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Leiston vs Coventry United Prediction, H2H & Stats

England: FA Cup · 3rd Round Qualifying
Leiston

Leiston

DLLWL
Full time
3:1
HT 3 - 0
Coventry United

Coventry United

LLWWL
28' E. Jackson
36' N. Aitkens
42' A. Mills
80' C. Dunn
Saturday, 3 October 2026

Recent form

3 W 1 D 6 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Non League Premier - Southern Central Leiston 1 - 3 Alvechurch L
27 Oct 2026Non League Premier - Southern Central Peterborough Sports 2 - 5 Leiston W
20 Oct 2026Non League Premier - Southern Central Kettering Town 4 - 0 Leiston L
17 Oct 2026FA Cup Leiston 0 - 3 Guiseley AFC L
10 Oct 2026Non League Premier - Southern Central Racing Club Warwick 0 - 0 Leiston D
03 Oct 2026FA Cup Leiston 3 - 1 Coventry United W
29 Sep 2026Non League Premier - Southern Central Real Bedford 3 - 2 Leiston L
26 Sep 2026FA Trophy Leiston 0 - 3 Dartford L
22 Sep 2026Non League Premier - Southern Central Leiston 0 - 2 Peterborough Sports L
19 Sep 2026FA Cup Hitchin Town 1 - 2 Leiston W
3 W 0 D 7 L in the last 10
03 Oct 2026FA Cup Leiston 3 - 1 Coventry United L
19 Sep 2026FA Cup Hednesford Town 0 - 1 Coventry United W
05 Sep 2026FA Cup Coventry United 2 - 1 Bedworth United W
29 Aug 2026FA Trophy Coventry United 1 - 3 Kidsgrove Athletic L
27 Jul 2026Friendlies Clubs Redditch United 3 - 1 Coventry United L
16 Aug 2025FA Cup Abbey Hulton 4 - 3 Coventry United L
02 Aug 2025FA Cup Shifnal Town FC 0 - 1 Coventry United W
03 Aug 2024FA Cup Sporting Khalsa 3 - 0 Coventry United L
04 Aug 2023FA Cup Coventry United 2 - 3 Studley L
09 Aug 2022FA Cup Highgate United 4 - 0 Coventry United L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Leiston Draw Coventry United
Value spotted: Leiston win at 1.72 (model 80% vs market 55%)

Most likely scores

2-0 12.6%
3-0 11.6%
1-0 9.2%
2-1 8.2%
4-0 8%
3-1 7.5%

Expected goals: 2.75 Leiston · 0.65 Coventry United

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Over 3.5 goals43%
Both teams score44%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
54%
Form
46%
70%
Attack
30%
50%
Defence
50%
0%
Goal model
0%
0%
Head to head
0%
0%
Goals
0%
58%
Overall
42%

Season numbers

FA Cup 2026

Side by side

Leiston Coventry United
3 Played 2
2 Won 2
1 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
2.3 Goals scored per game 1.5
0.3 Goals conceded per game 0.5
5 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 2 / 1
2 Clean sheets 1
1 Failed to score 0
0 Longest winning run 2
5-0 Biggest win 2-1
- Biggest defeat -
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Leiston vs Coventry United: preview and prediction

Leiston host Coventry United in the England FA Cup (3rd Round Qualifying) on Saturday, 3rd October 2026 at 15:00.

Leiston are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-L-W-L). Coventry United are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-W-L).

Our goal model expects about 2.75 goals for Leiston and 0.65 for Coventry United. It gives Leiston the edge (80% home win, 13% draw, 6% away win), 65% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-0.

Our pick was Over 2.5 at odds of 1.65. We also like Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Leiston vs Coventry United FAQs

What is the best prediction for Leiston vs Coventry United?

Our top tip is Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5 (1.65 odds).

Who will win Leiston vs Coventry United?

Leiston are favourites: our model gives Leiston 80%, the draw 13% and Coventry United 6%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 44% chance in our model.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.4 goals in total, with a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Leiston vs Coventry United?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 3rd October 2026 at 15:00.