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Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction, H2H & Stats

England: Premier League · Regular Season - 36
Liverpool

Liverpool

5th in table
WWWWD
Full time
1:1
HT 1 - 1
Chelsea

Chelsea

10th in table
LWWLD
6' R. Gravenberch
35' E. Fernandez
67' Jorrel Hato
73' Enzo Fernández
83' Marc Cucurella
88' Joe Gomez
89' Moisés Caicedo
90+4' Alexis Mac Allister
Saturday, 9 May 2026
Anfield, Liverpool
C. Pawson

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
3Liverpool wins
3Draws
2Chelsea wins
2.3Goals per game
63%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
04 Oct 2025Premier League Chelsea 2 - 1 Liverpool
04 May 2025Premier League Chelsea 3 - 1 Liverpool
20 Oct 2024Premier League Liverpool 2 - 1 Chelsea
25 Feb 2024League Cup Chelsea 0 - 1 Liverpool
31 Jan 2024Premier League Liverpool 4 - 1 Chelsea
13 Aug 2023Premier League Chelsea 1 - 1 Liverpool
04 Apr 2023Premier League Chelsea 0 - 0 Liverpool
21 Jan 2023Premier League Liverpool 0 - 0 Chelsea

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 382675 71:27 +44 85 WWWWW
2 Manchester City 382396 77:35 +42 78 LDWWD
3 Manchester United 3820117 69:50 +19 71 WWDWW
4 Aston Villa 3819811 56:49 +7 65 WWDLL
5 Liverpool 3817912 63:53 +10 60 DLDLW
6 Bournemouth 3813187 58:54 +4 57 DDWWD
7 Sunderland 38141212 42:48 -6 54 WWDDL
8 Brighton 38141113 52:46 +6 53 LLWLW
9 Brentford 38141113 55:52 +3 53 DDLWL
10 Chelsea 38141014 58:52 +6 52 LWDLL
11 Fulham 3815716 47:51 -4 52 WDLLW
12 Newcastle 3814717 53:55 -2 49 LWDWL
13 Everton 38131015 47:50 -3 49 LLDDL
14 Leeds 38111413 49:56 -7 47 LWDWD
15 Crystal Palace 38111215 41:51 -10 45 LDLDL
16 Nottingham Forest 38111116 48:51 -3 44 DLDWW
17 Tottenham 38101117 48:57 -9 41 WLDWW
18 West Ham 3810919 46:65 -19 39 WLLLW
19 Burnley 3841024 38:75 -37 22 DLDLL
20 Wolves 3831124 27:68 -41 20 DDLDL

Top scorers

Premier League
1 E. HaalandManchester City 27goals 8assists 35apps
2 ThiagoBrentford 22goals 1assists 38apps
3 A. SemenyoManchester City 17goals 4assists 37apps
4 O. WatkinsAston Villa 16goals 3assists 37apps
5 João PedroChelsea 15goals 5assists 35apps
6 M. Gibbs-WhiteNottingham Forest 15goals 4assists 37apps
7 V. GyökeresArsenal 14goals 1assists 36apps
8 D. Calvert-LewinLeeds 14goals 1assists 35apps
9 D. WelbeckBrighton 13goals 1assists 37apps
10 E. KroupiBournemouth 13goals 0assists 33apps

Recent form

7 W 2 D 1 L in the last 10
28 Oct 2026League Cup Liverpool 1 - 1 Chelsea D
25 Oct 2026Premier League Liverpool 2 - 0 Brighton W
20 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Liverpool 4 - 3 Villarreal W
17 Oct 2026Premier League Brentford 1 - 2 Liverpool W
14 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Lask Linz 3 - 6 Liverpool W
11 Oct 2026Premier League Liverpool 0 - 3 Manchester City L
20 Sep 2026Premier League Bournemouth 0 - 1 Liverpool W
15 Sep 2026League Cup Liverpool 3 - 1 Tottenham W
12 Sep 2026Premier League Liverpool 0 - 0 Fulham D
09 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League Liverpool 2 - 1 Atletico Madrid W
5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
28 Oct 2026League Cup Liverpool 1 - 1 Chelsea D
24 Oct 2026Premier League Chelsea 0 - 2 Tottenham L
17 Oct 2026Premier League Everton 0 - 2 Chelsea W
10 Oct 2026Premier League Chelsea 5 - 1 Bournemouth W
18 Sep 2026Premier League Brentford 3 - 0 Chelsea L
12 Sep 2026Premier League Chelsea 2 - 2 Hull City D
09 Sep 2026League Cup Chelsea 6 - 3 Leeds W
06 Sep 2026Premier League Arsenal 2 - 1 Chelsea L
30 Aug 2026Premier League Chelsea 4 - 3 Brighton W
27 Aug 2026League Cup Chelsea 2 - 0 Luton W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Liverpool Draw Chelsea
Value spotted: Chelsea win at 3.94 (model 34% vs market 25%)

Most likely scores

1-1 10.8%
2-1 8.9%
1-2 7.8%
1-0 7.4%
0-1 6.5%
2-2 6.4%

Expected goals: 1.65 Liverpool · 1.45 Chelsea

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Over 3.5 goals37%
Both teams score62%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
100%
Form
0%
91%
Attack
9%
65%
Defence
35%
54%
Goal model
46%
60%
Head to head
40%
56%
Goals
44%
65%
Overall
34%

Season numbers

Premier League 2025

When the goals come

3
0-15'
6
5
16-30'
6
15
31-45'
11
11
46-60'
13
6
61-75'
8
17
76-90'
9
7
0-15'
10
3
16-30'
5
5
31-45'
8
8
46-60'
7
8
61-75'
8
18
76-90'
11
Liverpool Chelsea

Side by side

Liverpool Chelsea
35 Played 35
17 Won 13
7 Drawn 9
11 Lost 13
1.7 Goals scored per game 1.5
1.3 Goals conceded per game 1.4
1.9 / 1.5 Scored per game (home / away) 1.3 / 1.8
10 Clean sheets 9
4 Failed to score 7
5 Longest winning run 4
5-2 Biggest win 3-0
0-3 Biggest defeat 0-3
1/1 Penalties scored 7/7

Liverpool vs Chelsea: preview and prediction

Liverpool host Chelsea in the England Premier League (Regular Season - 36) on Saturday, 9th May 2026 at 12:30 at Anfield, Liverpool. Liverpool sit 5th in the table and Chelsea 10th.

Liverpool are flying, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-W-W-D). Chelsea have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-W-L-D).

In the last 8 meetings, Liverpool won 3, Chelsea won 2 and 3 ended level. These games average 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 63% and over 2.5 goals in 50%.

Our goal model expects about 1.65 goals for Liverpool and 1.45 for Chelsea. It gives Liverpool the edge (42% home win, 24% draw, 34% away win), 60% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home Win. We also like Home or Draw, Over 0.5, Draw No Bet: Home.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Liverpool vs Chelsea FAQs

What is the best prediction for Liverpool vs Chelsea?

Our top tip is Super Single: Home Win.

Who will win Liverpool vs Chelsea?

Liverpool are favourites: our model gives Liverpool 42%, the draw 24% and Chelsea 34%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 62% chance in our model, and it happened in 63% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.1 goals in total, with a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Liverpool vs Chelsea?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 9th May 2026 at 12:30 at Anfield, Liverpool.

Who is the referee?

C. Pawson is in charge of this game.