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Ayr Utd vs Alloa Athletic Prediction, H2H & Stats

Scotland: League Cup · Group Stage
Ayr Utd

Ayr Utd

LWLWD
Full time
4:1
HT 3 - 0
Alloa Athletic

Alloa Athletic

WDLLD
15' O. Stirton
18' K. Shanks (Penalty)
34' J. Ellison
38' O. Stirton
60' C. O'Donnell
85' J. Murphy
Saturday, 25 July 2026
Somerset Park, Ayr

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
6Ayr Utd wins
2Draws
0Alloa Athletic wins
3.6Goals per game
63%Both scored
63%Over 2.5
29 Jul 2023League Cup Ayr Utd 6 - 0 Alloa Athletic
27 Mar 2021Championship Alloa Athletic 2 - 2 Ayr Utd
30 Jan 2021Championship Ayr Utd 4 - 1 Alloa Athletic
05 Dec 2020Championship Alloa Athletic 0 - 2 Ayr Utd
29 Feb 2020Championship Alloa Athletic 0 - 2 Ayr Utd
14 Dec 2019Championship Ayr Utd 2 - 1 Alloa Athletic
21 Sep 2019Championship Alloa Athletic 1 - 4 Ayr Utd
04 May 2019Championship Ayr Utd 1 - 1 Alloa Athletic

Top scorers

League Cup
1 A. TshibolaKilmarnock 0goals 0assists 1apps
2 Lewis SmithAberdeen 0goals 0assists 1apps

Recent form

2 W 3 D 5 L in the last 10
10 Oct 2026Championship Ayr Utd 1 - 1 Dunfermline D
03 Oct 2026Championship Livingston 1 - 2 Ayr Utd W
25 Sep 2026Championship Ayr Utd 0 - 1 Stenhousemuir L
18 Sep 2026Championship Queen's Park 0 - 2 Ayr Utd W
12 Sep 2026Championship Ayr Utd 1 - 3 Inverness CT L
05 Sep 2026Championship Partick 1 - 0 Ayr Utd L
29 Aug 2026Championship Ayr Utd 1 - 1 Morton D
22 Aug 2026Championship Raith Rovers 2 - 0 Ayr Utd L
14 Aug 2026League Cup Kilmarnock 3 - 2 Ayr Utd L
08 Aug 2026Championship Dunfermline 1 - 1 Ayr Utd D
1 W 5 D 4 L in the last 10
13 Oct 2026Challenge Cup Annan Athletic 0 - 0 Alloa Athletic D
10 Oct 2026League One Alloa Athletic 0 - 3 Hamilton Academical L
03 Oct 2026League One Ross County 4 - 1 Alloa Athletic L
26 Sep 2026Challenge Cup Alloa Athletic 2 - 2 Gala Fairydean Rovers D
22 Sep 2026Challenge Cup Alloa Athletic 4 - 1 Hibernian U21 W
19 Sep 2026League One Alloa Athletic 1 - 2 East Kilbride L
12 Sep 2026League One Airdrie United 1 - 0 Alloa Athletic L
08 Sep 2026Challenge Cup Clydebank 1 - 1 Alloa Athletic D
05 Sep 2026League One Cove Rangers 1 - 1 Alloa Athletic D
29 Aug 2026League One Alloa Athletic 1 - 1 Peterhead D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Ayr Utd Draw Alloa Athletic
Value spotted: Alloa Athletic win at 6.54 (model 23% vs market 14%)

Most likely scores

1-1 9.8%
2-1 9.8%
1-0 8.2%
2-0 8.2%
3-1 6.5%
1-2 5.9%

Expected goals: 2 Ayr Utd · 1.2 Alloa Athletic

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals40%
Both teams score60%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
60%
Form
40%
55%
Attack
45%
71%
Defence
29%
100%
Goal model
0%
85%
Head to head
15%
82%
Goals
18%
70%
Overall
29%

Season numbers

League Cup 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
2
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
2
2
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
3
1
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
0
Ayr Utd Alloa Athletic

Side by side

Ayr Utd Alloa Athletic
3 Played 3
3 Won 2
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 1
2 Goals scored per game 1.7
0.7 Goals conceded per game 1.7
2 / 2 Scored per game (home / away) 2.5 / 0
2 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 1
3 Longest winning run 0
2-0 Biggest win 3-2
- Biggest defeat 2-0
1/1 Penalties scored 8/9

Ayr Utd vs Alloa Athletic: preview and prediction

Ayr Utd host Alloa Athletic in the Scotland League Cup (Group Stage) on Saturday, 25th July 2026 at 15:00 at Somerset Park, Ayr.

Ayr Utd have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-W-D). Alloa Athletic have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-D-L-L-D).

In the last 8 meetings, Ayr Utd won 6, Alloa Athletic won 0 and 2 ended level. These games average 3.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 63% and over 2.5 goals in 63%.

Our goal model expects about 2 goals for Ayr Utd and 1.2 for Alloa Athletic. It gives Ayr Utd the edge (56% home win, 22% draw, 23% away win), 62% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home Win at odds of 1.40. We also like Under 3.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Ayr Utd vs Alloa Athletic FAQs

What is the best prediction for Ayr Utd vs Alloa Athletic?

Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (1.40 odds).

Who will win Ayr Utd vs Alloa Athletic?

Ayr Utd are favourites: our model gives Ayr Utd 56%, the draw 22% and Alloa Athletic 23%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 60% chance in our model, and it happened in 63% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.2 goals in total, with a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Ayr Utd vs Alloa Athletic?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 25th July 2026 at 15:00 at Somerset Park, Ayr.