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Adelaide Comets vs Sturt Lions Prediction, H2H & Stats

Australia: South Australia NPL · Regular Season - 9
Adelaide Comets

Adelaide Comets

11th in table
LWLDW
Full time
2:1
HT 1 - 1
Sturt Lions

Sturt Lions

9th in table
DWDDL
30' P. Spadavecchia
43' G. Rodriguez
82' A. Irabona
Friday, 8 May 2026
Ellis Park

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7games
4Adelaide Comets wins
2Draws
1Sturt Lions wins
2.3Goals per game
29%Both scored
29%Over 2.5
08 Jul 2023South Australia NPL Sturt Lions 2 - 0 Adelaide Comets
22 Apr 2023South Australia NPL Adelaide Comets 0 - 0 Sturt Lions
11 Jun 2022South Australia NPL Sturt Lions 1 - 4 Adelaide Comets
04 Mar 2022South Australia NPL Adelaide Comets 2 - 0 Sturt Lions
15 Oct 2021South Australia NPL Adelaide Comets 1 - 0 Sturt Lions
04 Sep 2021South Australia NPL Adelaide Comets 4 - 0 Sturt Lions
19 Jun 2021South Australia NPL Sturt Lions 1 - 1 Adelaide Comets

South Australia NPL table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Adelaide City 221462 44:16 +28 48 WWWWW
2 West Torrens Birkalla 221435 54:29 +25 45 LWDWW
3 MetroStars 221354 53:23 +30 44 LDWWW
4 Playford City Patriots 221057 42:31 +11 35 LLWWL
5 FK Beograd 221039 35:30 +5 33 LLLWL
6 Croydon Kings 22868 46:41 +5 30 LLDLD
7 Adelaide United II 22787 33:32 +1 29 LWDLW
8 Campbelltown City 22859 35:36 -1 29 WWLDW
9 Sturt Lions 228311 35:36 -1 27 LDDWD
10 West Adelaide 22679 40:44 -4 25 LLWWD
11 Adelaide Comets 225512 25:38 -13 20 WDLWL
12 Para Hills Knights 220220 16:102 -86 2 LLLLL

Recent form

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
15 Aug 2026South Australia NPL Para Hills Knights 2 - 5 Adelaide Comets W
11 Aug 2026South Australia NPL Sturt Lions 0 - 0 Adelaide Comets D
07 Aug 2026South Australia NPL Adelaide Comets 0 - 1 MetroStars L
25 Jul 2026South Australia NPL Adelaide Comets 1 - 0 FK Beograd W
17 Jul 2026South Australia NPL Campbelltown City 1 - 0 Adelaide Comets L
03 Jul 2026South Australia NPL Adelaide Comets 1 - 4 Croydon Kings L
26 Jun 2026South Australia NPL Adelaide Comets 0 - 1 Adelaide City L
20 Jun 2026South Australia NPL Adelaide United II 1 - 1 Adelaide Comets D
12 Jun 2026South Australia NPL Adelaide Comets 3 - 2 West Adelaide W
06 Jun 2026South Australia NPL Playford City Patriots 2 - 2 Adelaide Comets D
3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
15 Aug 2026South Australia NPL Sturt Lions 1 - 3 Campbelltown City L
11 Aug 2026South Australia NPL Sturt Lions 0 - 0 Adelaide Comets D
08 Aug 2026South Australia NPL Croydon Kings 1 - 1 Sturt Lions D
25 Jul 2026South Australia NPL Adelaide United II 2 - 3 Sturt Lions W
18 Jul 2026South Australia NPL West Adelaide 0 - 0 Sturt Lions D
04 Jul 2026South Australia NPL Sturt Lions 1 - 0 Playford City Patriots W
26 Jun 2026South Australia NPL West Torrens Birkalla 4 - 1 Sturt Lions L
20 Jun 2026South Australia NPL Sturt Lions 6 - 0 Para Hills Knights W
13 Jun 2026South Australia NPL MetroStars 1 - 0 Sturt Lions L
05 Jun 2026South Australia NPL Adelaide City 4 - 1 Sturt Lions L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Adelaide Comets Draw Sturt Lions
Value spotted: Sturt Lions win at 1.79 (model 76% vs market 51%)

Most likely scores

0-2 13.6%
0-1 11.4%
0-3 10.9%
1-2 8.9%
1-1 7.4%
1-3 7.1%

Expected goals: 0.65 Adelaide Comets · 2.4 Sturt Lions

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Over 3.5 goals36%
Both teams score43%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
14%
Form
86%
31%
Attack
69%
43%
Defence
57%
4%
Goal model
96%
71%
Head to head
29%
70%
Goals
30%
38%
Overall
61%

Season numbers

South Australia NPL 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
5
1
46-60'
3
1
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
4
2
0-15'
6
3
16-30'
0
2
31-45'
1
3
46-60'
3
3
61-75'
2
4
76-90'
2
Adelaide Comets Sturt Lions

Side by side

Adelaide Comets Sturt Lions
8 Played 8
0 Won 4
1 Drawn 0
7 Lost 4
0.6 Goals scored per game 2.3
2.4 Goals conceded per game 1.8
0.3 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 1.8 / 3
0 Clean sheets 2
4 Failed to score 1
0 Longest winning run 2
- Biggest win 4-3
0-3 Biggest defeat 2-4
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Adelaide Comets vs Sturt Lions: preview and prediction

Adelaide Comets host Sturt Lions in the Australia South Australia NPL (Regular Season - 9) on Friday, 8th May 2026 at 12:00 at Ellis Park. Adelaide Comets sit 11th in the table and Sturt Lions 9th.

Adelaide Comets have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-D-W). Sturt Lions have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-W-D-D-L).

In the last 7 meetings, Adelaide Comets won 4, Sturt Lions won 1 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 29% and over 2.5 goals in 29%.

Our goal model expects about 0.65 goals for Adelaide Comets and 2.4 for Sturt Lions. It gives Sturt Lions the edge (8% home win, 16% draw, 76% away win), 58% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-2.

Our pick was Away Win at odds of 1.79. We also like Over 2.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Adelaide Comets vs Sturt Lions FAQs

What is the best prediction for Adelaide Comets vs Sturt Lions?

Our top tip is Away Win: Away Win (1.79 odds).

Who will win Adelaide Comets vs Sturt Lions?

Sturt Lions are favourites: our model gives Adelaide Comets 8%, the draw 16% and Sturt Lions 76%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 43% chance in our model, and it happened in 29% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.1 goals in total, with a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Adelaide Comets vs Sturt Lions?

Kick-off is on Friday, 8th May 2026 at 12:00 at Ellis Park.