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Valerenga vs Aalesund Prediction, H2H & Stats

Norway: Eliteserien · Regular Season - 14
Valerenga

Valerenga

8th in table
LWWLW
Full time
6:1
HT 3 - 0
Aalesund

Aalesund

14th in table
LWLWL
39' L. Haren
42' L. Haren
45' F. Thorvaldsen
53' F. Thorvaldsen
74' E. Osenbroch
83' M. Ofkir
89' M. Ofkir
Thursday, 16 July 2026
Intility Arena, Oslo
Daniel Higraff, Norway

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
5Valerenga wins
3Draws
0Aalesund wins
3.3Goals per game
63%Both scored
63%Over 2.5
24 Sep 20241. Division Valerenga 4 - 1 Aalesund
11 May 20241. Division Aalesund 0 - 2 Valerenga
17 Sep 2023Eliteserien Valerenga 3 - 1 Aalesund
10 Apr 2023Eliteserien Aalesund 0 - 1 Valerenga
07 Aug 2022Eliteserien Valerenga 4 - 0 Aalesund
19 Jun 2022Eliteserien Aalesund 2 - 2 Valerenga
21 Nov 2020Eliteserien Aalesund 1 - 1 Valerenga
04 Jul 2020Eliteserien Valerenga 2 - 2 Aalesund

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Viking 251924 64:26 +38 59 LWWWW
2 Bodo/Glimt 251924 61:23 +38 59 WLWWL
3 Molde 251348 59:39 +20 43 LWWDL
4 Rosenborg 251348 49:31 +18 43 WWWDW
5 Lillestrom 251339 36:33 +3 42 WWWDL
6 Tromso 251177 43:38 +5 40 LLDDW
7 Brann 2510213 45:42 +3 32 WLLLW
8 Valerenga 259511 43:46 -3 32 WWWLD
9 Sarpsborg 08 FF 258710 32:39 -7 31 LWLWL
10 KFUM Oslo 258710 32:41 -9 31 DDDWW
11 Fredrikstad 258512 29:44 -15 29 LLLDD
12 Sandefjord 257612 26:34 -8 27 WLLDW
13 Ham-Kam 257612 35:53 -18 27 DLLWL
14 Aalesund 255911 43:57 -14 24 LLWLW
15 Kristiansund BK 256514 29:51 -22 23 WDLLL
16 Start 255416 26:55 -29 19 LWLLL

Top scorers

Eliteserien
1 Amin ChiakhaRosenborg 17goals 4assists 24apps
2 P. ChristiansenViking 15goals 7assists 24apps
3 A. HelmersenBodo/Glimt 13goals 1assists 22apps
4 K. LonebuMolde 13goals 2assists 22apps
5 L. AlvheimKristiansund BK 12goals 0assists 23apps
6 L. HarenValerenga 11goals 2assists 24apps
7 M. ChristensenAalesund 11goals 5assists 24apps
8 E. BreivikMolde 10goals 10assists 25apps
9 H. LarsenTromso 10goals 4assists 25apps
10 S. Kvia-EgeskogViking 9goals 3assists 25apps

Recent form

4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Eliteserien Valerenga 4 - 0 Tromso W
28 Oct 2026NM Cupen Sarpsborg 08 FF 3 - 2 Valerenga L
24 Oct 2026Eliteserien Bodo/Glimt 0 - 1 Valerenga W
18 Oct 2026Eliteserien Valerenga 3 - 1 Brann W
12 Oct 2026Eliteserien KFUM Oslo 2 - 1 Valerenga L
20 Sep 2026Eliteserien Valerenga 1 - 1 Fredrikstad D
17 Sep 2026NM Cupen Skeid 1 - 4 Valerenga W
12 Sep 2026Eliteserien Lillestrom 2 - 0 Valerenga L
06 Sep 2026Eliteserien Sarpsborg 08 FF 2 - 2 Valerenga D
30 Aug 2026Eliteserien Valerenga 3 - 4 Molde L
5 W 0 D 5 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Eliteserien Aalesund 3 - 4 Sandefjord L
28 Oct 2026NM Cupen Kristiansund BK 0 - 2 Aalesund W
25 Oct 2026Eliteserien Sarpsborg 08 FF 2 - 1 Aalesund L
17 Oct 2026Eliteserien Kristiansund BK 1 - 4 Aalesund W
11 Oct 2026Eliteserien Aalesund 2 - 4 Sarpsborg 08 FF L
19 Sep 2026Eliteserien Molde 1 - 2 Aalesund W
16 Sep 2026NM Cupen Førde 3 - 4 Aalesund W
13 Sep 2026Eliteserien KFUM Oslo 2 - 1 Aalesund L
04 Sep 2026Eliteserien Aalesund 2 - 0 Start W
30 Aug 2026Eliteserien Viking 2 - 1 Aalesund L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Valerenga Draw Aalesund
Value spotted: Aalesund win at 4.30 (model 28% vs market 22%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12%
1-0 10.4%
2-1 9.3%
2-0 8.1%
0-1 7.7%
1-2 6.9%

Expected goals: 1.55 Valerenga · 1.15 Aalesund

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Both teams score54%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
40%
Form
60%
38%
Attack
63%
44%
Defence
56%
53%
Goal model
47%
100%
Head to head
0%
88%
Goals
13%
52%
Overall
47%

Season numbers

Eliteserien 2026

When the goals come

3
0-15'
3
2
16-30'
3
0
31-45'
1
3
46-60'
4
3
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
6
5
0-15'
3
3
16-30'
4
3
31-45'
3
5
46-60'
3
0
61-75'
5
6
76-90'
4
Valerenga Aalesund

Side by side

Valerenga Aalesund
12 Played 12
4 Won 2
2 Drawn 6
6 Lost 4
1.1 Goals scored per game 1.4
1.8 Goals conceded per game 1.8
1.5 / 0.7 Scored per game (home / away) 1.7 / 1
2 Clean sheets 0
5 Failed to score 2
2 Longest winning run 2
3-1 Biggest win 2-1
0-2 Biggest defeat 1-3
0/1 Penalties scored 0/0

Valerenga vs Aalesund: preview and prediction

Valerenga host Aalesund in the Norway Eliteserien (Regular Season - 14) on Thursday, 16th July 2026 at 18:00 at Intility Arena, Oslo. Valerenga sit 8th in the table and Aalesund 14th.

Valerenga are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-W-L-W). Aalesund are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-W-L).

In the last 8 meetings, Valerenga won 5, Aalesund won 0 and 3 ended level. These games average 3.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 63% and over 2.5 goals in 63%.

Our goal model expects about 1.55 goals for Valerenga and 1.15 for Aalesund. It gives Valerenga the edge (47% home win, 25% draw, 28% away win), 51% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Over 2.5 at odds of 1.42. We also like BTTS Yes.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Valerenga vs Aalesund FAQs

What is the best prediction for Valerenga vs Aalesund?

Our top tip is Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5 (1.42 odds).

Who will win Valerenga vs Aalesund?

Valerenga are favourites: our model gives Valerenga 47%, the draw 25% and Aalesund 28%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 54% chance in our model, and it happened in 63% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.7 goals in total, with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Valerenga vs Aalesund?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 16th July 2026 at 18:00 at Intility Arena, Oslo.

Who is the referee?

Daniel Higraff, Norway is in charge of this game.