RaraBet
Home Pricing About Partners News Contact Us
Register Login

Monaco vs Toulouse Prediction, H2H & Stats

France: Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 6
Monaco

Monaco

7th in table
WLWDL
Full time
2:2
HT 2 - 0
Toulouse

Toulouse

12th in table
LDWDL
29' E. Diop
38' M. Abline
47' Nazinho
48' C. Tengstedt (Penalty)
54' Aleksandr Golovin
59' S. Oppong
70' Cristian Cásseres Jr.
90+3' Sion Oppong
Saturday, 10 October 2026
Stade Louis II, Monaco
R. Buquet

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
4Monaco wins
2Draws
2Toulouse wins
2.5Goals per game
63%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
25 Apr 2026Ligue 1 Toulouse 2 - 2 Monaco
25 Oct 2025Ligue 1 Monaco 1 - 0 Toulouse
07 Mar 2025Ligue 1 Toulouse 1 - 1 Monaco
07 Dec 2024Ligue 1 Monaco 2 - 0 Toulouse
18 Feb 2024Ligue 1 Monaco 1 - 2 Toulouse
20 Dec 2023Ligue 1 Toulouse 1 - 2 Monaco
03 Jun 2023Ligue 1 Monaco 1 - 2 Toulouse
06 Nov 2022Ligue 1 Toulouse 0 - 2 Monaco

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 9621 21:10 +11 20 WWWWW
2 Lille 9531 12:6 +6 18 WDDWL
3 Lyon 9522 15:7 +8 17 WLWLW
4 Paris FC 9522 16:10 +6 17 WLWLW
5 Rennes 9513 20:19 +1 16 LWLWL
6 Marseille 9504 20:13 +7 15 WWWWL
7 Monaco 9432 12:10 +2 15 LDLDW
8 Nice 9423 13:12 +1 14 WWLWW
9 Lens 9414 16:13 +3 13 LWWWL
10 Stade Brestois 29 9333 16:12 +4 12 WLDWL
11 Lorient 9333 7:8 -1 12 LDWWL
12 Toulouse 9243 12:13 -1 10 LDWDW
13 Strasbourg 9315 17:19 -2 10 WLLLL
14 Auxerre 9315 13:23 -10 10 LDWLW
15 Angers 9225 9:17 -8 8 LDLLW
16 Estac Troyes 9225 7:16 -9 8 WDLLL
17 Le Mans 9144 11:18 -7 7 LDLLW
18 Le Havre 9027 9:20 -11 2 LLLLL

Top scorers

Ligue 1
1 L. SinayokoParis FC 8goals 5assists 9apps
2 E. LepaulRennes 7goals 0assists 7apps
3 C. ArcherAuxerre 6goals 0assists 7apps
4 A. GouiriMarseille 6goals 3assists 9apps
5 E. WahiNice 6goals 2assists 8apps
6 C. TengstedtToulouse 5goals 1assists 7apps
7 Gessime YassineStrasbourg 4goals 3assists 9apps
8 Ferran TorresParis Saint Germain 4goals 1assists 9apps
9 L. AjorqueStade Brestois 29 4goals 1assists 9apps
10 S. SzymańskiRennes 4goals 1assists 7apps

Recent form

5 W 3 D 2 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Ligue 1 Paris FC 3 - 1 Monaco L
25 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Monaco 1 - 1 Lille D
22 Oct 2026UEFA Europa Conference League Monaco 3 - 0 SC Freiburg W
18 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Lorient 1 - 0 Monaco L
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa Conference League CSKA Sofia 1 - 2 Monaco W
10 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Monaco 2 - 2 Toulouse D
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Monaco 2 - 0 Pisa W
18 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Monaco 2 - 1 Lens W
12 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Strasbourg 1 - 1 Monaco D
04 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain 1 - 2 Monaco W
2 W 4 D 4 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 2 - 0 Toulouse L
25 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Toulouse 0 - 0 Estac Troyes D
16 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Le Mans 0 - 3 Toulouse W
10 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Monaco 2 - 2 Toulouse D
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Toulouse 2 - 3 PAU L
19 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Toulouse 3 - 2 Le Havre W
12 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Lorient 2 - 2 Toulouse D
03 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Toulouse 0 - 1 Lille L
29 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Stade Brestois 29 2 - 2 Toulouse D
22 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Toulouse 0 - 2 Lyon L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Monaco Draw Toulouse
Value spotted: Toulouse win at 5.44 (model 24% vs market 18%)

Most likely scores

1-1 9.7%
2-1 9.7%
1-0 7.8%
2-0 7.8%
3-1 6.5%
1-2 6.1%

Expected goals: 2 Monaco · 1.25 Toulouse

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Both teams score62%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
72%
Form
28%
53%
Attack
47%
75%
Defence
25%
76%
Goal model
24%
62%
Head to head
38%
58%
Goals
42%
66%
Overall
34%

Season numbers

Ligue 1 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
3
46-60'
3
2
61-75'
2
0
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
2
1
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
3
1
76-90'
3
Monaco Toulouse

Side by side

Monaco Toulouse
5 Played 5
4 Won 1
1 Drawn 2
0 Lost 2
1.6 Goals scored per game 1.4
0.6 Goals conceded per game 1.8
2 / 1.3 Scored per game (home / away) 1 / 2
2 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 2
3 Longest winning run 0
2-0 Biggest win 3-2
- Biggest defeat 0-2
0/0 Penalties scored 1/1

Monaco vs Toulouse: preview and prediction

Monaco host Toulouse in the France Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 6) on Saturday, 10th October 2026 at 19:45 at Stade Louis II, Monaco. Monaco sit 7th in the table and Toulouse 12th.

Monaco have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-W-D-L). Toulouse have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-W-D-L).

In the last 8 meetings, Monaco won 4, Toulouse won 2 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 63% and over 2.5 goals in 50%.

Our goal model expects about 2 goals for Monaco and 1.25 for Toulouse. It gives Monaco the edge (55% home win, 22% draw, 24% away win), 63% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home Win at odds of 1.64. We also like Under 3.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Monaco vs Toulouse FAQs

What is the best prediction for Monaco vs Toulouse?

Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (1.64 odds).

Who will win Monaco vs Toulouse?

Monaco are favourites: our model gives Monaco 55%, the draw 22% and Toulouse 24%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 62% chance in our model, and it happened in 63% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.3 goals in total, with a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Monaco vs Toulouse?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 10th October 2026 at 19:45 at Stade Louis II, Monaco.

Who is the referee?

R. Buquet is in charge of this game.