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Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Prediction, H2H & Stats

England: League Cup · Round of 16
Bournemouth

Bournemouth

WWWWW
Full time
3:0
HT 1 - 0
Aston Villa

Aston Villa

WWLDL
7' Amine Adli
12' Emiliano Buendía
16' Juanlu Sánchez
25' Ben Gannon-Doak
33' Brian Madjo
51' Lewis Cook
54' João Gomes
67' Lewis Cook
69' Álvaro Rodríguez
Wednesday, 28 October 2026
Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth
T. Harrington

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
2Bournemouth wins
3Draws
4Aston Villa wins
2.8Goals per game
56%Both scored
56%Over 2.5
07 Feb 2026Premier League Bournemouth 1 - 1 Aston Villa
09 Nov 2025Premier League Aston Villa 4 - 0 Bournemouth
10 May 2025Premier League Bournemouth 0 - 1 Aston Villa
26 Oct 2024Premier League Aston Villa 1 - 1 Bournemouth
21 Apr 2024Premier League Aston Villa 3 - 1 Bournemouth
03 Dec 2023Premier League Bournemouth 2 - 2 Aston Villa
18 Mar 2023Premier League Aston Villa 3 - 0 Bournemouth
06 Aug 2022Premier League Bournemouth 2 - 0 Aston Villa
01 Feb 2020Premier League Bournemouth 2 - 1 Aston Villa

Top scorers

League Cup
1 T. BarryEverton 4goals 2assists 3apps
2 H. LeonardPeterborough 4goals 0assists 3apps
3 R. ClearyBarnsley 3goals 1assists 3apps
4 C. EvansFleetwood Town 3goals 0assists 4apps
5 V. CastellanosWest Ham 3goals 0assists 3apps
6 C. WilsonBrentford 3goals 0assists 3apps
7 D. WelbeckChelsea 3goals 0assists 3apps
8 R. ChristieBournemouth 3goals 0assists 2apps
9 Y. SalechCardiff 3goals 1assists 2apps
10 J. BowenWest Ham 2goals 1assists 3apps

Recent form

7 W 1 D 2 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Premier League Bournemouth 2 - 0 Leeds W
28 Oct 2026League Cup Bournemouth 3 - 0 Aston Villa W
25 Oct 2026Premier League Manchester United 0 - 3 Bournemouth W
22 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League Bournemouth 3 - 0 AC Milan W
18 Oct 2026Premier League Bournemouth 2 - 0 Sunderland W
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League Bournemouth 3 - 0 Sturm Graz W
10 Oct 2026Premier League Chelsea 5 - 1 Bournemouth L
20 Sep 2026Premier League Bournemouth 0 - 1 Liverpool L
17 Sep 2026UEFA Europa League Real Sociedad 1 - 2 Bournemouth W
12 Sep 2026Premier League Bournemouth 2 - 2 Brentford D
6 W 2 D 2 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026UEFA Champions League Barcelona 3 - 0 Aston Villa L
31 Oct 2026Premier League Aston Villa 1 - 1 Fulham D
28 Oct 2026League Cup Bournemouth 3 - 0 Aston Villa L
24 Oct 2026Premier League Aston Villa 2 - 1 Manchester City W
21 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Aston Villa 3 - 1 Viking W
17 Oct 2026Premier League Newcastle 0 - 1 Aston Villa W
14 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Aston Villa 6 - 0 Fenerbahçe W
10 Oct 2026Premier League Aston Villa 2 - 2 Brentford D
02 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Sevilla 1 - 3 Aston Villa W
19 Sep 2026Premier League Tottenham 2 - 3 Aston Villa W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Bournemouth Draw Aston Villa
Value spotted: Aston Villa win at 3.04 (model 49% vs market 32%)

Most likely scores

2-2 5.7%
2-3 5.7%
3-2 4.8%
3-3 4.8%
1-2 4.6%
1-3 4.6%

Expected goals: 2.5 Bournemouth · 3 Aston Villa

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals96%
Over 2.5 goals90%
Over 3.5 goals78%
Both teams score86%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
57%
Attack
43%
100%
Defence
0%
100%
Goal model
0%
15%
Head to head
85%
23%
Goals
77%
36%
Overall
63%

Season numbers

League Cup 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
Bournemouth Aston Villa

Side by side

Bournemouth Aston Villa
1 Played 1
1 Won 1
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
4 Goals scored per game 3
0 Goals conceded per game 1
4 / 0 Scored per game (home / away) 0 / 3
1 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 0
1 Longest winning run 1
4-0 Biggest win 1-3
- Biggest defeat -
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Bournemouth vs Aston Villa: preview and prediction

Bournemouth host Aston Villa in the England League Cup (Round of 16) on Wednesday, 28th October 2026 at 20:45 at Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth.

Bournemouth are flying, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-W-W-W). Aston Villa have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-L-D-L).

In the last 9 meetings, Bournemouth won 2, Aston Villa won 4 and 3 ended level. These games average 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% and over 2.5 goals in 56%.

Our goal model expects about 2.5 goals for Bournemouth and 3 for Aston Villa. It gives Aston Villa the edge (33% home win, 17% draw, 49% away win), 90% for over 2.5 goals and 86% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-2.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.40. We also like BTTS Yes, Correct Score (2-1), Draw No Bet: Home.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Bournemouth vs Aston Villa FAQs

What is the best prediction for Bournemouth vs Aston Villa?

Our top tip is Super Single: Home or Draw (1.40 odds).

Who will win Bournemouth vs Aston Villa?

Aston Villa are favourites: our model gives Bournemouth 33%, the draw 17% and Aston Villa 49%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 86% chance in our model, and it happened in 56% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 5.5 goals in total, with a 90% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Bournemouth vs Aston Villa?

Kick-off is on Wednesday, 28th October 2026 at 20:45 at Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth.

Who is the referee?

T. Harrington is in charge of this game.