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Morton vs Dunfermline Prediction, H2H & Stats

Scotland: Championship · Regular Season - 7
Morton

Morton

10th in table
LLLLW
Full time
0:1
HT 0 - 0
Dunfermline

Dunfermline

5th in table
DWWLD
62' D. Lobban
90+1' C. Okike
Saturday, 19 September 2026
Cappielow Park, Greenock
C. Graham

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
3Morton wins
2Draws
4Dunfermline wins
1.7Goals per game
22%Both scored
22%Over 2.5
04 Apr 2026Championship Dunfermline 3 - 1 Morton
17 Feb 2026Championship Morton 2 - 0 Dunfermline
22 Nov 2025Championship Dunfermline 1 - 0 Morton
02 Aug 2025Championship Morton 0 - 0 Dunfermline
02 May 2025Championship Morton 2 - 0 Dunfermline
01 Mar 2025Championship Dunfermline 2 - 1 Morton
21 Dec 2024Championship Morton 2 - 0 Dunfermline
19 Oct 2024Championship Dunfermline 0 - 0 Morton
23 Mar 2024Championship Morton 0 - 1 Dunfermline

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Stenhousemuir 9711 12:4 +8 22 LWWWW
2 Raith Rovers 10622 15:6 +9 20 WWLDW
3 Partick 9531 10:3 +7 18 WWDLW
4 Livingston 10415 14:11 +3 13 LLWDW
5 Dunfermline 8341 7:5 +2 13 DWWDW
6 Inverness CT 10343 12:11 +1 13 LWWDW
7 Ayr Utd 10334 10:11 -1 12 DWLWL
8 Arbroath 10325 7:15 -8 11 LLWLL
9 Queen's Park 10217 6:16 -10 7 WLLLL
10 Morton 10118 7:18 -11 4 WLLLL

Recent form

1 W 1 D 8 L in the last 10
10 Oct 2026Championship Arbroath 1 - 2 Morton W
03 Oct 2026Championship Morton 1 - 2 Raith Rovers L
25 Sep 2026Championship Inverness CT 2 - 0 Morton L
19 Sep 2026Championship Morton 0 - 1 Dunfermline L
11 Sep 2026Championship Morton 1 - 4 Livingston L
05 Sep 2026Championship Queen's Park 2 - 1 Morton L
29 Aug 2026Championship Ayr Utd 1 - 1 Morton D
22 Aug 2026Championship Morton 1 - 2 Arbroath L
08 Aug 2026Championship Stenhousemuir 2 - 0 Morton L
01 Aug 2026Championship Morton 0 - 1 Partick L
3 W 4 D 3 L in the last 10
10 Oct 2026Championship Ayr Utd 1 - 1 Dunfermline D
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Dunfermline 1 - 4 Aberdeen L
19 Sep 2026Championship Morton 0 - 1 Dunfermline W
12 Sep 2026Championship Dunfermline 2 - 0 Queen's Park W
05 Sep 2026Championship Arbroath 1 - 1 Dunfermline D
28 Aug 2026Championship Dunfermline 1 - 0 Raith Rovers W
22 Aug 2026Championship Livingston 2 - 0 Dunfermline L
15 Aug 2026League Cup Dunfermline 1 - 2 Ross County L
08 Aug 2026Championship Dunfermline 1 - 1 Ayr Utd D
01 Aug 2026Championship Inverness CT 0 - 0 Dunfermline D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Morton Draw Dunfermline

Most likely scores

0-1 15.1%
1-1 12.9%
0-0 11.6%
1-0 9.9%
0-2 9.8%
1-2 8.4%

Expected goals: 0.85 Morton · 1.3 Dunfermline

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals63%
Over 2.5 goals36%
Over 3.5 goals17%
Both teams score42%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
11%
Form
89%
44%
Attack
56%
27%
Defence
73%
38%
Goal model
62%
50%
Head to head
50%
56%
Goals
44%
37%
Overall
62%

Season numbers

Championship 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
0
2
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
0
2
16-30'
0
2
31-45'
2
2
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
0
5
76-90'
1
Morton Dunfermline

Side by side

Morton Dunfermline
6 Played 6
0 Won 2
1 Drawn 3
5 Lost 1
0.7 Goals scored per game 0.8
2 Goals conceded per game 0.7
0.7 / 0.7 Scored per game (home / away) 1.3 / 0.3
0 Clean sheets 3
2 Failed to score 2
0 Longest winning run 1
- Biggest win 2-0
1-4 Biggest defeat 2-0
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Morton vs Dunfermline: preview and prediction

Morton host Dunfermline in the Scotland Championship (Regular Season - 7) on Saturday, 19th September 2026 at 15:00 at Cappielow Park, Greenock. Morton sit 10th in the table and Dunfermline 5th.

Morton are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-L-L-W). Dunfermline have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-W-W-L-D).

In the last 9 meetings, Morton won 3, Dunfermline won 4 and 2 ended level. These games average 1.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 22% and over 2.5 goals in 22%.

Our goal model expects about 0.85 goals for Morton and 1.3 for Dunfermline. It gives Dunfermline the edge (24% home win, 29% draw, 47% away win), 36% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-1.

Our pick was Away Win at odds of 1.66.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Morton vs Dunfermline FAQs

What is the best prediction for Morton vs Dunfermline?

Our top tip is Away Win: Away Win (1.66 odds).

Who will win Morton vs Dunfermline?

Dunfermline are favourites: our model gives Morton 24%, the draw 29% and Dunfermline 47%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 42% chance in our model, and it happened in 22% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.2 goals in total, with a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Morton vs Dunfermline?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 19th September 2026 at 15:00 at Cappielow Park, Greenock.

Who is the referee?

C. Graham is in charge of this game.