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Arbroath vs Dunfermline Prediction, H2H & Stats

Scotland: Championship · Regular Season - 5
Arbroath

Arbroath

8th in table
LLWLL
Full time
1:1
HT 0 - 0
Dunfermline

Dunfermline

5th in table
DWWLD
53' A. Amade
54' M. McKenna
67' J. Cooper
80' O. Adams
Saturday, 5 September 2026
Gayfield Park, Arbroath
A. Grieve

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
2Arbroath wins
4Draws
3Dunfermline wins
2.7Goals per game
56%Both scored
44%Over 2.5
08 May 2026Premiership Arbroath 0 - 0 Dunfermline
05 May 2026Premiership Dunfermline 1 - 0 Arbroath
01 May 2026Championship Dunfermline 0 - 0 Arbroath
21 Feb 2026Championship Arbroath 4 - 2 Dunfermline
06 Dec 2025Championship Dunfermline 1 - 2 Arbroath
13 Sep 2025Championship Arbroath 0 - 5 Dunfermline
30 Mar 2024Championship Arbroath 2 - 3 Dunfermline
17 Feb 2024Championship Dunfermline 1 - 1 Arbroath
23 Dec 2023Championship Arbroath 1 - 1 Dunfermline

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Stenhousemuir 9711 12:4 +8 22 LWWWW
2 Raith Rovers 10622 15:6 +9 20 WWLDW
3 Partick 9531 10:3 +7 18 WWDLW
4 Livingston 10415 14:11 +3 13 LLWDW
5 Dunfermline 8341 7:5 +2 13 DWWDW
6 Inverness CT 10343 12:11 +1 13 LWWDW
7 Ayr Utd 10334 10:11 -1 12 DWLWL
8 Arbroath 10325 7:15 -8 11 LLWLL
9 Queen's Park 10217 6:16 -10 7 WLLLL
10 Morton 10118 7:18 -11 4 WLLLL

Recent form

3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
10 Oct 2026Championship Arbroath 1 - 2 Morton L
03 Oct 2026Championship Partick 3 - 0 Arbroath L
25 Sep 2026Championship Arbroath 2 - 1 Queen's Park W
19 Sep 2026Championship Stenhousemuir 1 - 0 Arbroath L
12 Sep 2026Championship Raith Rovers 4 - 0 Arbroath L
05 Sep 2026Championship Arbroath 1 - 1 Dunfermline D
29 Aug 2026Championship Arbroath 1 - 0 Livingston W
22 Aug 2026Championship Morton 1 - 2 Arbroath W
08 Aug 2026Championship Arbroath 0 - 0 Inverness CT D
01 Aug 2026Championship Ayr Utd 2 - 0 Arbroath L
3 W 4 D 3 L in the last 10
10 Oct 2026Championship Ayr Utd 1 - 1 Dunfermline D
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Dunfermline 1 - 4 Aberdeen L
19 Sep 2026Championship Morton 0 - 1 Dunfermline W
12 Sep 2026Championship Dunfermline 2 - 0 Queen's Park W
05 Sep 2026Championship Arbroath 1 - 1 Dunfermline D
28 Aug 2026Championship Dunfermline 1 - 0 Raith Rovers W
22 Aug 2026Championship Livingston 2 - 0 Dunfermline L
15 Aug 2026League Cup Dunfermline 1 - 2 Ross County L
08 Aug 2026Championship Dunfermline 1 - 1 Ayr Utd D
01 Aug 2026Championship Inverness CT 0 - 0 Dunfermline D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Arbroath Draw Dunfermline
Value spotted: Draw at 3.04 (model 38% vs market 30%)

Most likely scores

0-0 24.7%
1-0 18.5%
0-1 16%
1-1 12%
2-0 6.9%
0-2 5.2%

Expected goals: 0.75 Arbroath · 0.65 Dunfermline

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals41%
Over 2.5 goals17%
Over 3.5 goals5%
Both teams score25%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
58%
Form
42%
60%
Attack
40%
50%
Defence
50%
100%
Goal model
0%
62%
Head to head
38%
60%
Goals
40%
58%
Overall
42%

Season numbers

Championship 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
2
1
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
1
Arbroath Dunfermline

Side by side

Arbroath Dunfermline
4 Played 4
2 Won 1
1 Drawn 2
1 Lost 1
0.8 Goals scored per game 0.5
0.8 Goals conceded per game 0.8
0.5 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 1 / 0
2 Clean sheets 2
2 Failed to score 2
0 Longest winning run 0
1-0 Biggest win 1-0
2-0 Biggest defeat 2-0
1/1 Penalties scored 0/0

Arbroath vs Dunfermline: preview and prediction

Arbroath host Dunfermline in the Scotland Championship (Regular Season - 5) on Saturday, 5th September 2026 at 15:00 at Gayfield Park, Arbroath. Arbroath sit 8th in the table and Dunfermline 5th.

Arbroath are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-L-L). Dunfermline have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-W-W-L-D).

In the last 9 meetings, Arbroath won 2, Dunfermline won 3 and 4 ended level. These games average 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% and over 2.5 goals in 44%.

Our goal model expects about 0.75 goals for Arbroath and 0.65 for Dunfermline. It gives Arbroath the edge (34% home win, 38% draw, 28% away win), 17% for over 2.5 goals and 25% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-0.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.41. We also like Under 2.5, BTTS No.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Arbroath vs Dunfermline FAQs

What is the best prediction for Arbroath vs Dunfermline?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.41 odds).

Who will win Arbroath vs Dunfermline?

It looks very close: our model gives Arbroath 34%, the draw 38% and Dunfermline 28%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 25% chance in our model, and it happened in 56% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 1.4 goals in total, with a 17% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Arbroath vs Dunfermline?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 5th September 2026 at 15:00 at Gayfield Park, Arbroath.

Who is the referee?

A. Grieve is in charge of this game.