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Bayern München vs RB Leipzig Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies
Bayern München

Bayern München

DWWDW
Full time
3:1
HT 1 - 0
RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

LLWWW
13' L. Diaz
52' B. Gruda
57' N. Brown
81' J. Musiala
Saturday, 15 August 2026
Allianz Arena, Munich
R. Hartmann

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
5Bayern München wins
2Draws
1RB Leipzig wins
4.5Goals per game
63%Both scored
88%Over 2.5
11 Feb 2026DFB Pokal Bayern München 2 - 0 RB Leipzig
17 Jan 2026Bundesliga RB Leipzig 1 - 5 Bayern München
22 Aug 2025Bundesliga Bayern München 6 - 0 RB Leipzig
03 May 2025Bundesliga RB Leipzig 3 - 3 Bayern München
20 Dec 2024Bundesliga Bayern München 5 - 1 RB Leipzig
24 Feb 2024Bundesliga Bayern Munich 2 - 1 RB Leipzig
30 Sep 2023Bundesliga RB Leipzig 2 - 2 Bayern Munich
12 Aug 2023Super Cup Bayern Munich 0 - 3 RB Leipzig

Recent form

6 W 4 D 0 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026UEFA Champions League Atletico Madrid 0 - 2 Bayern München W
31 Oct 2026Bundesliga Bayern München 2 - 2 Borussia Dortmund D
28 Oct 2026DFB Pokal Bayern München 6 - 1 1. FC Magdeburg W
25 Oct 2026Bundesliga SC Freiburg 1 - 3 Bayern München W
21 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Bayern München 2 - 2 Arsenal D
17 Oct 2026Bundesliga Bayern München 6 - 1 RB Leipzig W
13 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Viking 3 - 3 Bayern München D
10 Oct 2026Bundesliga FC Augsburg 2 - 2 Bayern München D
18 Sep 2026Bundesliga Bayern München 7 - 0 Union Berlin W
13 Sep 2026Bundesliga SV Elversberg 1 - 2 Bayern München W
6 W 0 D 4 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Bundesliga FC Schalke 04 0 - 2 RB Leipzig W
27 Oct 2026DFB Pokal Rot-Weiß Essen 1 - 2 RB Leipzig W
24 Oct 2026Bundesliga RB Leipzig 4 - 0 SV Elversberg W
21 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Real Madrid 4 - 1 RB Leipzig L
17 Oct 2026Bundesliga Bayern München 6 - 1 RB Leipzig L
13 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League RB Leipzig 1 - 0 PSV Eindhoven W
10 Oct 2026Bundesliga RB Leipzig 6 - 0 Eintracht Frankfurt W
20 Sep 2026Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 0 RB Leipzig L
13 Sep 2026Bundesliga RB Leipzig 5 - 0 Hamburger SV W
10 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League Como 4 - 1 RB Leipzig L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Bayern München Draw RB Leipzig

Most likely scores

1-0 10%
1-1 10%
2-0 10%
2-1 10%
3-0 6.6%
3-1 6.6%

Expected goals: 2 Bayern München · 1 RB Leipzig

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Both teams score55%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
56%
Attack
44%
60%
Defence
40%
77%
Goal model
23%
93%
Head to head
7%
81%
Goals
19%
69%
Overall
30%

Season numbers

Friendlies Clubs 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
1
3
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
2
3
61-75'
2
2
76-90'
0
2
0-15'
2
0
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
2
76-90'
3
Bayern München RB Leipzig

Side by side

Bayern München RB Leipzig
4 Played 5
3 Won 3
0 Drawn 0
1 Lost 2
2.5 Goals scored per game 1.6
1 Goals conceded per game 1.2
2 / 2.7 Scored per game (home / away) 2.5 / 1
1 Clean sheets 2
0 Failed to score 1
1 Longest winning run 3
2-1 Biggest win 4-0
2-1 Biggest defeat 3-1
1/1 Penalties scored 1/1

Bayern München vs RB Leipzig: preview and prediction

Bayern München host RB Leipzig in the World Friendlies Clubs (Club Friendlies) on Saturday, 15th August 2026 at 14:30 at Allianz Arena, Munich.

Bayern München are in good shape, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-W-D-W). RB Leipzig are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-W-W).

In the last 8 meetings, Bayern München won 5, RB Leipzig won 1 and 2 ended level. These games average 4.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 63% and over 2.5 goals in 88%.

Our goal model expects about 2 goals for Bayern München and 1 for RB Leipzig. It gives Bayern München the edge (60% home win, 21% draw, 18% away win), 58% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Draw at odds of 5.95.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Bayern München vs RB Leipzig FAQs

What is the best prediction for Bayern München vs RB Leipzig?

Our top tip is Draw: Draw (5.95 odds).

Who will win Bayern München vs RB Leipzig?

Bayern München are favourites: our model gives Bayern München 60%, the draw 21% and RB Leipzig 18%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 55% chance in our model, and it happened in 63% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3 goals in total, with a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Bayern München vs RB Leipzig?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 15th August 2026 at 14:30 at Allianz Arena, Munich.

Who is the referee?

R. Hartmann is in charge of this game.