Chesham United vs Real Bedford Prediction, H2H & Stats

England: FA Cup · 3rd Round Qualifying

Real Bedford

DLLLW

31' D. Eze

34' S. Cartwright

44' H. Kasimu

52' J. Bennetts

84' B. Stevens

90' A. Babos

90' A. Jones

Saturday, 3 October 2026

Recent form

3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10

31 Oct 2026National League - South Chesham United

2 - 2

Folkestone Invicta D

27 Oct 2026National League - South Chesham United

2 - 4

Farnham Town L

24 Oct 2026National League - South Dagenham & Redbridge

2 - 0

Chesham United L

20 Oct 2026FA Cup Forest Green

5 - 0

Chesham United L

17 Oct 2026FA Cup Chesham United

0 - 0

Forest Green D

10 Oct 2026National League - South Chesham United

0 - 5

Chelmsford City L

03 Oct 2026FA Cup Chesham United

4 - 3

Real Bedford W

26 Sep 2026National League - South Chesham United

0 - 4

Maidenhead L

19 Sep 2026FA Cup Chesham United

7 - 2

Ware W

12 Sep 2026National League - South Horsham

1 - 4

Chesham United W

3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10

03 Nov 2026Non League Premier - Southern Central Anstey Nomads

1 - 2

Real Bedford W

31 Oct 2026Non League Premier - Southern Central Worcester City

4 - 1

Real Bedford L

27 Oct 2026Non League Premier - Southern Central Real Bedford

0 - 1

Stourbridge L

24 Oct 2026Non League Premier - Southern Central Bishop's Stortford

3 - 1

Real Bedford L

20 Oct 2026Non League Premier - Southern Central Real Bedford

2 - 2

Bury Town D

17 Oct 2026Non League Premier - Southern Central Stamford

0 - 4

Real Bedford W

10 Oct 2026Non League Premier - Southern Central Real Bedford

1 - 1

Bromsgrove Sporting D

03 Oct 2026FA Cup Chesham United

4 - 3

Real Bedford L

29 Sep 2026Non League Premier - Southern Central Real Bedford

3 - 2

Leiston W

26 Sep 2026FA Trophy Real Bedford

0 - 3

Wingate & Finchley L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Goal model

68% 12% 15%

Form & stats

35% 35% 30%

Bookmaker odds

49% 23% 29%

Chesham United Draw Real Bedford

Value spotted: Chesham United win at 1.95 (model 68% vs market 49%)

Most likely scores

3-1 5.3%

3-2 5.3%

4-1 5.3%

4-2 5.3%

5-1 4.2%

5-2 4.2%

Expected goals: 4 Chesham United · 2 Real Bedford

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals93%

Over 2.5 goals89%

Over 3.5 goals80%

Both teams score80%

Team comparison

33%

Form

67%

54%

Attack

46%

50%

Defence

50%

61%

Goal model

39%

Head to head

Goals

49%

Overall

50%

Season numbers

FA Cup 2026

Side by side

Chesham United Real Bedford

1 Played 2

1 Won 2

0 Drawn 0

0 Lost 0

7 Goals scored per game 3

2 Goals conceded per game 1

7 / 0 Scored per game (home / away) 4 / 2

0 Clean sheets 0

0 Failed to score 0

1 Longest winning run 2

7-2 Biggest win 4-1

- Biggest defeat -

0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Chesham United vs Real Bedford: preview and prediction

Chesham United host Real Bedford in the England FA Cup (3rd Round Qualifying) on Saturday, 3rd October 2026 at 15:00.

Chesham United are struggling, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-L-L-D). Real Bedford are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-L-L-W).

Our goal model expects about 4 goals for Chesham United and 2 for Real Bedford. It gives Chesham United the edge (68% home win, 12% draw, 15% away win), 89% for over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 3-1.

Our pick was Away Win at odds of 3.34. We also like Over 2.5, BTTS Yes.

Published by

Udeme Henry

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet