 2026La Liga Atletico Madrid 2 - 1 Real Madrid W
16 Sep 2026La Liga Atletico Madrid 4 - 0 Osasuna W
13 Sep 2026La Liga Real Sociedad 0 - 3 Atletico Madrid W
09 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League Liverpool 2 - 1 Atletico Madrid L
05 Sep 2026La Liga Athletic Club 3 - 0 Atletico Madrid L
29 Aug 2026La Liga Sevilla 1 - 3 Atletico Madrid W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Liverpool Draw Atletico Madrid
Value spotted: Atletico Madrid win at 4.68 (model 30% vs market 21%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.6%
1-0 11.5%
0-1 9%
2-1 8.8%
0-0 8.2%
2-0 8%

Expected goals: 1.4 Liverpool · 1.1 Atletico Madrid

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams score50%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
0%
Form
0%
0%
Attack
0%
0%
Defence
0%
0%
Goal model
0%
60%
Head to head
40%
56%
Goals
44%
58%
Overall
42%

Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid: preview and prediction

Liverpool host Atletico Madrid in the World UEFA Champions League (League Stage - 1) on Wednesday, 9th September 2026 at 20:00 at Anfield, Liverpool. Liverpool sit 3rd in the table and Atletico Madrid 16th.

Liverpool are flying, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-L-W-W-W). Atletico Madrid are flying, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-W-W-D).

In the last 5 meetings, Liverpool won 3, Atletico Madrid won 2 and 0 ended level. These games average 3.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% and over 2.5 goals in 60%.

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Liverpool and 1.1 for Atletico Madrid. It gives Liverpool the edge (44% home win, 27% draw, 30% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.22.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid FAQs

What is the best prediction for Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.22 odds).

Who will win Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid?

Liverpool are favourites: our model gives Liverpool 44%, the draw 27% and Atletico Madrid 30%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 50% chance in our model, and it happened in 60% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid?

Kick-off is on Wednesday, 9th September 2026 at 20:00 at Anfield, Liverpool.

Who is the referee?

Davide Massa, Italy is in charge of this game.