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Venados FC vs Leones Negros UDG Prediction, H2H & Stats

Mexico: Liga de Expansión MX · Apertura - 12
Venados FC

Venados FC

6th in table
WDDWD
Full time
1:1
HT 0 - 0
Leones Negros UDG

Leones Negros UDG

2nd in table
WDLWW
79' J. Reyes
83' O. Gil
Sunday, 11 October 2026
Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero
A. Rodriguez

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
3Venados FC wins
2Draws
4Leones Negros UDG wins
2.8Goals per game
56%Both scored
56%Over 2.5
12 Apr 2026Liga de Expansión MX Venados FC 2 - 1 Leones Negros UDG
02 Nov 2025Liga de Expansión MX Leones Negros UDG 1 - 0 Venados FC
19 Apr 2025Liga de Expansión MX Leones Negros UDG 3 - 1 Venados FC
02 Nov 2024Liga de Expansión MX Venados FC 3 - 0 Leones Negros UDG
25 Jan 2024Liga de Expansión MX Venados FC 1 - 1 Leones Negros UDG
17 Aug 2023Liga de Expansión MX Leones Negros UDG 4 - 1 Venados FC
05 Apr 2023Liga de Expansión MX Venados FC 1 - 1 Leones Negros UDG
29 Oct 2022Liga de Expansión MX Leones Negros UDG 3 - 0 Venados FC
26 Oct 2022Liga de Expansión MX Venados FC 2 - 0 Leones Negros UDG

Liga de Expansión MX table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 CA La Paz 15933 36:18 +18 30 WWDWL
2 Leones Negros UDG 15933 34:20 +14 30 WWLDW
3 Monarcas 15825 26:19 +7 26 LWLDD
4 Piratas 15744 27:15 +12 25 DWWLW
5 Cancún 15744 28:18 +10 25 WWDDW
6 Venados FC 15744 31:25 +6 25 DWDDW
7 Durango 15735 21:15 +6 24 WLWDW
8 Tlaxcala 15645 29:27 +2 22 WWDWD
9 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 15717 15:25 -10 22 WWWWL
10 Mineros de Zacatecas 15537 26:26 0 18 LLLDL
11 Tapatío 15537 25:28 -3 18 DLLWL
12 Correcaminos Uat 15456 21:24 -3 17 DLLLD
13 Dorados 15447 23:32 -9 16 LLWLL
14 CDS Tampico Madero 15438 15:25 -10 15 LLWDL
15 Cruz Azul Hidalgo 15357 17:24 -7 14 LLWWD
16 Tepatitlán 152112 11:44 -33 7 LLLLD

Recent form

4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Liga de Expansión MX Correcaminos Uat 0 - 0 Venados FC D
24 Oct 2026Liga de Expansión MX Venados FC 3 - 2 Durango W
18 Oct 2026Liga de Expansión MX Cancún 1 - 1 Venados FC D
10 Oct 2026Liga de Expansión MX Venados FC 1 - 1 Leones Negros UDG D
03 Oct 2026Liga de Expansión MX CA La Paz 1 - 2 Venados FC W
26 Sep 2026Liga de Expansión MX Venados FC 2 - 1 Monarcas W
19 Sep 2026Liga de Expansión MX Piratas 2 - 1 Venados FC L
12 Sep 2026Liga de Expansión MX Venados FC 5 - 0 Tepatitlán W
06 Sep 2026Liga de Expansión MX CDS Tampico Madero 4 - 3 Venados FC L
29 Aug 2026Liga de Expansión MX Tlaxcala 3 - 1 Venados FC L
5 W 3 D 2 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Liga de Expansión MX Leones Negros UDG 3 - 1 Tepatitlán W
25 Oct 2026Liga de Expansión MX Mineros de Zacatecas 0 - 2 Leones Negros UDG W
18 Oct 2026Liga de Expansión MX Leones Negros UDG 1 - 2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca L
10 Oct 2026Liga de Expansión MX Venados FC 1 - 1 Leones Negros UDG D
04 Oct 2026Liga de Expansión MX Leones Negros UDG 6 - 3 Dorados W
26 Sep 2026Liga de Expansión MX Cruz Azul Hidalgo 1 - 2 Leones Negros UDG W
20 Sep 2026Liga de Expansión MX Monarcas 2 - 0 Leones Negros UDG L
13 Sep 2026Liga de Expansión MX Leones Negros UDG 2 - 2 CA La Paz D
06 Sep 2026Liga de Expansión MX Tapatío 1 - 3 Leones Negros UDG W
30 Aug 2026Liga de Expansión MX Leones Negros UDG 1 - 1 Piratas D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Venados FC Draw Leones Negros UDG

Most likely scores

2-1 8.6%
1-1 7.4%
2-2 6.9%
3-1 6.6%
1-2 6%
2-0 5.4%

Expected goals: 2.3 Venados FC · 1.6 Leones Negros UDG

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals90%
Over 2.5 goals74%
Over 3.5 goals54%
Both teams score72%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
47%
Form
53%
50%
Attack
50%
53%
Defence
47%
53%
Goal model
47%
50%
Head to head
50%
54%
Goals
46%
51%
Overall
48%

Season numbers

Liga de Expansión MX 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
8
2
16-30'
4
5
31-45'
3
4
46-60'
2
8
61-75'
2
4
76-90'
6
3
0-15'
0
2
16-30'
5
6
31-45'
2
6
46-60'
4
3
61-75'
1
2
76-90'
6
Venados FC Leones Negros UDG

Side by side

Venados FC Leones Negros UDG
11 Played 11
6 Won 7
1 Drawn 2
4 Lost 2
2.4 Goals scored per game 2.5
1.9 Goals conceded per game 1.5
3.4 / 1.5 Scored per game (home / away) 2.8 / 2.2
2 Clean sheets 2
0 Failed to score 1
1 Longest winning run 2
5-0 Biggest win 4-0
5-1 Biggest defeat 1-3
1/2 Penalties scored 0/2

Venados FC vs Leones Negros UDG: preview and prediction

Venados FC host Leones Negros UDG in the Mexico Liga de Expansión MX (Apertura - 12) on Sunday, 11th October 2026 at 00:00 at Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero. Venados FC sit 6th in the table and Leones Negros UDG 2nd.

Venados FC are unbeaten, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-D-D-W-D). Leones Negros UDG are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-L-W-W).

In the last 9 meetings, Venados FC won 3, Leones Negros UDG won 4 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% and over 2.5 goals in 56%.

Our goal model expects about 2.3 goals for Venados FC and 1.6 for Leones Negros UDG. It gives Venados FC the edge (53% home win, 20% draw, 27% away win), 74% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-1.

Our pick was Over 2.5 at odds of 1.41. We also like BTTS Yes, Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Venados FC vs Leones Negros UDG FAQs

What is the best prediction for Venados FC vs Leones Negros UDG?

Our top tip is Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5 (1.41 odds).

Who will win Venados FC vs Leones Negros UDG?

Venados FC are favourites: our model gives Venados FC 53%, the draw 20% and Leones Negros UDG 27%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 72% chance in our model, and it happened in 56% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.9 goals in total, with a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Venados FC vs Leones Negros UDG?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 11th October 2026 at 00:00 at Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero.

Who is the referee?

A. Rodriguez is in charge of this game.