Manchester United vs AC Milan Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies
Full time
2:4
HT 1 - 1
AC Milan

AC Milan

WLWLW
2' H. Maguire
11' P. Estupinan
37' S. Chukwueze
48' P. Dorgu
51' P. Dorgu
57' A. Cisse
68' G. Ramos
71' R. Loftus-Cheek
Saturday, 15 August 2026
Tarczynski Arena

Head to head

Last 4 meetings
4games
1Manchester United wins
3Draws
0AC Milan wins
2.3Goals per game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
18 Mar 2021UEFA Europa League AC Milan 0 - 1 Manchester United
11 Mar 2021UEFA Europa League Manchester United 1 - 1 AC Milan
03 Aug 2019International Champions Cup Manchester United 2 - 2 AC Milan
26 Jul 2018International Champions Cup AC Milan 1 - 1 Manchester United

Recent form

1 W 3 D 6 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026UEFA Champions League Manchester United 3 - 2 AS Roma W
31 Oct 2026Premier League Chelsea 2 - 0 Manchester United L
25 Oct 2026Premier League Manchester United 0 - 3 Bournemouth L
21 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Como 4 - 1 Manchester United L
18 Oct 2026Premier League Leeds 1 - 1 Manchester United D
13 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Atletico Madrid 2 - 0 Manchester United L
10 Oct 2026Premier League Manchester United 1 - 1 Tottenham D
20 Sep 2026Premier League Fulham 1 - 1 Manchester United D
16 Sep 2026League Cup Manchester United 2 - 3 Brighton L
13 Sep 2026Premier League Manchester United 0 - 1 Manchester City L
5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Serie A AC Milan 3 - 1 Inter W
28 Oct 2026Serie A AC Milan 2 - 4 Bologna L
25 Oct 2026Serie A Udinese 0 - 2 AC Milan W
22 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League Bournemouth 3 - 0 AC Milan L
18 Oct 2026Serie A AC Milan 3 - 2 Atalanta W
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League Red Bull Salzburg 0 - 4 AC Milan W
11 Oct 2026Serie A Sassuolo 1 - 1 AC Milan D
20 Sep 2026Serie A AC Milan 3 - 0 Lecce W
16 Sep 2026UEFA Europa League AC Milan 0 - 2 Benfica L
12 Sep 2026Serie A Lazio 2 - 2 AC Milan D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Manchester United Draw AC Milan
Value spotted: Manchester United win at 2.02 (model 58% vs market 48%)

Most likely scores

1-0 10.5%
1-1 10.5%
2-0 9.9%
2-1 9.9%
3-0 6.3%
3-1 6.3%

Expected goals: 1.9 Manchester United · 1 AC Milan

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Both teams score54%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
83%
Form
17%
77%
Attack
23%
60%
Defence
40%
73%
Goal model
27%
67%
Head to head
33%
56%
Goals
44%
69%
Overall
30%

Season numbers

Friendlies Clubs 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
2
31-45'
0
2
46-60'
2
3
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
1
2
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
3
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
Manchester United AC Milan

Side by side

Manchester United AC Milan
5 Played 3
3 Won 0
1 Drawn 2
1 Lost 1
2 Goals scored per game 1
0.8 Goals conceded per game 2
1.3 / 3 Scored per game (home / away) 1 / 1
1 Clean sheets 0
1 Failed to score 1
2 Longest winning run 0
2-1 Biggest win -
0-1 Biggest defeat 3-0
1/1 Penalties scored 2/2

Manchester United vs AC Milan: preview and prediction

Manchester United host AC Milan in the World Friendlies Clubs (Club Friendlies) on Saturday, 15th August 2026 at 15:45 at Tarczynski Arena.

Manchester United are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-L-L-W). AC Milan are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-W-L-W).

In the last 4 meetings, Manchester United won 1, AC Milan won 0 and 3 ended level. These games average 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% and over 2.5 goals in 25%.

Our goal model expects about 1.9 goals for Manchester United and 1 for AC Milan. It gives Manchester United the edge (58% home win, 22% draw, 19% away win), 55% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.32. We also like Under 3.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Manchester United vs AC Milan FAQs

What is the best prediction for Manchester United vs AC Milan?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.32 odds).

Who will win Manchester United vs AC Milan?

Manchester United are favourites: our model gives Manchester United 58%, the draw 22% and AC Milan 19%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 54% chance in our model, and it happened in 75% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.9 goals in total, with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Manchester United vs AC Milan?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 15th August 2026 at 15:45 at Tarczynski Arena.