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Valencia vs Real Madrid Prediction, H2H & Stats

Spain: La Liga · Regular Season - 12
Valencia

Valencia

19th in table
LDDLW
Kick-off
21:00
Sat, 7 Nov 2026
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

3rd in table
WWWWW
Saturday, 7 November 2026
Estadio de Mestalla, Valdivia
Francisco Jose Hernandez Maeso

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
10games
2Valencia wins
2Draws
6Real Madrid wins
3.2Goals per game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
08 Feb 2026La Liga Valencia 0 - 2 Real Madrid
01 Nov 2025La Liga Real Madrid 4 - 0 Valencia
05 Apr 2025La Liga Real Madrid 1 - 2 Valencia
03 Jan 2025La Liga Valencia 1 - 2 Real Madrid
02 Mar 2024La Liga Valencia 2 - 2 Real Madrid
11 Nov 2023La Liga Real Madrid 5 - 1 Valencia
21 May 2023La Liga Valencia 1 - 0 Real Madrid
02 Feb 2023La Liga Real Madrid 2 - 0 Valencia
11 Jan 2023Super Cup Real Madrid 1 - 1 Valencia
08 Jan 2022La Liga Real Madrid 4 - 1 Valencia

La Liga table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Barcelona 111001 46:12 +34 30 WLWWW
2 Atletico Madrid 11911 22:8 +14 28 WWWWW
3 Real Madrid 11902 28:10 +18 27 WWWWL
4 Real Betis 11722 18:15 +3 23 WDLWD
5 Real Sociedad 11614 20:20 0 19 LWWWW
6 Sevilla 12534 17:19 -2 18 DLWLD
7 Athletic Club 10433 14:10 +4 15 WWLDD
8 Deportivo La Coruna 11353 15:14 +1 14 WLDLD
9 Alaves 12345 15:17 -2 13 DLDLL
10 Villarreal 11335 15:15 0 12 LWDLW
11 Celta Vigo 11263 10:10 0 12 LDWDW
12 Rayo Vallecano 10334 15:20 -5 12 WLDDW
13 Getafe 11335 8:16 -8 12 WLDLW
14 Espanyol 11326 13:14 -1 11 WLLDL
15 Osasuna 11326 11:22 -11 11 LLWLD
16 Racing Santander 11326 15:29 -14 11 LWLDL
17 Elche 11245 14:18 -4 10 LWDDW
18 Levante 11245 16:21 -5 10 LLWDD
19 Valencia 11236 8:17 -9 9 WLDDL
20 Malaga 11056 8:21 -13 5 LDLDL

Top scorers

La Liga
1 RaphinhaBarcelona 15goals 3assists 10apps
2 Kylian MbappéReal Madrid 12goals 2assists 11apps
3 Lamine YamalBarcelona 10goals 7assists 11apps
4 M. ZabiriRacing Santander 8goals 0assists 11apps
5 A. BudimirOsasuna 8goals 0assists 11apps
6 Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano 7goals 2assists 11apps
7 Roberto FernándezEspanyol 6goals 0assists 11apps
8 Fer NiñoElche 6goals 0assists 11apps
9 FermínBarcelona 5goals 5assists 10apps
10 Álex BaenaAtletico Madrid 5goals 3assists 11apps

Recent form

2 W 2 D 6 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026La Liga Elche 0 - 1 Valencia W
24 Oct 2026La Liga Valencia 1 - 2 Villarreal L
17 Oct 2026La Liga Valencia 0 - 0 Athletic Club D
11 Oct 2026La Liga Racing Santander 2 - 2 Valencia D
20 Sep 2026La Liga Valencia 2 - 3 Real Sociedad L
15 Sep 2026La Liga Alaves 0 - 1 Valencia W
11 Sep 2026La Liga Sevilla 1 - 0 Valencia L
06 Sep 2026La Liga Valencia 0 - 5 Barcelona L
30 Aug 2026La Liga Deportivo La Coruna 3 - 1 Valencia L
25 Aug 2026La Liga Valencia 0 - 1 Real Betis L
9 W 0 D 1 L in the last 10
04 Nov 2026UEFA Champions League AEK Athens FC 2 - 3 Real Madrid W
01 Nov 2026La Liga Racing Santander 0 - 3 Real Madrid W
25 Oct 2026La Liga Barcelona 1 - 2 Real Madrid W
21 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Real Madrid 4 - 1 RB Leipzig W
18 Oct 2026La Liga Real Madrid 4 - 1 Sevilla W
14 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League AS Roma 3 - 4 Real Madrid W
10 Oct 2026La Liga Real Madrid 1 - 0 Villarreal W
20 Sep 2026La Liga Atletico Madrid 2 - 1 Real Madrid L
15 Sep 2026La Liga Elche 2 - 3 Real Madrid W
12 Sep 2026La Liga Real Madrid 4 - 1 Rayo Vallecano W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Valencia Draw Real Madrid
Value spotted: Valencia win at 9.00 (model 17% vs market 11%) · Draw at 6.50 (model 23% vs market 15%)

Most likely scores

0-1 12.7%
0-2 11.4%
1-1 10.8%
1-2 9.7%
0-0 7.1%
0-3 6.9%

Expected goals: 0.85 Valencia · 1.8 Real Madrid

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Both teams score48%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
29%
Form
71%
35%
Attack
65%
36%
Defence
64%
12%
Goal model
88%
29%
Head to head
71%
31%
Goals
69%
28%
Overall
71%

Season numbers

La Liga 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
3
1
16-30'
5
1
31-45'
6
2
46-60'
1
2
61-75'
3
1
76-90'
8
1
0-15'
0
3
16-30'
3
1
31-45'
1
2
46-60'
3
1
61-75'
2
8
76-90'
3
Valencia Real Madrid

Side by side

Valencia Real Madrid
11 Played 11
2 Won 9
3 Drawn 0
6 Lost 2
0.7 Goals scored per game 2.5
1.5 Goals conceded per game 0.9
0.5 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 3.4 / 1.8
4 Clean sheets 3
5 Failed to score 1
1 Longest winning run 3
0-1 Biggest win 4-0
0-5 Biggest defeat 2-1
1/1 Penalties scored 3/4

What comes next

Valencia
Real Madrid (H) 07 Nov
Tavernes (A) 10 Nov
Rayo Vallecano (A) 22 Nov
Osasuna (H) 29 Nov
Getafe (A) 06 Dec
Real Madrid
Valencia (A) 07 Nov
Celta Vigo (H) 22 Nov
PSV Eindhoven (H) 24 Nov
Alaves (H) 29 Nov
Athletic Club (A) 06 Dec
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Valencia 9.00 11% implied
Draw 6.50 15% implied
Real Madrid 1.27 79% implied Our tip
Valencia 8.00 13% implied
Real Madrid 1.08 93% implied Our tip
Over 0.5 1.02 98% implied
Under 0.5 19.00 5% implied
Over 1.5 1.14 88% implied
Under 1.5 5.50 18% implied
Over 2.5 1.50 67% implied
Under 2.5 2.62 38% implied
Over 3.5 2.20 45% implied
Under 3.5 1.67 60% implied
Over 4.5 3.75 27% implied
Under 4.5 1.28 78% implied
Valencia/Draw 21.00 5% implied
Valencia/Real Madrid 17.00 6% implied
Draw/Real Madrid 4.00 25% implied
Draw/Draw 9.50 11% implied
Valencia/Valencia 19.00 5% implied
Draw/Valencia 21.00 5% implied
Real Madrid/Valencia 51.00 2% implied
Real Madrid/Draw 19.00 5% implied
Real Madrid/Real Madrid 1.73 58% implied
Yes 1.80 56% implied
No 1.95 51% implied
0:2 7.50 13% implied
0:3 8.50 12% implied
1:2 9.00 11% implied
0:1 9.50 11% implied
1:3 10.00 10% implied
1:1 12.00 8% implied
0:4 12.00 8% implied
1:4 15.00 7% implied
Valencia/Draw 3.75 27% implied
Valencia/Real Madrid 1.11 90% implied
Draw/Real Madrid 1.07 93% implied
Valencia 8.50 12% implied
Draw 2.88 35% implied
Real Madrid 1.62 62% implied Our tip

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Valencia vs Real Madrid: preview and prediction

Valencia host Real Madrid in the Spain La Liga (Regular Season - 12) on Saturday, 7th November 2026 at 21:00 at Estadio de Mestalla, Valdivia. Valencia sit 19th in the table and Real Madrid 3rd.

Valencia have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-D-L-W). Real Madrid are flying, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-W-W-W).

In the last 10 meetings, Valencia won 2, Real Madrid won 6 and 2 ended level. These games average 3.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% and over 2.5 goals in 60%.

Our goal model expects about 0.85 goals for Valencia and 1.8 for Real Madrid. It gives Real Madrid the edge (17% home win, 23% draw, 60% away win), 49% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-1.

Verdict: our pick is Away Win.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Valencia vs Real Madrid FAQs

What is the best prediction for Valencia vs Real Madrid?

Our top tip is Tip of the Day: Away Win.

Who will win Valencia vs Real Madrid?

Real Madrid are favourites: our model gives Valencia 17%, the draw 23% and Real Madrid 60%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 48% chance in our model, and it happened in 60% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.7 goals in total, with a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Valencia vs Real Madrid?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 7th November 2026 at 21:00 at Estadio de Mestalla, Valdivia.

Who is the referee?

Francisco Jose Hernandez Maeso is in charge of this game.