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Villa Mitre vs Alvarado Prediction, H2H & Stats

Argentina: Torneo Federal A · Regular Season - 15
Villa Mitre

Villa Mitre

16th in table
DDWWL
Full time
1:0
HT 1 - 0
Alvarado

Alvarado

5th in table
WLDWL
2' V. Ayala
5'
37'
45'
89'
Sunday, 28 June 2026
Estadio El Fortin, Bahia Blanca

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
1Villa Mitre wins
5Draws
2Alvarado wins
2.3Goals per game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
26 Apr 2026Torneo Federal A Alvarado 1 - 1 Villa Mitre
04 Mar 2019Torneo Federal A Alvarado 1 - 1 Villa Mitre
07 Nov 2018Torneo Federal A Villa Mitre 1 - 1 Alvarado
18 Sep 2018Torneo Federal A Alvarado 2 - 2 Villa Mitre
12 Feb 2018Torneo Federal A Alvarado 1 - 0 Villa Mitre
15 Nov 2017Torneo Federal A Villa Mitre 2 - 1 Alvarado
30 Sep 2017Torneo Federal A Alvarado 1 - 1 Villa Mitre
20 May 2017Torneo Federal A Villa Mitre 0 - 2 Alvarado

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca 16871 13:4 +9 31 WWDDD
2 Douglas Haig 18945 22:15 +7 31 WLDWD
3 Sportivo Belgrano 18792 21:9 +12 30 DDDDD
4 San Martin Formosa 16934 25:19 +6 30 WLDWW
5 Alvarado 16763 19:7 +12 27 DWLWD
6 Gimnasia Chivilcoy 18765 17:12 +5 27 DDWLW
7 Defensores de Belgrano VR 18765 24:20 +4 27 DWDDW
8 Kimberley Mar del Plata 16682 15:9 +6 26 DWWDD
9 Bartolomé Mitre 16754 13:7 +6 26 LWLDD
10 Sol de América 16826 19:14 +5 26 LWWLL
11 Juventud Antoniana 16745 19:11 +8 25 WWDWD
12 Cipolletti 16745 19:15 +4 25 WDDWL
13 Sarmiento de La Banda 16745 17:15 +2 25 DWLWW
14 9 de Julio Rafaela 18747 28:27 +1 25 LLLWW
15 Sportivo Las Parejas 18594 12:13 -1 24 DDDDW
16 Villa Mitre 16583 14:8 +6 23 DWDWW
17 Argentino Monte Maíz 16583 16:12 +4 23 DDDDD
18 Atenas 16655 12:13 -1 23 DDLWD
19 Huracan Las Heras 16655 11:13 -2 23 DWWLW
20 Atletico Escobar 18648 21:29 -8 22 DWDWL
21 Fundacion Amigos 16493 17:14 +3 21 DDWDD
22 Deportivo Rincon 16547 13:16 -3 19 WLLLL
23 San Martín Mendoza 16475 11:15 -4 19 DDWLW
24 Defensores de Vilelas 16619 21:26 -5 19 LWLWL
25 Independiente De Chivilcoy 18477 15:22 -7 19 DLDLL
26 El Linqueño 18549 14:21 -7 19 WWLDL
27 Costa Brava 16466 12:13 -1 18 LLWDW
28 Sol de Mayo 16466 15:18 -3 18 DLLWD
29 Boca Unidos 16538 19:25 -6 18 LLWLW
30 Germinal de Rawson 16466 7:14 -7 18 LLLWD
31 Juventud Unida Univ. 16385 10:10 0 17 DLDDL
32 Tucuman Central 16529 14:19 -5 17 DLLLW
33 Gimnasia Concepción 18459 12:18 -6 17 LDWLL
34 Guillermo Brown 16457 13:20 -7 17 WLWLL
35 Sarmiento Resistencia 16367 12:23 -11 15 WLWLW
36 Santamarina 16277 9:17 -8 13 LDLLD
37 Circulo Deportivo 16277 8:16 -8 13 DWLDL

Top scorers

Torneo Federal A
1 Imanol IriberriCirculo Deportivo 3goals 0assists 14apps
2 E. GutiérrezSarmiento de La Banda 2goals 0assists 10apps
3 Francisco GramajoTucuman Central 0goals 0assists 1apps
4 Raul VillarrealAtletico Escobar 0goals 0assists 1apps

Recent form

3 W 4 D 3 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Torneo Federal A Douglas Haig 3 - 0 Villa Mitre L
25 Oct 2026Torneo Federal A Villa Mitre 1 - 0 Douglas Haig W
18 Oct 2026Torneo Federal A Villa Mitre 2 - 0 Costa Brava W
11 Oct 2026Torneo Federal A Costa Brava 1 - 1 Villa Mitre D
20 Sep 2026Torneo Federal A Villa Mitre 0 - 0 Kimberley Mar del Plata D
13 Sep 2026Torneo Federal A Argentino Monte Maíz 1 - 0 Villa Mitre L
30 Aug 2026Torneo Federal A Villa Mitre 3 - 0 Huracan Las Heras W
22 Aug 2026Torneo Federal A Juventud Antoniana 0 - 0 Villa Mitre D
16 Aug 2026Torneo Federal A Villa Mitre 0 - 0 Alvarado D
12 Aug 2026Torneo Federal A Olimpo Bahia Blanca 2 - 0 Villa Mitre L
4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Torneo Federal A Alvarado 1 - 2 Sportivo Las Parejas L
25 Oct 2026Torneo Federal A Sportivo Las Parejas 0 - 1 Alvarado W
18 Oct 2026Torneo Federal A Alvarado 0 - 0 Cipolletti D
11 Oct 2026Torneo Federal A Cipolletti 1 - 0 Alvarado L
04 Oct 2026Torneo Federal A Alvarado 2 - 0 Defensores de Belgrano VR W
27 Sep 2026Torneo Federal A Defensores de Belgrano VR 2 - 2 Alvarado D
20 Sep 2026Torneo Federal A Alvarado 1 - 1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca D
13 Sep 2026Torneo Federal A Cipolletti 1 - 0 Alvarado L
06 Sep 2026Torneo Federal A Alvarado 3 - 2 Atenas W
30 Aug 2026Torneo Federal A Kimberley Mar del Plata 0 - 2 Alvarado W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Villa Mitre Draw Alvarado
Value spotted: Draw at 2.73 (model 43% vs market 33%)

Most likely scores

0-0 33.3%
1-0 25%
0-1 11.7%
2-0 9.4%
1-1 8.7%
2-1 3.3%

Expected goals: 0.75 Villa Mitre · 0.35 Alvarado

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals30%
Over 2.5 goals10%
Over 3.5 goals3%
Both teams score16%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
45%
Form
55%
36%
Attack
64%
67%
Defence
33%
78%
Goal model
22%
36%
Head to head
64%
45%
Goals
55%
51%
Overall
48%

Season numbers

Torneo Federal A 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
5
1
16-30'
3
0
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
1
2
61-75'
1
3
76-90'
3
0
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
3
3
76-90'
0
Villa Mitre Alvarado

Side by side

Villa Mitre Alvarado
12 Played 13
3 Won 6
6 Drawn 5
3 Lost 2
0.6 Goals scored per game 1.1
0.4 Goals conceded per game 0.5
0.7 / 0.5 Scored per game (home / away) 1.6 / 0.5
7 Clean sheets 9
8 Failed to score 5
1 Longest winning run 2
2-0 Biggest win 3-0
1-0 Biggest defeat 2-0
0/0 Penalties scored 1/1

Villa Mitre vs Alvarado: preview and prediction

Villa Mitre host Alvarado in the Argentina Torneo Federal A (Regular Season - 15) on Sunday, 28th June 2026 at 19:00 at Estadio El Fortin, Bahia Blanca. Villa Mitre sit 16th in the table and Alvarado 5th.

Villa Mitre have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-D-W-W-L). Alvarado have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-D-W-L).

In the last 8 meetings, Villa Mitre won 1, Alvarado won 2 and 5 ended level. These games average 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% and over 2.5 goals in 25%.

Our goal model expects about 0.75 goals for Villa Mitre and 0.35 for Alvarado. It gives Villa Mitre the edge (42% home win, 43% draw, 16% away win), 10% for over 2.5 goals and 16% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-0.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.17. We also like BTTS No.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Villa Mitre vs Alvarado FAQs

What is the best prediction for Villa Mitre vs Alvarado?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.17 odds).

Who will win Villa Mitre vs Alvarado?

It looks very close: our model gives Villa Mitre 42%, the draw 43% and Alvarado 16%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 16% chance in our model, and it happened in 75% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 1.1 goals in total, with a 10% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Villa Mitre vs Alvarado?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 28th June 2026 at 19:00 at Estadio El Fortin, Bahia Blanca.