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USM Alger vs Paradou AC Prediction, H2H & Stats

Algeria: Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 18
USM Alger

USM Alger

10th in table
WLWDW
Full time
4:2
HT 1 - 1
Paradou AC

Paradou AC

14th in table
LLWLW
23' A. Khaldi
32' I. Chetti
45' M. Ramdaoui
49' G. Likonza
58' M. Ramdaoui
74' I. Azzi
81' R. Benayad
90+6' M. Reguieg
90' R. Benayad
Friday, 22 May 2026
Stade du 5 Juillet 1962, Algiers

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
4USM Alger wins
1Draws
4Paradou AC wins
2.7Goals per game
67%Both scored
56%Over 2.5
06 Sep 2025Ligue 1 Paradou AC 0 - 1 USM Alger
17 May 2025Ligue 1 Paradou AC 3 - 1 USM Alger
28 Jan 2025Ligue 1 USM Alger 1 - 1 Paradou AC
11 Feb 2024Ligue 1 USM Alger 1 - 5 Paradou AC
27 Sep 2023Ligue 1 Paradou AC 1 - 0 USM Alger
21 May 2023Ligue 1 Paradou AC 2 - 1 USM Alger
25 Oct 2022Ligue 1 USM Alger 2 - 1 Paradou AC
27 May 2022Ligue 1 Paradou AC 0 - 1 USM Alger
25 Jan 2022Ligue 1 USM Alger 2 - 1 Paradou AC

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 MC Alger 302055 41:18 +23 65 WLDWW
2 JS Saoura 301677 40:26 +14 55 WDDWW
3 CR Belouizdad 3014115 47:24 +23 53 DDWWL
4 MC Oran 301479 36:31 +5 49 DLWWL
5 JS Kabylie 3011127 40:31 +9 45 DWWLD
6 Olympique Akbou 301299 34:31 +3 45 DLLLD
7 Khenchela 3012810 37:37 0 44 WWDWL
8 Ben Aknoun 3011109 41:39 +2 43 DDLWL
9 CS Constantine 3011109 35:30 +5 43 LDLWD
10 USM Alger 308157 34:29 +5 39 DDDLL
11 ES Setif 3010911 33:36 -3 39 WWWLW
12 MB Rouisset 309912 30:35 -5 36 LWWDD
13 ASO Chlef 309714 26:31 -5 34 LLLWL
14 Paradou AC 307320 35:54 -19 24 LLLWW
15 Mostaganem 304719 18:52 -34 19 DLDLL
16 El Bayadh 3021117 17:40 -23 17 DDLLL

Top scorers

Ligue 1
1 A. MahiousJS Kabylie 10goals 0assists 23apps
2 K. MerzouguiMB Rouisset 8goals 0assists 24apps
3 M. ZerroukiES Setif 8goals 0assists 23apps
4 Z. NaidjiMC Alger 7goals 0assists 25apps
5 A. BouticheJS Saoura 7goals 0assists 20apps
6 A. BenguitCR Belouizdad 7goals 0assists 20apps
7 M. HammoudaCR Belouizdad 7goals 0assists 18apps
8 A. SaâdBen Aknoun 6goals 0assists 26apps
9 Z. FerhatMC Alger 6goals 0assists 24apps
10 Abderrahmane HachoudBen Aknoun 5goals 0assists 25apps

Recent form

3 W 1 D 1 L in the last 5
31 Oct 2026Ligue 1 CS Constantine 0 - 2 USM Alger W
24 Oct 2026Ligue 1 USM Alger 2 - 2 CR Belouizdad D
13 Oct 2026Ligue 1 USM Alger 1 - 0 JS Saoura W
08 Oct 2026Ligue 1 MB Rouisset 1 - 0 USM Alger L
19 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Olympique Akbou 2 - 3 USM Alger W
3 W 1 D 6 L in the last 10
30 Oct 2026Ligue 2 Paradou AC 5 - 2 MO Constantine W
24 Oct 2026Ligue 2 MO Bejaia 2 - 1 Paradou AC L
17 Oct 2026Ligue 2 Paradou AC 2 - 0 JS Jijel W
13 Oct 2026Ligue 2 US Chaouia 1 - 0 Paradou AC L
02 Oct 2026Ligue 2 USM Annaba 2 - 1 Paradou AC L
26 Sep 2026Ligue 2 Paradou AC 2 - 1 Teleghma W
18 Sep 2026Ligue 2 Khroub 0 - 0 Paradou AC D
05 Jun 2026Ligue 1 Paradou AC 0 - 2 ES Setif L
22 May 2026Ligue 1 USM Alger 4 - 2 Paradou AC L
19 May 2026Ligue 1 MB Rouisset 2 - 1 Paradou AC L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
USM Alger Draw Paradou AC
Value spotted: Paradou AC win at 7.50 (model 23% vs market 12%)

Most likely scores

1-0 13.8%
1-1 12.4%
2-0 10%
0-0 9.5%
2-1 9%
0-1 8.6%

Expected goals: 1.45 USM Alger · 0.9 Paradou AC

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals68%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Over 3.5 goals21%
Both teams score45%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
36%
Form
64%
27%
Attack
73%
58%
Defence
42%
64%
Goal model
36%
29%
Head to head
71%
29%
Goals
71%
40%
Overall
59%

Season numbers

Ligue 1 2025

When the goals come

4
0-15'
7
6
16-30'
6
3
31-45'
2
3
46-60'
6
2
61-75'
6
5
76-90'
6
5
0-15'
4
3
16-30'
8
4
31-45'
14
1
46-60'
5
5
61-75'
7
2
76-90'
10
USM Alger Paradou AC

Side by side

USM Alger Paradou AC
24 Played 28
7 Won 7
12 Drawn 3
5 Lost 18
1 Goals scored per game 1.2
0.8 Goals conceded per game 1.7
1 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 1.3 / 1.1
9 Clean sheets 6
7 Failed to score 9
2 Longest winning run 4
2-0 Biggest win 5-3
1-2 Biggest defeat 0-3
3/3 Penalties scored 2/2

USM Alger vs Paradou AC: preview and prediction

USM Alger host Paradou AC in the Algeria Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 18) on Friday, 22nd May 2026 at 18:00 at Stade du 5 Juillet 1962, Algiers. USM Alger sit 10th in the table and Paradou AC 14th.

USM Alger are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-L-W-D-W). Paradou AC are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-L-W).

In the last 9 meetings, USM Alger won 4, Paradou AC won 4 and 1 ended level. These games average 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 goals in 56%.

Our goal model expects about 1.45 goals for USM Alger and 0.9 for Paradou AC. It gives USM Alger the edge (50% home win, 27% draw, 23% away win), 42% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 2.57. We also like Under 2.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

USM Alger vs Paradou AC FAQs

What is the best prediction for USM Alger vs Paradou AC?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (2.57 odds).

Who will win USM Alger vs Paradou AC?

USM Alger are favourites: our model gives USM Alger 50%, the draw 27% and Paradou AC 23%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 45% chance in our model, and it happened in 67% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.4 goals in total, with a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is USM Alger vs Paradou AC?

Kick-off is on Friday, 22nd May 2026 at 18:00 at Stade du 5 Juillet 1962, Algiers.