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Vigor Senigallia vs Fossombrone Prediction, H2H & Stats

Italy: Serie D - Girone F · Group F - 5
Vigor Senigallia

Vigor Senigallia

6th in table
LLWLL
Full time
0:0
HT 0 - 0
Fossombrone

Fossombrone

9th in table
DLWLD
74'
Sunday, 27 September 2026

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7games
1Vigor Senigallia wins
5Draws
1Fossombrone wins
2Goals per game
57%Both scored
43%Over 2.5
08 Feb 2026Serie D - Girone F Vigor Senigallia 0 - 0 Fossombrone
05 Oct 2025Serie D - Girone F Fossombrone 1 - 2 Vigor Senigallia
31 Aug 2025Coppa Italia Serie D Fossombrone 0 - 0 Vigor Senigallia
27 Apr 2025Serie D - Girone F Vigor Senigallia 2 - 2 Fossombrone
15 Dec 2024Serie D - Girone F Fossombrone 2 - 2 Vigor Senigallia
07 Apr 2024Serie D - Girone F Vigor Senigallia 1 - 1 Fossombrone
26 Nov 2023Serie D - Girone F Fossombrone 1 - 0 Vigor Senigallia

Serie D - Girone F table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Teramo 10811 26:13 +13 25 WWWWW
2 L'Aquila 10730 20:7 +13 24 DWWWW
3 Ancona 10622 18:8 +10 20 WWLWW
4 Foligno Calcio 10613 14:11 +3 19 WLLWW
5 Notaresco 10442 13:9 +4 16 DDWWW
6 Vigor Senigallia 10514 18:20 -2 16 LLWLL
7 Montecchio Gallo 10433 13:10 +3 15 WDWLL
8 Atletico Ascoli 10424 13:11 +2 14 LDWWL
9 Fossombrone 10424 12:17 -5 14 DLWLW
10 Real Giulianova 10415 12:14 -2 13 LWWLW
11 Termoli Calcio 10334 6:7 -1 12 DDLWW
12 Lanciano FC 10325 14:17 -3 11 LDLWL
13 Maceratese 10325 13:17 -4 11 WDLLW
14 Sporting Trestina 10316 7:14 -7 10 WWLLL
15 Recanatese 10235 12:15 -3 9 LWLLL
16 Santegidiese 10235 8:13 -5 9 DLLLL
17 Pietralunga 10235 5:10 -5 9 DLWWL
18 Angelana 10118 5:16 -11 4 LLLLL

Recent form

5 W 1 D 4 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Serie D - Girone F Foligno Calcio 3 - 1 Vigor Senigallia L
25 Oct 2026Serie D - Girone F Vigor Senigallia 0 - 5 Ancona L
18 Oct 2026Serie D - Girone F Santegidiese 0 - 2 Vigor Senigallia W
11 Oct 2026Serie D - Girone F Vigor Senigallia 1 - 2 Atletico Ascoli L
04 Oct 2026Serie D - Girone F Teramo 6 - 4 Vigor Senigallia L
27 Sep 2026Serie D - Girone F Vigor Senigallia 0 - 0 Fossombrone D
20 Sep 2026Serie D - Girone F Termoli Calcio 1 - 2 Vigor Senigallia W
16 Sep 2026Serie D - Girone F Lanciano FC 1 - 2 Vigor Senigallia W
13 Sep 2026Serie D - Girone F Vigor Senigallia 1 - 0 Real Giulianova W
06 Sep 2026Serie D - Girone F Sporting Trestina 2 - 5 Vigor Senigallia W
3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Serie D - Girone F Pietralunga 0 - 0 Fossombrone D
25 Oct 2026Serie D - Girone F Fossombrone 2 - 4 Teramo L
18 Oct 2026Serie D - Girone F Ancona 2 - 3 Fossombrone W
11 Oct 2026Serie D - Girone F Fossombrone 1 - 2 Termoli Calcio L
07 Oct 2026Coppa Italia Serie D Ancona 1 - 1 Fossombrone D
04 Oct 2026Serie D - Girone F Atletico Ascoli 0 - 1 Fossombrone W
27 Sep 2026Serie D - Girone F Vigor Senigallia 0 - 0 Fossombrone D
20 Sep 2026Serie D - Girone F Fossombrone 2 - 4 Lanciano FC L
16 Sep 2026Serie D - Girone F Sporting Trestina 0 - 1 Fossombrone W
12 Sep 2026Serie D - Girone F Fossombrone 0 - 4 L'Aquila L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Vigor Senigallia Draw Fossombrone
Value spotted: Fossombrone win at 3.60 (model 48% vs market 25%)

Most likely scores

0-1 16.9%
0-0 13.5%
1-1 12.7%
0-2 10.6%
1-0 10.2%
1-2 7.9%

Expected goals: 0.75 Vigor Senigallia · 1.25 Fossombrone

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals59%
Over 2.5 goals32%
Over 3.5 goals14%
Both teams score38%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
67%
Form
33%
67%
Attack
33%
69%
Defence
31%
100%
Goal model
0%
64%
Head to head
36%
55%
Goals
45%
64%
Overall
35%

Season numbers

Serie D - Girone F 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
2
16-30'
0
2
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
3
2
61-75'
0
2
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
2
1
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
2
1
76-90'
4
Vigor Senigallia Fossombrone

Side by side

Vigor Senigallia Fossombrone
4 Played 4
4 Won 2
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 2
2.5 Goals scored per game 1.3
1 Goals conceded per game 2.3
1 / 3 Scored per game (home / away) 1 / 1.5
1 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 1
4 Longest winning run 1
1-0 Biggest win 1-2
- Biggest defeat 0-4
1/1 Penalties scored 0/0

Vigor Senigallia vs Fossombrone: preview and prediction

Vigor Senigallia host Fossombrone in the Italy Serie D - Girone F (Group F - 5) on Sunday, 27th September 2026 at 14:00. Vigor Senigallia sit 6th in the table and Fossombrone 9th.

Vigor Senigallia are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-L-L). Fossombrone have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-W-L-D).

In the last 7 meetings, Vigor Senigallia won 1, Fossombrone won 1 and 5 ended level. These games average 2 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% and over 2.5 goals in 43%.

Our goal model expects about 0.75 goals for Vigor Senigallia and 1.25 for Fossombrone. It gives Fossombrone the edge (22% home win, 30% draw, 48% away win), 32% for over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-1.

Our pick was Home Win at odds of 1.94.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Vigor Senigallia vs Fossombrone FAQs

What is the best prediction for Vigor Senigallia vs Fossombrone?

Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (1.94 odds).

Who will win Vigor Senigallia vs Fossombrone?

Fossombrone are favourites: our model gives Vigor Senigallia 22%, the draw 30% and Fossombrone 48%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 38% chance in our model, and it happened in 57% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2 goals in total, with a 32% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Vigor Senigallia vs Fossombrone?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 27th September 2026 at 14:00.