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Mekelle Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl Prediction, H2H & Stats

Ethiopia: Premier League · Regular Season - 16
Mekelle Kenema

Mekelle Kenema

19th in table
DDDLW
Full time
2:1
HT 2 - 0
Mebrat Hayl

Mebrat Hayl

5th in table
DWDWL
10' Gatikuti
30' F. Alemu
50' H. Shewalem
Tuesday, 20 January 2026

Head to head

Last 4 meetings
4games
3Mekelle Kenema wins
0Draws
1Mebrat Hayl wins
1.5Goals per game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
25 Jun 2025Premier League Mekelle Kenema 0 - 1 Mebrat Hayl
19 Jan 2025Premier League Mebrat Hayl 0 - 1 Mekelle Kenema
07 Jul 2018Premier League Mekelle Kenema 1 - 0 Mebrat Hayl
06 Feb 2018Premier League Mebrat Hayl 1 - 2 Mekelle Kenema

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Sidama Bunna 3819118 43:23 +20 68 LWDWW
2 Negelle Arsi 3815158 37:30 +7 60 LWDWD
3 Mekelakeya 3814159 44:31 +13 57 DLWLL
4 Fasil Ketema 38141311 28:28 0 55 WLWWL
5 Mebrat Hayl 38131510 32:26 +6 54 WDWDL
6 Kedus Giorgis 38141212 33:31 +2 54 DWDWW
7 Welayta Dicha 3811189 37:31 +6 51 DWLWD
8 Ethiopia Bunna 38131213 40:39 +1 51 DWDLL
9 Awassa Kenema 38121412 37:32 +5 50 LDDLW
10 Sheger Ketema 38111710 34:31 +3 50 WWLDW
11 Bahardar 389218 28:28 0 48 DLDLD
12 Hadiya Hosaena 38111512 31:35 -4 48 DDWLD
13 Ethiopia Nigd Bank 38111413 45:45 0 47 DLDLW
14 Ethiopian Medhin 38101612 30:31 -1 46 LLLWD
15 Adama Kenema 38101612 35:39 -4 46 WLDWL
16 Welwalo Adigrat Uni 38101612 32:36 -4 46 DWLDD
17 Suhul Shire 3891514 24:32 -8 42 LWDLD
18 Dire Dawa Kenema 3891514 27:41 -14 42 WDWLL
19 Mekelle Kenema 3881614 26:38 -12 40 WLDDD
20 Arba Minch Kenema 3871417 30:46 -16 35 LLLWW

Recent form

2 W 5 D 3 L in the last 10
01 Jul 2026Premier League Mekelle Kenema 3 - 0 Negelle Arsi W
26 Jun 2026Premier League Ethiopia Bunna 3 - 0 Mekelle Kenema L
21 Jun 2026Premier League Mekelle Kenema 0 - 0 Adama Kenema D
16 Jun 2026Premier League Mebrat Hayl 0 - 0 Mekelle Kenema D
30 May 2026Premier League Mekelle Kenema 0 - 0 Bahardar D
25 May 2026Ethiopia Cup Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0 - 0 Mekelle Kenema D
20 May 2026Premier League Sheger Ketema 0 - 1 Mekelle Kenema W
15 May 2026Premier League Mekelle Kenema 1 - 1 Ethiopian Medhin D
09 May 2026Premier League Kedus Giorgis 1 - 0 Mekelle Kenema L
05 May 2026Premier League Mekelle Kenema 0 - 2 Arba Minch Kenema L
3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
09 Oct 2026Premier League Mebrat Hayl 0 - 1 Adama Kenema L
05 Jul 2026Premier League Sidama Bunna 0 - 1 Mebrat Hayl W
28 Jun 2026Premier League Mebrat Hayl 1 - 1 Awassa Kenema D
22 Jun 2026Premier League Welayta Dicha 1 - 2 Mebrat Hayl W
16 Jun 2026Premier League Mebrat Hayl 0 - 0 Mekelle Kenema D
30 May 2026Premier League Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2 - 1 Mebrat Hayl L
20 May 2026Premier League Mebrat Hayl 1 - 1 Dire Dawa Kenema D
16 May 2026Premier League Welwalo Adigrat Uni 2 - 1 Mebrat Hayl L
10 May 2026Premier League Mebrat Hayl 3 - 1 Fasil Ketema W
05 May 2026Premier League Suhul Shire 1 - 0 Mebrat Hayl L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Mekelle Kenema Draw Mebrat Hayl

Most likely scores

0-0 21.2%
1-0 17%
0-1 15.9%
1-1 12.7%
2-0 6.8%
0-2 6%

Expected goals: 0.8 Mekelle Kenema · 0.75 Mebrat Hayl

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals46%
Over 2.5 goals20%
Over 3.5 goals7%
Both teams score29%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
53%
Form
47%
57%
Attack
43%
67%
Defence
33%
62%
Goal model
38%
75%
Head to head
25%
67%
Goals
33%
63%
Overall
36%

Season numbers

Premier League 2025

When the goals come

1
0-15'
1
3
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
2
46-60'
5
0
61-75'
1
3
76-90'
3
1
0-15'
2
0
16-30'
0
3
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
1
2
61-75'
2
3
76-90'
1
Mekelle Kenema Mebrat Hayl

Side by side

Mekelle Kenema Mebrat Hayl
12 Played 15
2 Won 6
7 Drawn 7
3 Lost 2
0.8 Goals scored per game 0.7
0.8 Goals conceded per game 0.4
1 / 0.7 Scored per game (home / away) 1 / 0.3
5 Clean sheets 10
5 Failed to score 8
1 Longest winning run 2
0-2 Biggest win 3-1
1-2 Biggest defeat 2-0
1/1 Penalties scored 0/0

Mekelle Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl: preview and prediction

Mekelle Kenema host Mebrat Hayl in the Ethiopia Premier League (Regular Season - 16) on Tuesday, 20th January 2026 at 16:00. Mekelle Kenema sit 19th in the table and Mebrat Hayl 5th.

Mekelle Kenema have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-D-D-L-W). Mebrat Hayl have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-W-D-W-L).

In the last 4 meetings, Mekelle Kenema won 3, Mebrat Hayl won 1 and 0 ended level. These games average 1.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% and over 2.5 goals in 25%.

Our goal model expects about 0.8 goals for Mekelle Kenema and 0.75 for Mebrat Hayl. It gives Mekelle Kenema the edge (33% home win, 36% draw, 31% away win), 20% for over 2.5 goals and 29% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-0.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.44. We also like Under 2.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Mekelle Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl FAQs

What is the best prediction for Mekelle Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.44 odds).

Who will win Mekelle Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl?

It looks very close: our model gives Mekelle Kenema 33%, the draw 36% and Mebrat Hayl 31%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 29% chance in our model, and it happened in 25% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 1.6 goals in total, with a 20% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Mekelle Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl?

Kick-off is on Tuesday, 20th January 2026 at 16:00.