Manchester City vs Sunderland Prediction, H2H & Stats

England: Premier League · Regular Season - 5
Manchester City

Manchester City

1st in table
WWWWL
Full time
5:3
HT 3 - 2
Sunderland

Sunderland

17th in table
LWLLW
8' Dayann Methalie
9' E. Fernandez
12' B. Brobbey
29' R. Cherki
33' B. Brobbey
43' A. Semenyo
57' A. Semenyo
59' B. Brobbey
81' E. Haaland
Sunday, 20 September 2026
Etihad Stadium, Manchester
Robert Jones, England

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
8Manchester City wins
1Draws
0Sunderland wins
3.2Goals per game
56%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
01 Jan 2026Premier League Sunderland 0 - 0 Manchester City
06 Dec 2025Premier League Manchester City 3 - 0 Sunderland
05 Mar 2017Premier League Sunderland 0 - 2 Manchester City
13 Aug 2016Premier League Manchester City 2 - 1 Sunderland
02 Feb 2016Premier League Sunderland 0 - 1 Manchester City
26 Dec 2015Premier League Manchester City 4 - 1 Sunderland
22 Sep 2015League Cup Sunderland 1 - 4 Manchester City
01 Jan 2015Premier League Manchester City 3 - 2 Sunderland
03 Dec 2014Premier League Sunderland 1 - 4 Manchester City

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Manchester City 6600 16:5 +11 18 WWWWW
2 Arsenal 6501 10:5 +5 15 WLWWW
3 Brighton 6411 18:5 +13 13 WWWDL
4 Brentford 6240 12:6 +6 10 DWDDD
5 Everton 6240 8:5 +3 10 DWDDD
6 Chelsea 6312 15:13 +2 10 WLDLW
7 Leeds 6231 8:5 +3 9 LDWDD
8 Hull City 6231 8:6 +2 9 DLDDW
9 Liverpool 6231 7:7 0 9 LWDWD
10 Ipswich 6303 9:12 -3 9 WLWLL
11 Newcastle 6222 10:13 -3 8 LWLDW
12 Crystal Palace 6213 9:12 -3 7 WDLWL
13 Manchester United 6132 9:9 0 6 DDLDW
14 Coventry 6204 5:11 -6 6 WWLLL
15 Nottingham Forest 6123 5:8 -3 5 LLWDD
16 Aston Villa 6123 6:11 -5 5 DWLDL
17 Sunderland 6114 6:12 -6 4 LLLDW
18 Bournemouth 6033 7:13 -6 3 LLDDD
19 Tottenham 6033 3:9 -6 3 DLDDL
20 Fulham 6024 6:10 -4 2 LDDLL

Top scorers

Premier League
1 E. HaalandManchester City 6goals 0assists 6apps
2 João PedroChelsea 5goals 3assists 5apps
3 R. CherkiManchester City 4goals 2assists 6apps
4 M. RogersChelsea 4goals 1assists 6apps
5 A. IsakLiverpool 4goals 0assists 5apps
6 M. BelloumiHull City 3goals 2assists 6apps
7 M. TavernierBournemouth 3goals 0assists 6apps
8 K. SchadeBrentford 3goals 0assists 6apps
9 T. BarryEverton 3goals 0assists 6apps
10 B. MbeumoManchester United 3goals 0assists 6apps

Recent form

8 W 0 D 2 L in the last 10
14 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Manchester City 2 - 4 Paris Saint Germain L
11 Oct 2026Premier League Liverpool 0 - 3 Manchester City W
20 Sep 2026Premier League Manchester City 5 - 3 Sunderland W
17 Sep 2026League Cup Manchester City 5 - 0 Norwich W
13 Sep 2026Premier League Manchester United 0 - 1 Manchester City W
08 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League FC Porto 0 - 2 Manchester City W
05 Sep 2026Premier League Manchester City 1 - 0 Coventry W
28 Aug 2026Premier League Crystal Palace 1 - 4 Manchester City W
23 Aug 2026Premier League Manchester City 2 - 1 Bournemouth W
16 Aug 2026Community Shield Arsenal 3 - 0 Manchester City L
5 W 1 D 4 L in the last 10
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League Torreense 1 - 2 Sunderland W
10 Oct 2026Premier League Sunderland 0 - 2 Brighton L
20 Sep 2026Premier League Manchester City 5 - 3 Sunderland L
16 Sep 2026UEFA Europa League Sunderland 1 - 0 AZ Alkmaar W
12 Sep 2026Premier League Sunderland 0 - 2 Arsenal L
08 Sep 2026League Cup Sunderland 1 - 0 Hull City W
05 Sep 2026Premier League Brentford 1 - 1 Sunderland D
30 Aug 2026Premier League Sunderland 1 - 0 Fulham W
22 Aug 2026Premier League Ipswich 2 - 1 Sunderland L
15 Aug 2026Friendlies Clubs Sunderland 2 - 1 Rennes W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Manchester City Draw Sunderland
Value spotted: Draw at 6.03 (model 26% vs market 16%) · Sunderland win at 10.90 (model 19% vs market 9%)

Most likely scores

1-0 15.8%
1-1 11.9%
2-0 11.9%
0-0 10.5%
2-1 8.9%
0-1 7.9%

Expected goals: 1.5 Manchester City · 0.75 Sunderland

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals66%
Over 2.5 goals39%
Over 3.5 goals19%
Both teams score41%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
75%
Form
25%
73%
Attack
27%
71%
Defence
29%
79%
Goal model
21%
93%
Head to head
7%
89%
Goals
11%
80%
Overall
20%

Season numbers

Premier League 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
2
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
4
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
1
3
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
2
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
2
Manchester City Sunderland

Side by side

Manchester City Sunderland
4 Played 4
4 Won 1
0 Drawn 1
0 Lost 2
2 Goals scored per game 0.8
0.5 Goals conceded per game 1.3
1.5 / 2.5 Scored per game (home / away) 0.5 / 1
2 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 1
4 Longest winning run 1
2-1 Biggest win 1-0
- Biggest defeat 0-2
0/0 Penalties scored 1/2

Manchester City vs Sunderland: preview and prediction

Manchester City host Sunderland in the England Premier League (Regular Season - 5) on Sunday, 20th September 2026 at 14:00 at Etihad Stadium, Manchester. Manchester City sit 1st in the table and Sunderland 17th.

Manchester City are flying, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-W-W-L). Sunderland are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-L-W).

In the last 9 meetings, Manchester City won 8, Sunderland won 0 and 1 ended level. These games average 3.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% and over 2.5 goals in 67%.

Our goal model expects about 1.5 goals for Manchester City and 0.75 for Sunderland. It gives Manchester City the edge (55% home win, 26% draw, 19% away win), 39% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Home Win. We also like Draw No Bet: Home, Home Wins Either Half.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Manchester City vs Sunderland FAQs

What is the best prediction for Manchester City vs Sunderland?

Our top tip is Tip of the Day: Home Win.

Who will win Manchester City vs Sunderland?

Manchester City are favourites: our model gives Manchester City 55%, the draw 26% and Sunderland 19%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 41% chance in our model, and it happened in 56% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.3 goals in total, with a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Manchester City vs Sunderland?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 20th September 2026 at 14:00 at Etihad Stadium, Manchester.

Who is the referee?

Robert Jones, England is in charge of this game.