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Waterford vs Kerry Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendly
Waterford

Waterford

LWWWL
Full time
3:2
HT 2 - 1
Kerry

Kerry

LWLLL
10' T. Lonergan
20' C. Murphy (Penalty)
45' C. Carty
56' S. Mcgrath
58' E. McLaughlin
Tuesday, 20 January 2026

Recent form

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
08 Nov 2026FAI Cup Derry City 1 - 0 Waterford L
30 Oct 2026Premier Division Shelbourne 2 - 3 Waterford W
23 Oct 2026Premier Division Waterford 3 - 1 Drogheda United W
19 Oct 2026Premier Division Waterford 3 - 2 Galway United W
16 Oct 2026Premier Division Bohemians 2 - 1 Waterford L
09 Oct 2026FAI Cup Bohemians 0 - 2 Waterford W
18 Sep 2026Premier Division Shamrock Rovers 3 - 2 Waterford L
14 Sep 2026Premier Division Waterford 2 - 2 Derry City D
11 Sep 2026Premier Division Waterford 1 - 1 Dundalk D
04 Sep 2026FAI Cup Waterford 3 - 0 Sligo Rovers W
1 W 0 D 5 L in the last 6
04 Feb 2026Friendlies Clubs Cork City 4 - 1 Kerry L
20 Jan 2026Friendlies Clubs Waterford 3 - 2 Kerry L
13 Jan 2026Friendlies Clubs Kerry 2 - 4 Treaty United L
06 Jan 2026Friendlies Clubs Killarney Celtic 2 - 5 Kerry W
18 Jan 2024Friendlies Clubs Kerry 0 - 3 Galway United L
04 Oct 2014Welsh Cup Kerry 1 - 2 Brickfield Rangers L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Waterford Draw Kerry
Value spotted: Kerry win at 3.28 (model 49% vs market 29%)

Most likely scores

2-2 5.7%
2-3 5.7%
3-2 4.8%
3-3 4.8%
1-2 4.6%
1-3 4.6%

Expected goals: 2.5 Waterford · 3 Kerry

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals96%
Over 2.5 goals90%
Over 3.5 goals78%
Both teams score86%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
75%
Form
25%
53%
Attack
47%
60%
Defence
40%
46%
Goal model
54%
0%
Head to head
0%
0%
Goals
0%
58%
Overall
41%

Season numbers

Friendlies Clubs 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
2
0
61-75'
2
2
76-90'
0
Waterford Kerry

Side by side

Waterford Kerry
4 Played 2
3 Won 1
0 Drawn 0
1 Lost 1
2 Goals scored per game 3.5
1 Goals conceded per game 3
3 / 1.7 Scored per game (home / away) 2 / 5
0 Clean sheets 0
1 Failed to score 0
2 Longest winning run 1
3-1 Biggest win 2-5
1-0 Biggest defeat 2-4
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Waterford vs Kerry: preview and prediction

Waterford host Kerry in the World Friendlies Clubs (Club Friendly) on Tuesday, 20th January 2026 at 15:30.

Waterford are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-W-W-L). Kerry are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-L-L).

Our goal model expects about 2.5 goals for Waterford and 3 for Kerry. It gives Kerry the edge (33% home win, 17% draw, 49% away win), 90% for over 2.5 goals and 86% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-2.

Our pick was Home Win at odds of 2.00. We also like Over 2.5, BTTS Yes.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Waterford vs Kerry FAQs

What is the best prediction for Waterford vs Kerry?

Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (2.00 odds).

Who will win Waterford vs Kerry?

Kerry are favourites: our model gives Waterford 33%, the draw 17% and Kerry 49%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 86% chance in our model.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 5.5 goals in total, with a 90% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Waterford vs Kerry?

Kick-off is on Tuesday, 20th January 2026 at 15:30.