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Vitória SC vs Nacional Prediction, H2H & Stats

Portugal: Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 3
Vitória SC

Vitória SC

13th in table
DWLWW
Full time
1:0
HT 1 - 0
Nacional

Nacional

15th in table
LLLLW
4' Gustavo
28' Gonçalo Nogueira
38' Miguel Nogueira
90+5' Daniel Júnior
Sunday, 23 August 2026
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimaraes
Pedro Ramalho, Portugal

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
4Vitória SC wins
2Draws
3Nacional wins
2.8Goals per game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
16 May 2026Primeira Liga Nacional 2 - 0 Vitória SC
02 Jan 2026Primeira Liga Vitória SC 2 - 1 Nacional
03 May 2025Primeira Liga Nacional 1 - 2 Vitória SC
23 Dec 2024Primeira Liga Vitória SC 2 - 2 Nacional
26 Apr 2021Primeira Liga Nacional 1 - 0 Vitória SC
21 Jan 2021Primeira Liga Vitória SC 3 - 1 Nacional
05 May 2019Primeira Liga Vitória SC 2 - 2 Nacional
02 Jan 2019Primeira Liga Nacional 1 - 0 Vitória SC
31 Mar 2017Primeira Liga Nacional 1 - 2 Vitória SC

Primeira Liga table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 FC Porto 9900 21:4 +17 27 WWWWW
2 Benfica 9711 26:8 +18 22 WWLWW
3 Sporting CP 9531 21:11 +10 18 LWDDW
4 Santa Clara 9531 13:6 +7 18 LWDWW
5 Arouca 9522 12:7 +5 17 WWDLD
6 Academico Viseu 9522 13:11 +2 17 WWWWW
7 GIL Vicente 9423 8:7 +1 14 LWWDL
8 Alverca 9324 13:13 0 11 LWWWL
9 SC Braga 9324 9:11 -2 11 LLLDW
10 Moreirense 9324 11:16 -5 11 WLDWL
11 Famalicao 9243 14:11 +3 10 WLWDD
12 Estrela 9243 14:17 -3 10 LLLDW
13 Vitória SC 9225 10:10 0 8 WLDLD
14 Maritimo 9225 9:19 -10 8 LLDLL
15 Nacional 9216 10:18 -8 7 WLLLL
16 Casa Pia 9216 5:17 -12 7 WLWLD
17 Rio Ave 9216 8:21 -13 7 LWLDL
18 Estoril 9027 5:15 -10 2 LLLLD

Top scorers

Primeira Liga
1 V. PavlidisBenfica 9goals 3assists 9apps
2 L. SuárezSporting CP 8goals 1assists 9apps
3 G. PrestianniBenfica 6goals 4assists 9apps
4 BarberoArouca 5goals 0assists 9apps
5 Gonçalo PaciênciaSanta Clara 5goals 1assists 8apps
6 G. KoutsiasFamalicao 5goals 0assists 9apps
7 Pau VictorSC Braga 4goals 1assists 9apps
8 A. MarcusEstrela 4goals 1assists 9apps
9 L. AntonettiEstrela 4goals 1assists 9apps
10 Borja SainzFC Porto 4goals 0assists 9apps

Recent form

4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
23 Oct 2026Primeira Liga Vitória SC 5 - 0 Maritimo W
17 Oct 2026Taça de Portugal Recreativa de Lamelas 0 - 1 Vitória SC W
11 Oct 2026Primeira Liga Benfica 2 - 0 Vitória SC L
25 Sep 2026Friendlies Clubs Chaves 0 - 1 Vitória SC W
20 Sep 2026Primeira Liga Vitória SC 1 - 1 Moreirense D
12 Sep 2026Primeira Liga Academico Viseu 2 - 1 Vitória SC L
06 Sep 2026Primeira Liga Vitória SC 0 - 0 Casa Pia D
31 Aug 2026Primeira Liga SC Braga 1 - 0 Vitória SC L
23 Aug 2026Primeira Liga Vitória SC 1 - 0 Nacional W
14 Aug 2026Primeira Liga Sporting CP 3 - 2 Vitória SC L
2 W 1 D 7 L in the last 10
25 Oct 2026Primeira Liga Nacional 1 - 0 SC Braga W
17 Oct 2026Taça de Portugal Sanjoanense 1 - 0 Nacional L
11 Oct 2026Primeira Liga Rio Ave 3 - 2 Nacional L
19 Sep 2026Primeira Liga Nacional 0 - 4 Famalicao L
12 Sep 2026Primeira Liga Nacional 1 - 3 Alverca L
05 Sep 2026Primeira Liga Sporting CP 2 - 0 Nacional L
30 Aug 2026Primeira Liga Nacional 2 - 3 Estrela L
23 Aug 2026Primeira Liga Vitória SC 1 - 0 Nacional L
16 Aug 2026Primeira Liga Nacional 2 - 0 Estoril W
10 Aug 2026Primeira Liga Santa Clara 2 - 2 Nacional D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Vitória SC Draw Nacional
Value spotted: Nacional win at 4.84 (model 38% vs market 20%)

Most likely scores

1-1 11.2%
1-2 8.4%
2-1 8.4%
0-1 7.5%
1-0 7.5%
2-2 6.3%

Expected goals: 1.5 Vitória SC · 1.5 Nacional

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Both teams score60%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
0%
Form
100%
33%
Attack
67%
33%
Defence
67%
0%
Goal model
100%
50%
Head to head
50%
46%
Goals
54%
40%
Overall
59%

Season numbers

Primeira Liga 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
2
0
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
1
1
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
2
1
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
Vitória SC Nacional

Side by side

Vitória SC Nacional
2 Played 2
0 Won 1
0 Drawn 1
2 Lost 0
1 Goals scored per game 2
2 Goals conceded per game 1
0 / 2 Scored per game (home / away) 2 / 2
0 Clean sheets 1
1 Failed to score 0
0 Longest winning run 0
- Biggest win 2-0
0-1 Biggest defeat -
0/0 Penalties scored 1/1

Vitória SC vs Nacional: preview and prediction

Vitória SC host Nacional in the Portugal Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 3) on Sunday, 23rd August 2026 at 15:30 at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimaraes. Vitória SC sit 13th in the table and Nacional 15th.

Vitória SC are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-W-L-W-W). Nacional are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-L-L-W).

In the last 9 meetings, Vitória SC won 4, Nacional won 3 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 goals in 67%.

Our goal model expects about 1.5 goals for Vitória SC and 1.5 for Nacional. It gives Vitória SC the edge (38% home win, 24% draw, 38% away win), 58% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 2.16.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Vitória SC vs Nacional FAQs

What is the best prediction for Vitória SC vs Nacional?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (2.16 odds).

Who will win Vitória SC vs Nacional?

It looks very close: our model gives Vitória SC 38%, the draw 24% and Nacional 38%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 60% chance in our model, and it happened in 67% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3 goals in total, with a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Vitória SC vs Nacional?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 23rd August 2026 at 15:30 at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimaraes.

Who is the referee?

Pedro Ramalho, Portugal is in charge of this game.