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Awassa Kenema vs Negelle Arsi Prediction, H2H & Stats

Ethiopia: Premier League · Regular Season - 16
Awassa Kenema

Awassa Kenema

9th in table
LDDLL
Full time
2:0
HT 1 - 0
Negelle Arsi

Negelle Arsi

2nd in table
WDWLD
12' S. Bekele
79' T. Hefamo
Wednesday, 21 January 2026
Hawassa Kenema Stadium, Hawassa

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Sidama Bunna 3819118 43:23 +20 68 LWDWW
2 Negelle Arsi 3815158 37:30 +7 60 LWDWD
3 Mekelakeya 3814159 44:31 +13 57 DLWLL
4 Fasil Ketema 38141311 28:28 0 55 WLWWL
5 Mebrat Hayl 38131510 32:26 +6 54 WDWDL
6 Kedus Giorgis 38141212 33:31 +2 54 DWDWW
7 Welayta Dicha 3811189 37:31 +6 51 DWLWD
8 Ethiopia Bunna 38131213 40:39 +1 51 DWDLL
9 Awassa Kenema 38121412 37:32 +5 50 LDDLW
10 Sheger Ketema 38111710 34:31 +3 50 WWLDW
11 Bahardar 389218 28:28 0 48 DLDLD
12 Hadiya Hosaena 38111512 31:35 -4 48 DDWLD
13 Ethiopia Nigd Bank 38111413 45:45 0 47 DLDLW
14 Ethiopian Medhin 38101612 30:31 -1 46 LLLWD
15 Adama Kenema 38101612 35:39 -4 46 WLDWL
16 Welwalo Adigrat Uni 38101612 32:36 -4 46 DWLDD
17 Suhul Shire 3891514 24:32 -8 42 LWDLD
18 Dire Dawa Kenema 3891514 27:41 -14 42 WDWLL
19 Mekelle Kenema 3881614 26:38 -12 40 WLDDD
20 Arba Minch Kenema 3871417 30:46 -16 35 LLLWW

Recent form

1 W 4 D 5 L in the last 10
11 Oct 2026Premier League Awassa Kenema 0 - 1 Mekelakeya L
02 Jul 2026Premier League Awassa Kenema 2 - 3 Adama Kenema L
28 Jun 2026Premier League Mebrat Hayl 1 - 1 Awassa Kenema D
21 Jun 2026Premier League Awassa Kenema 0 - 0 Bahardar D
15 Jun 2026Premier League Negelle Arsi 2 - 1 Awassa Kenema L
28 May 2026Premier League Awassa Kenema 1 - 0 Ethiopia Bunna W
20 May 2026Premier League Kedus Giorgis 1 - 0 Awassa Kenema L
16 May 2026Premier League Awassa Kenema 0 - 0 Arba Minch Kenema D
09 May 2026Premier League Hadiya Hosaena 1 - 0 Awassa Kenema L
04 May 2026Premier League Awassa Kenema 1 - 1 Sheger Ketema D
4 W 4 D 2 L in the last 10
10 Oct 2026Premier League Kedus Giorgis 1 - 1 Negelle Arsi D
01 Jul 2026Premier League Mekelle Kenema 3 - 0 Negelle Arsi L
26 Jun 2026Premier League Negelle Arsi 2 - 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank W
20 Jun 2026Premier League Sidama Bunna 1 - 1 Negelle Arsi D
15 Jun 2026Premier League Negelle Arsi 2 - 1 Awassa Kenema W
04 Jun 2026Premier League Welayta Dicha 0 - 0 Negelle Arsi D
21 May 2026Premier League Negelle Arsi 0 - 0 Suhul Shire D
14 May 2026Premier League Mekelakeya 4 - 0 Negelle Arsi L
11 May 2026Premier League Negelle Arsi 3 - 0 Dire Dawa Kenema W
06 May 2026Premier League Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1 - 2 Negelle Arsi W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Awassa Kenema Draw Negelle Arsi
Value spotted: Negelle Arsi win at 3.28 (model 39% vs market 28%)

Most likely scores

0-0 16.5%
0-1 16.5%
1-0 13.2%
1-1 13.2%
0-2 8.3%
1-2 6.6%

Expected goals: 0.8 Awassa Kenema · 1 Negelle Arsi

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals54%
Over 2.5 goals27%
Over 3.5 goals11%
Both teams score35%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
38%
Form
62%
33%
Attack
67%
25%
Defence
75%
36%
Goal model
64%
0%
Head to head
0%
0%
Goals
0%
33%
Overall
67%

Season numbers

Premier League 2025

When the goals come

1
0-15'
6
3
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
2
3
46-60'
1
4
61-75'
2
1
76-90'
6
2
0-15'
1
2
16-30'
1
4
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
2
0
61-75'
2
1
76-90'
3
Awassa Kenema Negelle Arsi

Side by side

Awassa Kenema Negelle Arsi
14 Played 15
6 Won 7
4 Drawn 5
4 Lost 3
0.9 Goals scored per game 1.1
0.7 Goals conceded per game 0.7
1 / 0.9 Scored per game (home / away) 1.1 / 1.1
4 Clean sheets 7
5 Failed to score 4
2 Longest winning run 4
2-1 Biggest win 2-0
0-1 Biggest defeat 0-1
0/0 Penalties scored 1/1

Awassa Kenema vs Negelle Arsi: preview and prediction

Awassa Kenema host Negelle Arsi in the Ethiopia Premier League (Regular Season - 16) on Wednesday, 21st January 2026 at 16:00 at Hawassa Kenema Stadium, Hawassa. Awassa Kenema sit 9th in the table and Negelle Arsi 2nd.

Awassa Kenema are struggling, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-D-L-L). Negelle Arsi have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-W-L-D).

Our goal model expects about 0.8 goals for Awassa Kenema and 1 for Negelle Arsi. It gives Negelle Arsi the edge (28% home win, 33% draw, 39% away win), 27% for over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-0.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.47.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Awassa Kenema vs Negelle Arsi FAQs

What is the best prediction for Awassa Kenema vs Negelle Arsi?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.47 odds).

Who will win Awassa Kenema vs Negelle Arsi?

Negelle Arsi are favourites: our model gives Awassa Kenema 28%, the draw 33% and Negelle Arsi 39%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 35% chance in our model.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 1.8 goals in total, with a 27% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Awassa Kenema vs Negelle Arsi?

Kick-off is on Wednesday, 21st January 2026 at 16:00 at Hawassa Kenema Stadium, Hawassa.