Everton vs Chelsea Prediction, H2H & Stats

England: Premier League · Regular Season - 7
Everton

Everton

7th in table
DLLWW
Full time
0:2
HT 0 - 0
Chelsea

Chelsea

4th in table
WWLDW
23' Harrison Armstrong
27' Pedro Neto
32' Josh Acheampong
34' James Tarkowski
34' Morgan Rogers
46' P. Neto
65' Cole Palmer
89' Christian Nørgaard
90' P. Neto
Saturday, 17 October 2026
Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool
Paul Tierney, England

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
3Everton wins
2Draws
4Chelsea wins
2.2Goals per game
11%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
21 Mar 2026Premier League Everton 3 - 0 Chelsea
13 Dec 2025Premier League Chelsea 2 - 0 Everton
26 Apr 2025Premier League Chelsea 1 - 0 Everton
22 Dec 2024Premier League Everton 0 - 0 Chelsea
15 Apr 2024Premier League Chelsea 6 - 0 Everton
10 Dec 2023Premier League Everton 2 - 0 Chelsea
18 Mar 2023Premier League Chelsea 2 - 2 Everton
06 Aug 2022Premier League Everton 0 - 1 Chelsea
01 May 2022Premier League Everton 1 - 0 Chelsea

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 9801 14:5 +9 24 WWWWL
2 Manchester City 9702 20:10 +10 21 LLWWW
3 Brighton 9612 24:7 +17 19 WLWWW
4 Chelsea 9513 19:15 +4 16 WLWWL
5 Liverpool 9432 11:9 +2 15 LWWLW
6 Brentford 9351 16:9 +7 14 WDLDW
7 Everton 9342 9:9 0 13 WLLDW
8 Bournemouth 9333 14:13 +1 12 WWWLL
9 Tottenham 9333 10:10 0 12 WWWDL
10 Aston Villa 9333 10:13 -3 12 DWWDW
11 Hull City 9252 11:10 +1 11 DDLDL
12 Leeds 9252 9:8 +1 11 LDDLD
13 Newcastle 9324 12:15 -3 11 LWLLW
14 Ipswich 9324 14:18 -4 11 DDLWL
15 Fulham 9234 9:11 -2 9 DWWLD
16 Coventry 9306 9:16 -7 9 WLLWW
17 Manchester United 9144 10:15 -5 7 LLDDD
18 Crystal Palace 9216 9:21 -12 7 LLLWD
19 Nottingham Forest 9135 6:12 -6 6 LDLLL
20 Sunderland 9126 7:17 -10 5 LDLLL

Top scorers

Premier League
1 E. HaalandManchester City 9goals 0assists 9apps
2 A. IsakLiverpool 6goals 0assists 8apps
3 João PedroChelsea 5goals 3assists 6apps
4 M. RogersChelsea 5goals 1assists 9apps
5 M. TavernierBournemouth 5goals 0assists 9apps
6 N. JacksonAston Villa 5goals 0assists 8apps
7 EvanilsonBournemouth 4goals 4assists 9apps
8 R. CherkiManchester City 4goals 2assists 8apps
9 T. BarryEverton 4goals 0assists 9apps
10 B. MbeumoManchester United 4goals 0assists 9apps

Recent form

4 W 4 D 2 L in the last 10
02 Nov 2026Premier League Newcastle 0 - 1 Everton W
29 Oct 2026League Cup Everton 3 - 1 Newcastle W
24 Oct 2026Premier League Arsenal 2 - 0 Everton L
17 Oct 2026Premier League Everton 0 - 2 Chelsea L
11 Oct 2026Premier League Hull City 2 - 2 Everton D
19 Sep 2026Premier League Everton 1 - 0 Ipswich W
16 Sep 2026League Cup Everton 1 - 0 Wolves W
12 Sep 2026Premier League Tottenham 0 - 0 Everton D
06 Sep 2026Premier League Everton 2 - 2 Manchester United D
29 Aug 2026Premier League Bournemouth 1 - 1 Everton D
5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Premier League Chelsea 2 - 0 Manchester United W
28 Oct 2026League Cup Liverpool 1 - 1 Chelsea D
24 Oct 2026Premier League Chelsea 0 - 2 Tottenham L
17 Oct 2026Premier League Everton 0 - 2 Chelsea W
10 Oct 2026Premier League Chelsea 5 - 1 Bournemouth W
18 Sep 2026Premier League Brentford 3 - 0 Chelsea L
12 Sep 2026Premier League Chelsea 2 - 2 Hull City D
09 Sep 2026League Cup Chelsea 6 - 3 Leeds W
06 Sep 2026Premier League Arsenal 2 - 1 Chelsea L
30 Aug 2026Premier League Chelsea 4 - 3 Brighton W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Everton Draw Chelsea
Value spotted: Everton win at 3.24 (model 60% vs market 30%)

Most likely scores

1-0 10%
1-1 10%
2-0 10%
2-1 10%
3-0 6.6%
3-1 6.6%

Expected goals: 2 Everton · 1 Chelsea

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Both teams score55%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
33%
Attack
67%
69%
Defence
31%
78%
Goal model
22%
29%
Head to head
71%
25%
Goals
75%
47%
Overall
52%

Season numbers

Premier League 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
7
0
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
2
2
46-60'
2
1
61-75'
5
2
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
3
1
31-45'
2
2
46-60'
3
1
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
2
Everton Chelsea

Side by side

Everton Chelsea
6 Played 6
2 Won 3
4 Drawn 1
0 Lost 2
1.3 Goals scored per game 2.5
0.8 Goals conceded per game 2.2
1.7 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 3.7 / 1.3
3 Clean sheets 0
1 Failed to score 1
1 Longest winning run 2
2-0 Biggest win 5-1
- Biggest defeat 3-0
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Everton vs Chelsea: preview and prediction

Everton host Chelsea in the England Premier League (Regular Season - 7) on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 12:30 at Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool. Everton sit 7th in the table and Chelsea 4th.

Everton have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-L-W-W). Chelsea are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-L-D-W).

In the last 9 meetings, Everton won 3, Chelsea won 4 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 11% and over 2.5 goals in 33%.

Our goal model expects about 2 goals for Everton and 1 for Chelsea. It gives Everton the edge (60% home win, 21% draw, 18% away win), 58% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.40. We also like BTTS Yes.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Everton vs Chelsea FAQs

What is the best prediction for Everton vs Chelsea?

Our top tip is Super Single: Away or Draw (1.40 odds).

Who will win Everton vs Chelsea?

Everton are favourites: our model gives Everton 60%, the draw 21% and Chelsea 18%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 55% chance in our model, and it happened in 11% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3 goals in total, with a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Everton vs Chelsea?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 12:30 at Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool.

Who is the referee?

Paul Tierney, England is in charge of this game.