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Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction, H2H & Stats

Brazil: Copa Do Brasil · Quarter-finals
Vitoria

Vitoria

WDLWL
Full time
0:2
HT 0 - 0
Vasco DA Gama

Vasco DA Gama

WWWDW
51' Cacá
76' Luan Cândido
78' Jose Luis Rodriguez
81' Andrés Gómez
90+7' Jose Luis Rodriguez
Thursday, 3 September 2026
Barradao, Salvador
R. Klein

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
4Vitoria wins
0Draws
5Vasco DA Gama wins
2.3Goals per game
33%Both scored
44%Over 2.5
27 Aug 2026Copa Do Brasil Vasco DA Gama 1 - 0 Vitoria
16 Jul 2026Serie A Vitoria 1 - 0 Vasco DA Gama
05 Oct 2025Serie A Vasco DA Gama 4 - 3 Vitoria
10 May 2025Serie A Vitoria 2 - 1 Vasco DA Gama
01 Sep 2024Serie A Vitoria 0 - 1 Vasco DA Gama
12 May 2024Serie A Vasco DA Gama 2 - 1 Vitoria
11 Nov 2021Serie B Vasco DA Gama 0 - 3 Vitoria
07 Aug 2021Serie B Vitoria 0 - 1 Vasco DA Gama
09 Sep 2018Serie A Vitoria 1 - 0 Vasco DA Gama

Top scorers

Copa Do Brasil
1 J. LópezPalmeiras 4goals 0assists 5apps
2 A. BernabéiInternacional 3goals 1assists 6apps
3 ReneVitoria 3goals 0assists 8apps
4 ErickVitoria 3goals 0assists 6apps
5 Carlos ViníciusGremio 3goals 0assists 5apps
6 Kaio JorgeCruzeiro 3goals 0assists 5apps
7 F. AmuzuGremio 2goals 2assists 6apps
8 A. GómezVasco DA Gama 2goals 2assists 6apps
9 MandacaJuventude 2goals 1assists 6apps
10 Ronaldo TavaresAthletic Club 2goals 1assists 4apps

Recent form

3 W 1 D 6 L in the last 10
11 Oct 2026Serie A Sao Paulo 2 - 1 Vitoria L
07 Oct 2026Serie A Vitoria 4 - 0 Chapecoense-sc W
20 Sep 2026Serie A Vitoria 1 - 3 Cruzeiro L
13 Sep 2026Serie A Mirassol 2 - 2 Vitoria D
07 Sep 2026Serie A Vitoria 1 - 0 Gremio W
03 Sep 2026Copa Do Brasil Vitoria 0 - 2 Vasco DA Gama L
29 Aug 2026Serie A Atletico-MG 2 - 1 Vitoria L
27 Aug 2026Copa Do Brasil Vasco DA Gama 1 - 0 Vitoria L
23 Aug 2026Serie A Vitoria 0 - 2 Bahia L
16 Aug 2026Serie A Vitoria 1 - 0 Botafogo W
7 W 2 D 1 L in the last 10
14 Oct 2026CONMEBOL Sudamericana Boca Juniors 0 - 1 Vasco DA Gama W
10 Oct 2026Serie A Vasco DA Gama 0 - 0 Remo D
07 Oct 2026Serie A Botafogo 1 - 2 Vasco DA Gama W
19 Sep 2026Serie A Vasco DA Gama 5 - 0 Coritiba W
15 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Sudamericana Vasco DA Gama 2 - 0 Santa Fe W
12 Sep 2026Serie A Gremio 1 - 2 Vasco DA Gama W
08 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Sudamericana Santa Fe 0 - 0 Vasco DA Gama D
06 Sep 2026Serie A Fluminense 1 - 0 Vasco DA Gama L
03 Sep 2026Copa Do Brasil Vitoria 0 - 2 Vasco DA Gama W
30 Aug 2026Serie A Vasco DA Gama 3 - 1 Cruzeiro W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Vitoria Draw Vasco DA Gama
Value spotted: Vasco DA Gama win at 3.14 (model 39% vs market 30%)

Most likely scores

1-1 9.2%
1-2 8.1%
2-1 8.1%
2-2 7.1%
0-1 5.3%
1-0 5.3%

Expected goals: 1.75 Vitoria · 1.75 Vasco DA Gama

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Both teams score68%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
35%
Form
65%
47%
Attack
53%
38%
Defence
63%
100%
Goal model
0%
40%
Head to head
60%
46%
Goals
54%
41%
Overall
59%

Season numbers

Copa Do Brasil 2026

When the goals come

3
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
3
1
46-60'
4
1
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
1
2
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
2
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
1
Vitoria Vasco DA Gama

Side by side

Vitoria Vasco DA Gama
5 Played 5
2 Won 3
0 Drawn 2
3 Lost 0
1.4 Goals scored per game 1.6
1 Goals conceded per game 0.6
3 / 0.3 Scored per game (home / away) 1 / 2.5
2 Clean sheets 3
2 Failed to score 1
1 Longest winning run 1
4-0 Biggest win 1-0
2-0 Biggest defeat -
0/0 Penalties scored 1/1

Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama: preview and prediction

Vitoria host Vasco DA Gama in the Brazil Copa Do Brasil (Quarter-finals) on Thursday, 3rd September 2026 at 01:30 at Barradao, Salvador.

Vitoria have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-D-L-W-L). Vasco DA Gama are flying, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-W-D-W).

In the last 9 meetings, Vitoria won 4, Vasco DA Gama won 5 and 0 ended level. These games average 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% and over 2.5 goals in 44%.

Our goal model expects about 1.75 goals for Vitoria and 1.75 for Vasco DA Gama. It gives Vitoria the edge (39% home win, 22% draw, 39% away win), 68% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away Win at odds of 3.14. We also like BTTS No.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama FAQs

What is the best prediction for Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama?

Our top tip is Away Win: Away Win (3.14 odds).

Who will win Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama?

It looks very close: our model gives Vitoria 39%, the draw 22% and Vasco DA Gama 39%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 68% chance in our model, and it happened in 33% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.5 goals in total, with a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 3rd September 2026 at 01:30 at Barradao, Salvador.

Who is the referee?

R. Klein is in charge of this game.