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Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction, H2H & Stats

Netherlands: Eredivisie · Regular Season - 5
Heerenveen

Heerenveen

7th in table
WLWWW
Full time
2:3
HT 2 - 1
AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar

5th in table
LWDWL
7' R. Daal
21' N. Courtens
28' Nolhan Courtens
30' R. Meerveld
54' Ro-Zangelo Daal
69' M. Meerdink
83' A. Oufkir
90+1' Ayoub Oufkir
Sunday, 6 September 2026
Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen
Jeroen Manschot, Netherlands

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
2Heerenveen wins
2Draws
5AZ Alkmaar wins
4.1Goals per game
67%Both scored
78%Over 2.5
12 Apr 2026Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar 3 - 0 Heerenveen
23 Nov 2025Eredivisie Heerenveen 3 - 1 AZ Alkmaar
22 May 2025Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar 4 - 1 Heerenveen
02 Mar 2025Eredivisie Heerenveen 3 - 1 AZ Alkmaar
14 Sep 2024Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar 9 - 1 Heerenveen
28 Jan 2024Eredivisie Heerenveen 2 - 2 AZ Alkmaar
21 Oct 2023Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar 3 - 0 Heerenveen
01 Apr 2023Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar 1 - 1 Heerenveen
14 Jan 2023Eredivisie Heerenveen 0 - 2 AZ Alkmaar

Eredivisie table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Feyenoord 10730 32:11 +21 24 DWWWW
2 Ajax 10631 29:13 +16 21 WWDDW
3 PSV Eindhoven 10622 28:13 +15 20 DLWLW
4 Twente 10622 19:10 +9 20 WLDWW
5 AZ Alkmaar 10622 20:12 +8 20 LDLWD
6 Fortuna Sittard 10532 17:17 0 18 WDDWL
7 Heerenveen 10433 18:13 +5 15 WWLWD
8 Groningen 10433 24:21 +3 15 DLWWD
9 GO Ahead Eagles 10352 23:23 0 14 WLDDD
10 Cambuur 10334 19:22 -3 12 WDWDW
11 Utrecht 10334 17:27 -10 12 DWWLW
12 NEC Nijmegen 10253 17:18 -1 11 DDDDL
13 Excelsior 10325 16:19 -3 11 LLLDL
14 Sparta Rotterdam 10235 17:24 -7 9 LWDLL
15 PEC Zwolle 10226 11:23 -12 8 DWLLL
16 Telstar 10136 12:21 -9 6 LLDLD
17 ADO Den Haag 10136 13:23 -10 6 LWDDL
18 Willem II 10028 10:32 -22 2 LLLLL

Top scorers

Eredivisie
1 S. TengstedtGO Ahead Eagles 8goals 2assists 10apps
2 B. WillumssonGroningen 8goals 0assists 10apps
3 J. BrandtAjax 6goals 2assists 10apps
4 J. TrenskowHeerenveen 6goals 2assists 10apps
5 M. ZonneveldSparta Rotterdam 6goals 1assists 10apps
6 G. TilPSV Eindhoven 6goals 1assists 10apps
7 Nacho FerriFeyenoord 6goals 1assists 9apps
8 A. Hadj-MoussaFeyenoord 6goals 1assists 9apps
9 T. van BergenGroningen 6goals 3assists 10apps
10 G. ZechiëlFeyenoord 5goals 4assists 10apps

Recent form

4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
28 Oct 2026KNVB Beker Excelsior Maassluis 0 - 2 Heerenveen W
24 Oct 2026Eredivisie ADO Den Haag 2 - 3 Heerenveen W
16 Oct 2026Eredivisie Heerenveen 4 - 0 Excelsior W
09 Oct 2026Eredivisie PSV Eindhoven 2 - 0 Heerenveen L
19 Sep 2026Eredivisie Sparta Rotterdam 0 - 4 Heerenveen W
13 Sep 2026Eredivisie Heerenveen 0 - 0 Telstar D
06 Sep 2026Eredivisie Heerenveen 2 - 3 AZ Alkmaar L
30 Aug 2026Eredivisie Willem II 2 - 2 Heerenveen D
22 Aug 2026Eredivisie Heerenveen 0 - 2 PEC Zwolle L
16 Aug 2026Eredivisie Ajax 2 - 2 Heerenveen D
5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
25 Oct 2026Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar 0 - 2 Twente L
22 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League Ararat-Armenia 0 - 4 AZ Alkmaar W
18 Oct 2026Eredivisie Cambuur 2 - 2 AZ Alkmaar D
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League AZ Alkmaar 2 - 1 Hapoel Beer Sheva W
10 Oct 2026Eredivisie Feyenoord 2 - 0 AZ Alkmaar L
20 Sep 2026Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar 1 - 0 Telstar W
16 Sep 2026UEFA Europa League Sunderland 1 - 0 AZ Alkmaar L
11 Sep 2026Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar 1 - 1 Willem II D
06 Sep 2026Eredivisie Heerenveen 2 - 3 AZ Alkmaar W
29 Aug 2026Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar 5 - 2 GO Ahead Eagles W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Heerenveen Draw AZ Alkmaar
Value spotted: AZ Alkmaar win at 1.76 (model 73% vs market 55%)

Most likely scores

0-1 16.4%
0-2 16.4%
0-3 10.9%
0-0 8.2%
1-1 8.2%
1-2 8.2%

Expected goals: 0.5 Heerenveen · 2 AZ Alkmaar

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams score34%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
29%
Form
71%
28%
Attack
72%
33%
Defence
67%
11%
Goal model
89%
40%
Head to head
60%
31%
Goals
69%
28%
Overall
71%

Season numbers

Eredivisie 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
2
1
46-60'
4
1
61-75'
3
2
76-90'
3
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
1
Heerenveen AZ Alkmaar

Side by side

Heerenveen AZ Alkmaar
4 Played 4
1 Won 4
2 Drawn 0
1 Lost 0
1.3 Goals scored per game 3.3
1.5 Goals conceded per game 0.8
0.5 / 2 Scored per game (home / away) 3.5 / 3
1 Clean sheets 2
1 Failed to score 0
1 Longest winning run 4
1-0 Biggest win 5-2
0-2 Biggest defeat -
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar: preview and prediction

Heerenveen host AZ Alkmaar in the Netherlands Eredivisie (Regular Season - 5) on Sunday, 6th September 2026 at 13:30 at Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen. Heerenveen sit 7th in the table and AZ Alkmaar 5th.

Heerenveen are flying, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-L-W-W-W). AZ Alkmaar have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-D-W-L).

In the last 9 meetings, Heerenveen won 2, AZ Alkmaar won 5 and 2 ended level. These games average 4.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 goals in 78%.

Our goal model expects about 0.5 goals for Heerenveen and 2 for AZ Alkmaar. It gives AZ Alkmaar the edge (8% home win, 19% draw, 73% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw. We also like Away Win, Draw No Bet: Away, Away Wins Either Half.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar FAQs

What is the best prediction for Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar?

Our top tip is Tip of the Day: Away or Draw.

Who will win Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar?

AZ Alkmaar are favourites: our model gives Heerenveen 8%, the draw 19% and AZ Alkmaar 73%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 34% chance in our model, and it happened in 67% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 6th September 2026 at 13:30 at Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen.

Who is the referee?

Jeroen Manschot, Netherlands is in charge of this game.