Bury Town vs Spalding United Prediction, H2H & Stats

England: FA Cup · 3rd Round Qualifying
Bury Town

Bury Town

WDLDL
Full time
1:1
HT 1 - 1
Saturday, 3 October 2026

Head to head

Last 2 meetings
2games
0Bury Town wins
0Draws
2Spalding United wins
3Goals per game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
25 Nov 2025Non League Premier - Southern Central Spalding United 2 - 1 Bury Town
23 Sep 2025Non League Premier - Southern Central Bury Town 1 - 2 Spalding United

Recent form

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026Non League Premier - Southern Central Bury Town 2 - 3 Kettering Town L
31 Oct 2026Non League Premier - Southern Central Bury Town 2 - 2 Banbury United D
24 Oct 2026Non League Premier - Southern Central Hitchin Town 5 - 1 Bury Town L
20 Oct 2026Non League Premier - Southern Central Real Bedford 2 - 2 Bury Town D
17 Oct 2026Non League Premier - Southern Central Bury Town 2 - 0 Stourbridge W
13 Oct 2026Non League Premier - Southern Central Bury Town 0 - 5 Needham Market L
10 Oct 2026Non League Premier - Southern Central Alvechurch 0 - 1 Bury Town W
06 Oct 2026FA Cup Spalding United 4 - 0 Bury Town L
03 Oct 2026FA Cup Bury Town 1 - 1 Spalding United D
29 Sep 2026Non League Premier - Southern Central Bishop's Stortford 1 - 2 Bury Town W
3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026National League - North Spalding United 3 - 2 Darlington 1883 W
27 Oct 2026National League - North Spalding United 2 - 2 Brackley Town D
24 Oct 2026National League - North Hednesford Town 2 - 0 Spalding United L
20 Oct 2026FA Cup Alvechurch 4 - 0 Spalding United L
17 Oct 2026FA Cup Spalding United 2 - 2 Alvechurch D
10 Oct 2026National League - North Marine 1 - 0 Spalding United L
06 Oct 2026FA Cup Spalding United 4 - 0 Bury Town W
03 Oct 2026FA Cup Bury Town 1 - 1 Spalding United D
26 Sep 2026National League - North Chorley 2 - 1 Spalding United L
19 Sep 2026FA Cup Spalding United 2 - 0 Hanley Town W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Bury Town Draw Spalding United
Value spotted: Bury Town win at 2.97 (model 64% vs market 32%)

Most likely scores

3-2 5.2%
4-2 5.2%
3-1 4.6%
4-1 4.6%
5-2 4.2%
2-2 3.9%

Expected goals: 4 Bury Town · 2.25 Spalding United

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals93%
Over 2.5 goals90%
Over 3.5 goals82%
Both teams score83%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
67%
Form
33%
80%
Attack
20%
0%
Defence
100%
0%
Goal model
0%
0%
Head to head
100%
33%
Goals
67%
60%
Overall
40%

Season numbers

FA Cup 2026

Side by side

Bury Town Spalding United
2 Played 1
2 Won 1
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
4 Goals scored per game 2
2.5 Goals conceded per game 0
0 / 4 Scored per game (home / away) 2 / 0
0 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 0
2 Longest winning run 1
2-4 Biggest win 2-0
- Biggest defeat -
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Bury Town vs Spalding United: preview and prediction

Bury Town host Spalding United in the England FA Cup (3rd Round Qualifying) on Saturday, 3rd October 2026 at 15:00.

Bury Town have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-D-L-D-L). Spalding United have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-L-D-W).

In the last 2 meetings, Bury Town won 0, Spalding United won 2 and 0 ended level. These games average 3 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% and over 2.5 goals in 100%.

Our goal model expects about 4 goals for Bury Town and 2.25 for Spalding United. It gives Bury Town the edge (64% home win, 13% draw, 18% away win), 90% for over 2.5 goals and 83% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 3-2.

Our pick was Away Win at odds of 2.16.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Bury Town vs Spalding United FAQs

What is the best prediction for Bury Town vs Spalding United?

Our top tip is Away Win: Away Win (2.16 odds).

Who will win Bury Town vs Spalding United?

Bury Town are favourites: our model gives Bury Town 64%, the draw 13% and Spalding United 18%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 83% chance in our model, and it happened in 100% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 6.3 goals in total, with a 90% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Bury Town vs Spalding United?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 3rd October 2026 at 15:00.