Manchester City vs Sunderland Prediction, H2H & Stats

England: Premier League · Regular Season - 5
Manchester City

Manchester City

2nd in table
WWLDL
Full time
5:3
HT 3 - 2
Sunderland

Sunderland

20th in table
LDDWL
8' Dayann Methalie
9' E. Fernandez
12' B. Brobbey
29' R. Cherki
33' B. Brobbey
43' A. Semenyo
57' A. Semenyo
59' B. Brobbey
81' E. Haaland
Sunday, 20 September 2026
Etihad Stadium, Manchester
Robert Jones, England

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
8Manchester City wins
1Draws
0Sunderland wins
3.2Goals per game
56%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
01 Jan 2026Premier League Sunderland 0 - 0 Manchester City
06 Dec 2025Premier League Manchester City 3 - 0 Sunderland
05 Mar 2017Premier League Sunderland 0 - 2 Manchester City
13 Aug 2016Premier League Manchester City 2 - 1 Sunderland
02 Feb 2016Premier League Sunderland 0 - 1 Manchester City
26 Dec 2015Premier League Manchester City 4 - 1 Sunderland
22 Sep 2015League Cup Sunderland 1 - 4 Manchester City
01 Jan 2015Premier League Manchester City 3 - 2 Sunderland
03 Dec 2014Premier League Sunderland 1 - 4 Manchester City

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 9801 14:5 +9 24 WWWWL
2 Manchester City 9702 20:10 +10 21 LLWWW
3 Brighton 9612 24:7 +17 19 WLWWW
4 Chelsea 9513 19:15 +4 16 WLWWL
5 Liverpool 9432 11:9 +2 15 LWWLW
6 Brentford 9351 16:9 +7 14 WDLDW
7 Everton 9342 9:9 0 13 WLLDW
8 Bournemouth 9333 14:13 +1 12 WWWLL
9 Tottenham 9333 10:10 0 12 WWWDL
10 Aston Villa 9333 10:13 -3 12 DWWDW
11 Hull City 9252 11:10 +1 11 DDLDL
12 Leeds 9252 9:8 +1 11 LDDLD
13 Newcastle 9324 12:15 -3 11 LWLLW
14 Ipswich 9324 14:18 -4 11 DDLWL
15 Fulham 9234 9:11 -2 9 DWWLD
16 Coventry 9306 9:16 -7 9 WLLWW
17 Manchester United 9144 10:15 -5 7 LLDDD
18 Crystal Palace 9216 9:21 -12 7 LLLWD
19 Nottingham Forest 9135 6:12 -6 6 LDLLL
20 Sunderland 9126 7:17 -10 5 LDLLL

Top scorers

Premier League
1 E. HaalandManchester City 9goals 0assists 9apps
2 A. IsakLiverpool 6goals 0assists 8apps
3 João PedroChelsea 5goals 3assists 6apps
4 M. RogersChelsea 5goals 1assists 9apps
5 M. TavernierBournemouth 5goals 0assists 9apps
6 N. JacksonAston Villa 5goals 0assists 8apps
7 EvanilsonBournemouth 4goals 4assists 9apps
8 R. CherkiManchester City 4goals 2assists 8apps
9 T. BarryEverton 4goals 0assists 9apps
10 B. MbeumoManchester United 4goals 0assists 9apps

Recent form

6 W 1 D 3 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Premier League Manchester City 0 - 1 Brighton L
28 Oct 2026League Cup Manchester City 2 - 2 Brighton D
24 Oct 2026Premier League Aston Villa 2 - 1 Manchester City L
20 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Manchester City 5 - 1 AEK Athens FC W
17 Oct 2026Premier League Manchester City 3 - 2 Ipswich W
14 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Manchester City 2 - 4 Paris Saint Germain L
11 Oct 2026Premier League Liverpool 0 - 3 Manchester City W
20 Sep 2026Premier League Manchester City 5 - 3 Sunderland W
17 Sep 2026League Cup Manchester City 5 - 0 Norwich W
13 Sep 2026Premier League Manchester United 0 - 1 Manchester City W
3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Premier League Coventry 3 - 1 Sunderland L
28 Oct 2026League Cup Sunderland 3 - 2 Brentford W
25 Oct 2026Premier League Sunderland 0 - 0 Leeds D
22 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League Lech Poznan 1 - 1 Sunderland D
18 Oct 2026Premier League Bournemouth 2 - 0 Sunderland L
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League Torreense 1 - 2 Sunderland W
10 Oct 2026Premier League Sunderland 0 - 2 Brighton L
20 Sep 2026Premier League Manchester City 5 - 3 Sunderland L
16 Sep 2026UEFA Europa League Sunderland 1 - 0 AZ Alkmaar W
12 Sep 2026Premier League Sunderland 0 - 2 Arsenal L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Manchester City Draw Sunderland
Value spotted: Draw at 6.03 (model 26% vs market 16%) · Sunderland win at 10.90 (model 19% vs market 9%)

Most likely scores

1-0 15.8%
1-1 11.9%
2-0 11.9%
0-0 10.5%
2-1 8.9%
0-1 7.9%

Expected goals: 1.5 Manchester City · 0.75 Sunderland

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals66%
Over 2.5 goals39%
Over 3.5 goals19%
Both teams score41%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
75%
Form
25%
73%
Attack
27%
71%
Defence
29%
79%
Goal model
21%
93%
Head to head
7%
89%
Goals
11%
80%
Overall
20%

Season numbers

Premier League 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
2
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
4
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
1
3
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
2
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
2
Manchester City Sunderland

Side by side

Manchester City Sunderland
4 Played 4
4 Won 1
0 Drawn 1
0 Lost 2
2 Goals scored per game 0.8
0.5 Goals conceded per game 1.3
1.5 / 2.5 Scored per game (home / away) 0.5 / 1
2 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 1
4 Longest winning run 1
2-1 Biggest win 1-0
- Biggest defeat 0-2
0/0 Penalties scored 1/2

Manchester City vs Sunderland: preview and prediction

Manchester City host Sunderland in the England Premier League (Regular Season - 5) on Sunday, 20th September 2026 at 14:00 at Etihad Stadium, Manchester. Manchester City sit 2nd in the table and Sunderland 20th.

Manchester City have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-L-D-L). Sunderland have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-D-W-L).

In the last 9 meetings, Manchester City won 8, Sunderland won 0 and 1 ended level. These games average 3.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% and over 2.5 goals in 67%.

Our goal model expects about 1.5 goals for Manchester City and 0.75 for Sunderland. It gives Manchester City the edge (55% home win, 26% draw, 19% away win), 39% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Home Win. We also like Draw No Bet: Home, Home Wins Either Half.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Manchester City vs Sunderland FAQs

What is the best prediction for Manchester City vs Sunderland?

Our top tip is Tip of the Day: Home Win.

Who will win Manchester City vs Sunderland?

Manchester City are favourites: our model gives Manchester City 55%, the draw 26% and Sunderland 19%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 41% chance in our model, and it happened in 56% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.3 goals in total, with a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Manchester City vs Sunderland?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 20th September 2026 at 14:00 at Etihad Stadium, Manchester.

Who is the referee?

Robert Jones, England is in charge of this game.