Venados FC vs Dorados Prediction, H2H & Stats

Mexico: Liga de Expansión MX · Apertura - 5
Venados FC

Venados FC

6th in table
WDDWD
Full time
4:2
HT 2 - 2
Dorados

Dorados

13th in table
LLWLL
5' S. Lora
8' A. Flores
27' R. Franco
37' S. Lora
41' B. Sanchez (Penalty)
60' R. Franco
66' S. Lora
90' L. Macias
Friday, 21 August 2026
Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero
J. C. Ortiz Leon

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
5Venados FC wins
2Draws
2Dorados wins
4.1Goals per game
67%Both scored
78%Over 2.5
25 Jan 2026Liga de Expansión MX Venados FC 4 - 4 Dorados
17 Aug 2025Liga de Expansión MX Dorados 1 - 0 Venados FC
06 Apr 2025Liga de Expansión MX Dorados 3 - 1 Venados FC
19 Oct 2024Liga de Expansión MX Venados FC 4 - 0 Dorados
01 Feb 2024Liga de Expansión MX Dorados 2 - 3 Venados FC
16 Oct 2023Liga de Expansión MX Venados FC 4 - 1 Dorados
12 Apr 2023Liga de Expansión MX Dorados 0 - 5 Venados FC
11 Aug 2022Liga de Expansión MX Venados FC 1 - 1 Dorados
30 Mar 2022Liga de Expansión MX Venados FC 2 - 1 Dorados

Liga de Expansión MX table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 CA La Paz 15933 36:18 +18 30 WWDWL
2 Leones Negros UDG 15933 34:20 +14 30 WWLDW
3 Monarcas 15825 26:19 +7 26 LWLDD
4 Piratas 15744 27:15 +12 25 DWWLW
5 Cancún 15744 28:18 +10 25 WWDDW
6 Venados FC 15744 31:25 +6 25 DWDDW
7 Durango 15735 21:15 +6 24 WLWDW
8 Tlaxcala 15645 29:27 +2 22 WWDWD
9 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 15717 15:25 -10 22 WWWWL
10 Mineros de Zacatecas 15537 26:26 0 18 LLLDL
11 Tapatío 15537 25:28 -3 18 DLLWL
12 Correcaminos Uat 15456 21:24 -3 17 DLLLD
13 Dorados 15447 23:32 -9 16 LLWLL
14 CDS Tampico Madero 15438 15:25 -10 15 LLWDL
15 Cruz Azul Hidalgo 15357 17:24 -7 14 LLWWD
16 Tepatitlán 152112 11:44 -33 7 LLLLD

Recent form

4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Liga de Expansión MX Correcaminos Uat 0 - 0 Venados FC D
24 Oct 2026Liga de Expansión MX Venados FC 3 - 2 Durango W
18 Oct 2026Liga de Expansión MX Cancún 1 - 1 Venados FC D
10 Oct 2026Liga de Expansión MX Venados FC 1 - 1 Leones Negros UDG D
03 Oct 2026Liga de Expansión MX CA La Paz 1 - 2 Venados FC W
26 Sep 2026Liga de Expansión MX Venados FC 2 - 1 Monarcas W
19 Sep 2026Liga de Expansión MX Piratas 2 - 1 Venados FC L
12 Sep 2026Liga de Expansión MX Venados FC 5 - 0 Tepatitlán W
06 Sep 2026Liga de Expansión MX CDS Tampico Madero 4 - 3 Venados FC L
29 Aug 2026Liga de Expansión MX Tlaxcala 3 - 1 Venados FC L
3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Liga de Expansión MX CA La Paz 3 - 0 Dorados L
25 Oct 2026Liga de Expansión MX Dorados 0 - 5 Piratas L
17 Oct 2026Liga de Expansión MX Correcaminos Uat 1 - 2 Dorados W
11 Oct 2026Liga de Expansión MX Dorados 1 - 3 Cruz Azul Hidalgo L
04 Oct 2026Liga de Expansión MX Leones Negros UDG 6 - 3 Dorados L
27 Sep 2026Liga de Expansión MX Dorados 0 - 1 Durango L
20 Sep 2026Liga de Expansión MX CDS Tampico Madero 1 - 1 Dorados D
16 Sep 2026Liga de Expansión MX Dorados 1 - 1 Cancún D
13 Sep 2026Liga de Expansión MX Dorados 3 - 1 Tapatío W
04 Sep 2026Liga de Expansión MX Tepatitlán 1 - 4 Dorados W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Venados FC Draw Dorados
Value spotted: Dorados win at 4.86 (model 27% vs market 19%)

Most likely scores

2-1 9%
1-1 8.4%
2-2 6.8%
3-1 6.5%
1-2 6.3%
2-0 6%

Expected goals: 2.15 Venados FC · 1.5 Dorados

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals70%
Over 3.5 goals49%
Both teams score68%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
58%
Form
42%
57%
Attack
43%
33%
Defence
67%
0%
Goal model
100%
50%
Head to head
50%
55%
Goals
45%
50%
Overall
49%

Season numbers

Liga de Expansión MX 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
0
3
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
3
0
0-15'
0
2
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
2
3
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
1
Venados FC Dorados

Side by side

Venados FC Dorados
4 Played 3
2 Won 1
1 Drawn 2
1 Lost 0
2 Goals scored per game 2
2 Goals conceded per game 1.3
3 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 2 / 2
1 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 0
1 Longest winning run 1
3-0 Biggest win 0-2
5-1 Biggest defeat -
0/0 Penalties scored 0/1

Venados FC vs Dorados: preview and prediction

Venados FC host Dorados in the Mexico Liga de Expansión MX (Apertura - 5) on Friday, 21st August 2026 at 00:00 at Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero. Venados FC sit 6th in the table and Dorados 13th.

Venados FC are unbeaten, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-D-D-W-D). Dorados are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-L-L).

In the last 9 meetings, Venados FC won 5, Dorados won 2 and 2 ended level. These games average 4.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 goals in 78%.

Our goal model expects about 2.15 goals for Venados FC and 1.5 for Dorados. It gives Venados FC the edge (52% home win, 21% draw, 27% away win), 70% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-1.

Our pick was Over 2.5 at odds of 1.47. We also like BTTS Yes.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Venados FC vs Dorados FAQs

What is the best prediction for Venados FC vs Dorados?

Our top tip is Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5 (1.47 odds).

Who will win Venados FC vs Dorados?

Venados FC are favourites: our model gives Venados FC 52%, the draw 21% and Dorados 27%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 68% chance in our model, and it happened in 67% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.7 goals in total, with a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Venados FC vs Dorados?

Kick-off is on Friday, 21st August 2026 at 00:00 at Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero.

Who is the referee?

J. C. Ortiz Leon is in charge of this game.