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Lille vs Le Havre Prediction, H2H & Stats

France: Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 6
Lille

Lille

2nd in table
DLDWD
Full time
1:0
HT 1 - 0
Le Havre

Le Havre

18th in table
WLLLL
5' D. Bakwa
61' Ayumu Seko
63' Rassoul Ndiaye
76' Djibril Ouziad
85' Maurits Kjaergaard
90+2' Maxima Goffi
Saturday, 10 October 2026
Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille
B. Dechepy

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7games
5Lille wins
1Draws
1Le Havre wins
2.7Goals per game
43%Both scored
57%Over 2.5
03 May 2026Ligue 1 Lille 1 - 1 Le Havre
30 Nov 2025Ligue 1 Le Havre 0 - 1 Lille
08 Feb 2025Ligue 1 Lille 1 - 2 Le Havre
28 Sep 2024Ligue 1 Le Havre 0 - 3 Lille
17 Feb 2024Ligue 1 Lille 3 - 0 Le Havre
01 Oct 2023Ligue 1 Le Havre 0 - 2 Lille
26 Jul 2023Friendlies Clubs Lille 3 - 2 Le Havre

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 9621 21:10 +11 20 WWWWW
2 Lille 9531 12:6 +6 18 WDDWL
3 Lyon 9522 15:7 +8 17 WLWLW
4 Paris FC 9522 16:10 +6 17 WLWLW
5 Rennes 9513 20:19 +1 16 LWLWL
6 Marseille 9504 20:13 +7 15 WWWWL
7 Monaco 9432 12:10 +2 15 LDLDW
8 Nice 9423 13:12 +1 14 WWLWW
9 Lens 9414 16:13 +3 13 LWWWL
10 Stade Brestois 29 9333 16:12 +4 12 WLDWL
11 Lorient 9333 7:8 -1 12 LDWWL
12 Toulouse 9243 12:13 -1 10 LDWDW
13 Strasbourg 9315 17:19 -2 10 WLLLL
14 Auxerre 9315 13:23 -10 10 LDWLW
15 Angers 9225 9:17 -8 8 LDLLW
16 Estac Troyes 9225 7:16 -9 8 WDLLL
17 Le Mans 9144 11:18 -7 7 LDLLW
18 Le Havre 9027 9:20 -11 2 LLLLL

Top scorers

Ligue 1
1 L. SinayokoParis FC 8goals 5assists 9apps
2 E. LepaulRennes 7goals 0assists 7apps
3 C. ArcherAuxerre 6goals 0assists 7apps
4 A. GouiriMarseille 6goals 3assists 9apps
5 E. WahiNice 6goals 2assists 8apps
6 C. TengstedtToulouse 5goals 1assists 7apps
7 Gessime YassineStrasbourg 4goals 3assists 9apps
8 Ferran TorresParis Saint Germain 4goals 1assists 9apps
9 L. AjorqueStade Brestois 29 4goals 1assists 9apps
10 S. SzymańskiRennes 4goals 1assists 7apps

Recent form

4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026UEFA Champions League Bodo/Glimt 0 - 0 Lille D
30 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Lille 1 - 0 Lens W
25 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Monaco 1 - 1 Lille D
21 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Lille 2 - 4 Galatasaray L
17 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Lille 1 - 1 Stade Brestois 29 D
13 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Arsenal 3 - 0 Lille L
10 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Lille 1 - 0 Le Havre W
02 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Lille 2 - 1 Zulte Waregem W
20 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Nice 2 - 1 Lille L
13 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Lille 2 - 0 Estac Troyes W
1 W 2 D 7 L in the last 10
30 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Le Havre 1 - 5 Paris Saint Germain L
25 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 4 - 3 Le Havre L
18 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Le Havre 1 - 3 Auxerre L
10 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Lille 1 - 0 Le Havre L
02 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Le Havre 6 - 1 Boulogne W
19 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Toulouse 3 - 2 Le Havre L
12 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Le Havre 0 - 0 Angers D
05 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Le Havre 1 - 2 Stade Brestois 29 L
29 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Lyon 1 - 1 Le Havre D
23 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Le Havre 0 - 1 Monaco L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Lille Draw Le Havre
Value spotted: Le Havre win at 7.49 (model 24% vs market 13%)

Most likely scores

1-1 9.7%
2-1 9.7%
1-0 7.8%
2-0 7.8%
3-1 6.5%
1-2 6.1%

Expected goals: 2 Lille · 1.25 Le Havre

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Both teams score62%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
83%
Form
17%
67%
Attack
33%
64%
Defence
36%
69%
Goal model
31%
71%
Head to head
29%
75%
Goals
25%
71%
Overall
28%

Season numbers

Ligue 1 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
3
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
2
3
76-90'
2
0
0-15'
2
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
3
1
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
2
Lille Le Havre

Side by side

Lille Le Havre
5 Played 5
3 Won 0
1 Drawn 2
1 Lost 3
1.6 Goals scored per game 0.8
0.8 Goals conceded per game 1.4
2 / 1.3 Scored per game (home / away) 0.3 / 1.5
3 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 2
2 Longest winning run 0
2-0 Biggest win -
2-1 Biggest defeat 1-2
0/0 Penalties scored 1/1

Lille vs Le Havre: preview and prediction

Lille host Le Havre in the France Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 6) on Saturday, 10th October 2026 at 16:15 at Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille. Lille sit 2nd in the table and Le Havre 18th.

Lille have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-L-D-W-D). Le Havre are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-L-L-L).

In the last 7 meetings, Lille won 5, Le Havre won 1 and 1 ended level. These games average 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% and over 2.5 goals in 57%.

Our goal model expects about 2 goals for Lille and 1.25 for Le Havre. It gives Lille the edge (55% home win, 22% draw, 24% away win), 63% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home Win at odds of 1.48.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Lille vs Le Havre FAQs

What is the best prediction for Lille vs Le Havre?

Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (1.48 odds).

Who will win Lille vs Le Havre?

Lille are favourites: our model gives Lille 55%, the draw 22% and Le Havre 24%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 62% chance in our model, and it happened in 43% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.3 goals in total, with a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Lille vs Le Havre?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 10th October 2026 at 16:15 at Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille.

Who is the referee?

B. Dechepy is in charge of this game.