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Estrela vs Famalicao Prediction, H2H & Stats

Portugal: Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 33
Estrela

Estrela

15th in table
DLLWL
Full time
0:0
HT 0 - 0
Famalicao

Famalicao

5th in table
DWLLW
61' Gustavo García
65' Renan Ribeiro
73' Rodrigo Pinho
84' Jefferson Encada
Monday, 11 May 2026
Estádio José Gomes, Amadora
F. Verissimo

Head to head

Last 5 meetings
5games
2Estrela wins
2Draws
1Famalicao wins
1.8Goals per game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
27 Dec 2025Primeira Liga Famalicao 2 - 3 Estrela
25 Jan 2025Primeira Liga Famalicao 0 - 0 Estrela
19 Aug 2024Primeira Liga Estrela 0 - 3 Famalicao
16 Mar 2024Primeira Liga Famalicao 0 - 0 Estrela
29 Oct 2023Primeira Liga Estrela 1 - 0 Famalicao

Primeira Liga table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 FC Porto 342842 66:18 +48 88 WLWWW
2 Sporting CP 342572 89:24 +65 82 WWWDD
3 Benfica 3423110 74:25 +49 80 WDDWW
4 SC Braga 3416117 64:36 +28 59 DDDLW
5 Famalicao 3415118 42:29 +13 56 WDDWD
6 GIL Vicente 34131110 47:38 +9 50 LLDWL
7 Moreirense 3412715 37:49 -12 43 DLWLW
8 Arouca 3412616 47:64 -17 42 WWDLW
9 Guimaraes 3412616 39:51 -12 42 LLLWW
10 Estoril 3410915 54:57 -3 39 LDDLL
11 Alverca 3410915 35:52 -17 39 LDLWL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 35:57 -22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 32:41 -9 36 LWDWD
14 Nacional 349718 37:45 -8 34 WLLWW
15 Estrela 3461216 38:56 -18 30 DDLLL
16 Casa Pia 3461216 31:57 -26 30 DWLLL
17 Tondela 3461018 27:55 -28 28 LWWDL
18 AVS 3431219 27:67 -40 21 DWWDD

Top scorers

Primeira Liga
1 L. SuárezSporting CP 28goals 6assists 32apps
2 V. PavlidisBenfica 23goals 4assists 33apps
3 Y. BegraouiEstoril 20goals 1assists 34apps
4 C. RamírezNacional 18goals 0assists 33apps
5 R. ZalazarSC Braga 16goals 5assists 28apps
6 Jovane CabralEstrela 14goals 2assists 54apps
7 Ricardo HortaSC Braga 14goals 4assists 28apps
8 KikasEstrela 12goals 2assists 34apps
9 PoteSporting CP 12goals 8assists 26apps
10 SamuFC Porto 12goals 1assists 20apps

Recent form

3 W 4 D 3 L in the last 10
24 Oct 2026Primeira Liga Estrela 0 - 2 Casa Pia L
17 Oct 2026Taça de Portugal Fazendense 1 - 2 Estrela W
11 Oct 2026Primeira Liga Arouca 1 - 0 Estrela L
20 Sep 2026Primeira Liga Estrela 0 - 2 Academico Viseu L
14 Sep 2026Primeira Liga Rio Ave 3 - 3 Estrela D
10 Sep 2026Primeira Liga Estrela 2 - 1 SC Braga W
05 Sep 2026Primeira Liga Estrela 2 - 2 Famalicao D
30 Aug 2026Primeira Liga Nacional 2 - 3 Estrela W
15 Aug 2026Primeira Liga Alverca 2 - 2 Estrela D
08 Aug 2026Primeira Liga Estrela 2 - 2 Sporting CP D
2 W 4 D 4 L in the last 10
25 Oct 2026Primeira Liga Rio Ave 0 - 4 Famalicao W
18 Oct 2026Taça de Portugal Paredes 1 - 0 Famalicao L
12 Oct 2026Primeira Liga Famalicao 1 - 4 Alverca L
19 Sep 2026Primeira Liga Nacional 0 - 4 Famalicao W
13 Sep 2026Primeira Liga Famalicao 1 - 1 Sporting CP D
05 Sep 2026Primeira Liga Estrela 2 - 2 Famalicao D
30 Aug 2026Primeira Liga Famalicao 0 - 0 GIL Vicente D
23 Aug 2026Primeira Liga Santa Clara 1 - 0 Famalicao L
16 Aug 2026Primeira Liga Famalicao 1 - 2 Maritimo L
07 Aug 2026Primeira Liga Estoril 1 - 1 Famalicao D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Estrela Draw Famalicao
Value spotted: Estrela win at 3.68 (model 36% vs market 26%)

Most likely scores

1-1 13.1%
1-0 10.9%
0-1 10.9%
0-0 9.1%
2-1 7.8%
1-2 7.8%

Expected goals: 1.2 Estrela · 1.2 Famalicao

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals69%
Over 2.5 goals43%
Over 3.5 goals22%
Both teams score49%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
0%
Form
100%
27%
Attack
73%
44%
Defence
56%
44%
Goal model
56%
62%
Head to head
38%
44%
Goals
56%
44%
Overall
55%

Season numbers

Primeira Liga 2025

When the goals come

5
0-15'
2
6
16-30'
7
8
31-45'
6
4
46-60'
8
9
61-75'
10
5
76-90'
8
7
0-15'
5
5
16-30'
4
11
31-45'
4
13
46-60'
5
12
61-75'
2
5
76-90'
9
Estrela Famalicao

Side by side

Estrela Famalicao
32 Played 32
6 Won 14
10 Drawn 10
16 Lost 8
1.1 Goals scored per game 1.3
1.7 Goals conceded per game 0.9
1.3 / 0.9 Scored per game (home / away) 1.6 / 0.9
7 Clean sheets 15
14 Failed to score 8
1 Longest winning run 3
4-0 Biggest win 4-0
0-5 Biggest defeat 2-3
7/7 Penalties scored 1/1

Estrela vs Famalicao: preview and prediction

Estrela host Famalicao in the Portugal Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 33) on Monday, 11th May 2026 at 20:15 at Estádio José Gomes, Amadora. Estrela sit 15th in the table and Famalicao 5th.

Estrela are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-L-W-L). Famalicao have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-L-L-W).

In the last 5 meetings, Estrela won 2, Famalicao won 1 and 2 ended level. These games average 1.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 20% and over 2.5 goals in 40%.

Our goal model expects about 1.2 goals for Estrela and 1.2 for Famalicao. It gives Estrela the edge (36% home win, 28% draw, 36% away win), 43% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away Win at odds of 2.07.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Estrela vs Famalicao FAQs

What is the best prediction for Estrela vs Famalicao?

Our top tip is Away Win: Away Win (2.07 odds).

Who will win Estrela vs Famalicao?

It looks very close: our model gives Estrela 36%, the draw 28% and Famalicao 36%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 49% chance in our model, and it happened in 20% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.4 goals in total, with a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Estrela vs Famalicao?

Kick-off is on Monday, 11th May 2026 at 20:15 at Estádio José Gomes, Amadora.

Who is the referee?

F. Verissimo is in charge of this game.