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Lillestrom vs Sogndal Prediction, H2H & Stats

Norway: NM Cupen · Round of 32
Lillestrom

Lillestrom

DDWLW
Kick-off
18:00
Wed, 28 Oct 2026
Sogndal

Sogndal

LLDWW
Wednesday, 28 October 2026

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
5Lillestrom wins
2Draws
2Sogndal wins
2.3Goals per game
44%Both scored
44%Over 2.5
13 Sep 20251. Division Sogndal 1 - 5 Lillestrom
28 Jun 20251. Division Lillestrom 0 - 0 Sogndal
12 Mar 2023NM Cupen Sogndal 1 - 2 Lillestrom
04 Nov 20201. Division Sogndal 0 - 1 Lillestrom
04 Aug 20201. Division Lillestrom 0 - 2 Sogndal
15 Oct 2017Eliteserien Lillestrom 1 - 0 Sogndal
30 Apr 2017Eliteserien Sogndal 0 - 1 Lillestrom
25 Sep 2016Eliteserien Lillestrom 1 - 2 Sogndal
29 May 2016Eliteserien Sogndal 2 - 2 Lillestrom

Recent form

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
25 Oct 2026Eliteserien Lillestrom 3 - 2 Brann W
22 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League Lillestrom 0 - 6 Real Sociedad L
18 Oct 2026Eliteserien Sandefjord 0 - 2 Lillestrom W
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League Sparta Praha 1 - 1 Lillestrom D
11 Oct 2026Eliteserien Lillestrom 2 - 2 Molde D
01 Oct 2026NM Cupen Bærum 1 - 5 Lillestrom W
20 Sep 2026Eliteserien Viking 3 - 0 Lillestrom L
17 Sep 2026UEFA Europa League Lillestrom 1 - 2 Torreense L
12 Sep 2026Eliteserien Lillestrom 2 - 0 Valerenga W
05 Sep 2026Eliteserien Brann 1 - 2 Lillestrom W
2 W 3 D 5 L in the last 10
25 Oct 20261. Division Sogndal 3 - 1 Kongsvinger W
21 Oct 20261. Division Sogndal 2 - 1 Raufoss W
18 Oct 20261. Division Egersund 3 - 3 Sogndal D
14 Oct 20261. Division Sogndal 0 - 1 ODD Ballklubb L
11 Oct 20261. Division Asane 2 - 1 Sogndal L
20 Sep 20261. Division Stabaek 2 - 1 Sogndal L
16 Sep 2026NM Cupen Sotra 1 - 1 Sogndal D
13 Sep 20261. Division Sogndal 1 - 1 Strommen D
05 Sep 20261. Division Haugesund 2 - 0 Sogndal L
30 Aug 20261. Division Sogndal 2 - 3 Stromsgodset L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Lillestrom Draw Sogndal
Value spotted: Draw at 9.00 (model 19% vs market 10%) · Sogndal win at 21.00 (model 45% vs market 4%)

Most likely scores

2-2 6.8%
1-2 6.1%
2-3 5.7%
2-1 5.5%
3-2 5.1%
1-3 5.1%

Expected goals: 2.25 Lillestrom · 2.5 Sogndal

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals94%
Over 2.5 goals85%
Over 3.5 goals69%
Both teams score82%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
60%
Form
40%
47%
Attack
53%
50%
Defence
50%
0%
Goal model
0%
71%
Head to head
29%
67%
Goals
33%
59%
Overall
41%

Season numbers

NM Cupen 2027

When the goals come

2
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
4
0
46-60'
0
3
61-75'
2
1
76-90'
2
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
0
Lillestrom Sogndal

Side by side

Lillestrom Sogndal
2 Played 2
2 Won 1
0 Drawn 1
0 Lost 0
4 Goals scored per game 4.5
0.5 Goals conceded per game 0.5
0 / 4 Scored per game (home / away) 0 / 4.5
1 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 0
2 Longest winning run 1
1-5 Biggest win 0-8
- Biggest defeat -
0/0 Penalties scored 6/6

What comes next

Lillestrom
Sogndal (H) 28 Oct
Start (A) 01 Nov
Plzen (H) 05 Nov
Aalesund (H) 08 Nov
Sarpsborg 08 FF (A) 22 Nov
Sogndal
Lillestrom (A) 28 Oct
Ranheim (A) 01 Nov
hodd (H) 08 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Lillestrom 1.09 92% implied Our tip
Draw 9.00 11% implied
Sogndal 21.00 5% implied
Lillestrom 1.02 98% implied Our tip
Sogndal 19.00 5% implied
Over 0.5 1.01 99% implied
Under 0.5 29.00 3% implied
Over 1.5 1.06 94% implied
Under 1.5 10.00 10% implied
Over 2.5 1.25 80% implied
Under 2.5 4.00 25% implied
Over 3.5 1.62 62% implied
Under 3.5 2.20 45% implied
Over 4.5 2.50 40% implied
Under 4.5 1.50 67% implied
Lillestrom/Draw 26.00 4% implied
Lillestrom/Sogndal 67.00 1% implied
Draw/Sogndal 41.00 2% implied
Draw/Draw 15.00 7% implied
Lillestrom/Lillestrom 1.40 71% implied
Draw/Lillestrom 4.00 25% implied
Sogndal/Lillestrom 17.00 6% implied
Sogndal/Draw 34.00 3% implied
Sogndal/Sogndal 41.00 2% implied
Yes 2.10 48% implied
No 1.67 60% implied
3:0 7.00 14% implied
2:0 8.00 13% implied
4:0 8.50 12% implied
3:1 11.00 9% implied
5:0 12.00 8% implied
1:0 13.00 8% implied
2:1 13.00 8% implied
4:1 13.00 8% implied
Lillestrom/Draw 1.01 99% implied
Lillestrom/Sogndal 1.06 94% implied
Draw/Sogndal 9.00 11% implied
Lillestrom 1.36 74% implied Our tip
Draw 3.75 27% implied
Sogndal 15.00 7% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Lillestrom vs Sogndal: preview and prediction

Lillestrom host Sogndal in the Norway NM Cupen (Round of 32) on Wednesday, 28th October 2026 at 18:00.

Lillestrom have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-D-W-L-W). Sogndal have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-D-W-W).

In the last 9 meetings, Lillestrom won 5, Sogndal won 2 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 44% and over 2.5 goals in 44%.

Our goal model expects about 2.25 goals for Lillestrom and 2.5 for Sogndal. It gives Sogndal the edge (36% home win, 19% draw, 45% away win), 85% for over 2.5 goals and 82% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-2.

Verdict: our pick is Home Win at odds of 1.17.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Lillestrom vs Sogndal FAQs

What is the best prediction for Lillestrom vs Sogndal?

Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (1.17 odds).

Who will win Lillestrom vs Sogndal?

Sogndal are favourites: our model gives Lillestrom 36%, the draw 19% and Sogndal 45%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 82% chance in our model, and it happened in 44% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 4.8 goals in total, with a 85% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Lillestrom vs Sogndal?

Kick-off is on Wednesday, 28th October 2026 at 18:00.