Bedford Town vs Wingate & Finchley Prediction, H2H & Stats

England: FA Cup · 3rd Round Qualifying

Wingate & Finchley

WWWDD

28' A. Chukwu

38' G. Moncur (Penalty)

47' A. Chukwu

85' G. Moncur (Penalty)

Saturday, 3 October 2026

Recent form

4 W 4 D 2 L in the last 10

31 Oct 2026National League - North Bedford Town

0 - 3

Macclesfield L

27 Oct 2026National League - North Bedford Town

1 - 0

Hednesford Town W

24 Oct 2026National League - North Scarborough Athletic

1 - 2

Bedford Town W

20 Oct 2026FA Cup Cray Wanderers

2 - 2

Bedford Town D

17 Oct 2026FA Cup Bedford Town

0 - 0

Cray Wanderers D

10 Oct 2026National League - North Chester

1 - 0

Bedford Town L

06 Oct 2026FA Cup Wingate & Finchley

1 - 3

Bedford Town W

03 Oct 2026FA Cup Bedford Town

2 - 2

Wingate & Finchley D

26 Sep 2026National League - North Bedford Town

1 - 1

Hereford D

19 Sep 2026FA Cup Bedford Town

2 - 1

King's Lynn Town W

5 W 3 D 2 L in the last 10

03 Nov 2026Non League Premier - Isthmian Wingate & Finchley

1 - 1

Burgess Hill Town D

31 Oct 2026Non League Premier - Isthmian Lewes

2 - 2

Wingate & Finchley D

24 Oct 2026FA Trophy Needham Market

0 - 2

Wingate & Finchley W

20 Oct 2026Non League Premier - Isthmian Wingate & Finchley

4 - 2

Carshalton Athletic W

17 Oct 2026Non League Premier - Isthmian Wingate & Finchley

4 - 1

Stanway Rovers W

13 Oct 2026Non League Premier - Isthmian Wingate & Finchley

2 - 0

Ramsgate W

10 Oct 2026Non League Premier - Isthmian Dartford

2 - 1

Wingate & Finchley L

06 Oct 2026FA Cup Wingate & Finchley

1 - 3

Bedford Town L

03 Oct 2026FA Cup Bedford Town

2 - 2

Wingate & Finchley D

26 Sep 2026FA Trophy Real Bedford

0 - 3

Wingate & Finchley W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Goal model

36% 27% 36%

Form & stats

10% 45% 45%

Bookmaker odds

58% 20% 21%

Bedford Town Draw Wingate & Finchley

Value spotted: Draw at 4.70 (model 27% vs market 20%) · Wingate & Finchley win at 4.49 (model 36% vs market 21%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.8%

0-1 10.3%

1-0 10.3%

0-0 8.2%

1-2 8%

2-1 8%

Expected goals: 1.25 Bedford Town · 1.25 Wingate & Finchley

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals71%

Over 2.5 goals46%

Over 3.5 goals24%

Both teams score51%

Team comparison

27%

Form

73%

29%

Attack

71%

67%

Defence

33%

37%

Goal model

63%

Head to head

Goals

40%

Overall

60%

Season numbers

FA Cup 2026

Side by side

Bedford Town Wingate & Finchley

1 Played 4

1 Won 2

0 Drawn 2

0 Lost 0

2 Goals scored per game 1.3

1 Goals conceded per game 0.5

2 / 0 Scored per game (home / away) 1 / 1.5

0 Clean sheets 2

0 Failed to score 1

1 Longest winning run 1

2-1 Biggest win 2-1

- Biggest defeat -

0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Bedford Town vs Wingate & Finchley: preview and prediction

Bedford Town host Wingate & Finchley in the England FA Cup (3rd Round Qualifying) on Saturday, 3rd October 2026 at 15:00.

Bedford Town have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-D-W-W-L). Wingate & Finchley are in good shape, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-W-D-D).

Our goal model expects about 1.25 goals for Bedford Town and 1.25 for Wingate & Finchley. It gives Bedford Town the edge (36% home win, 27% draw, 36% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 2.12. We also like Under 3.5.

Published by

Udeme Henry

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet