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USD Casatese vs Pistoiese Prediction, H2H & Stats

Italy: Serie D - Girone D · Group D - 6
USD Casatese

USD Casatese

5th in table
LWLLW
Full time
0:3
HT 0 - 2
Pistoiese

Pistoiese

1st in table
LWWLW
17' G. Luperini
40' M. Motti
64' S. Corazza (Penalty)
Sunday, 4 October 2026

Serie D - Girone D table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Pistoiese 10901 24:5 +19 27 WLWWW
2 Lentigione 10631 16:9 +7 21 WDDWW
3 Pro Patria 10622 14:7 +7 20 LDWWD
4 Castellanzese 10613 19:10 +9 19 LDWWW
5 USD Casatese 10514 14:14 0 16 WLLWL
6 Pro Sesto 10433 19:9 +10 15 LLDDD
7 Pavia 10352 11:7 +4 14 WWLDL
8 Cittadella Vis Modena 10424 10:8 +2 14 LWDLW
9 Solbiatese 10352 11:10 +1 14 WDWDD
10 Sant'Angelo 10424 11:11 0 14 LWWLL
11 Città di Varese 10343 15:11 +4 13 LDWWL
12 Correggese 10334 10:15 -5 12 DDLLW
13 Crema 10334 11:17 -6 12 WDWDW
14 Varesina 10253 13:14 -1 11 WDDDD
15 Pontedera 10217 11:26 -15 7 WDLWL
16 Coriano 10136 8:14 -6 6 DLLLL
17 Arconatese 10136 10:24 -14 6 LWLLD
18 Oltrepò 10127 5:21 -16 5 LDDLL

Recent form

5 W 1 D 4 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Serie D - Girone D USD Casatese 1 - 0 Pro Sesto W
25 Oct 2026Serie D - Girone D Pavia 3 - 1 USD Casatese L
18 Oct 2026Serie D - Girone D USD Casatese 1 - 2 Pro Patria L
11 Oct 2026Serie D - Girone D Cittadella Vis Modena 0 - 1 USD Casatese W
04 Oct 2026Serie D - Girone D USD Casatese 0 - 3 Pistoiese L
27 Sep 2026Serie D - Girone D USD Casatese 4 - 2 Varesina W
20 Sep 2026Serie D - Girone D Correggese 1 - 3 USD Casatese W
16 Sep 2026Serie D - Girone D USD Casatese 1 - 2 Sant'Angelo L
12 Sep 2026Serie D - Girone D Solbiatese 0 - 0 USD Casatese D
06 Sep 2026Serie D - Girone D USD Casatese 2 - 1 Arconatese W
8 W 0 D 2 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Serie D - Girone D Pistoiese 4 - 2 Castellanzese W
25 Oct 2026Serie D - Girone D Cittadella Vis Modena 2 - 1 Pistoiese L
18 Oct 2026Serie D - Girone D Pistoiese 1 - 0 Pavia W
11 Oct 2026Serie D - Girone D Pistoiese 1 - 0 Correggese W
07 Oct 2026Coppa Italia Serie D Sestri Levante 1 - 0 Pistoiese L
04 Oct 2026Serie D - Girone D USD Casatese 0 - 3 Pistoiese W
27 Sep 2026Serie D - Girone D Pistoiese 3 - 0 Sant'Angelo W
20 Sep 2026Serie D - Girone D Varesina 0 - 1 Pistoiese W
16 Sep 2026Serie D - Girone D Pistoiese 5 - 0 Arconatese W
13 Sep 2026Serie D - Girone D Crema 1 - 3 Pistoiese W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
USD Casatese Draw Pistoiese
Value spotted: USD Casatese win at 4.12 (model 29% vs market 23%)

Most likely scores

1-1 10%
1-2 9.3%
0-1 7.2%
2-1 7%
0-2 6.6%
2-2 6.5%

Expected goals: 1.4 USD Casatese · 1.85 Pistoiese

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Both teams score63%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
40%
Form
60%
42%
Attack
58%
14%
Defence
86%
24%
Goal model
76%
0%
Head to head
0%
0%
Goals
0%
30%
Overall
70%

Season numbers

Serie D - Girone D 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
3
1
31-45'
4
3
46-60'
3
1
61-75'
1
3
76-90'
2
0
0-15'
0
2
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
3
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
1
USD Casatese Pistoiese

Side by side

USD Casatese Pistoiese
5 Played 5
3 Won 5
1 Drawn 0
1 Lost 0
2 Goals scored per game 2.8
1.2 Goals conceded per game 0.2
2.3 / 1.5 Scored per game (home / away) 3.3 / 2
1 Clean sheets 4
1 Failed to score 0
1 Longest winning run 5
4-2 Biggest win 5-0
1-2 Biggest defeat -
1/1 Penalties scored 1/2

USD Casatese vs Pistoiese: preview and prediction

USD Casatese host Pistoiese in the Italy Serie D - Girone D (Group D - 6) on Sunday, 4th October 2026 at 14:00. USD Casatese sit 5th in the table and Pistoiese 1st.

USD Casatese are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-L-W). Pistoiese are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-W-L-W).

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for USD Casatese and 1.85 for Pistoiese. It gives Pistoiese the edge (29% home win, 23% draw, 48% away win), 63% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away Win at odds of 1.81.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

USD Casatese vs Pistoiese FAQs

What is the best prediction for USD Casatese vs Pistoiese?

Our top tip is Away Win: Away Win (1.81 odds).

Who will win USD Casatese vs Pistoiese?

Pistoiese are favourites: our model gives USD Casatese 29%, the draw 23% and Pistoiese 48%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 63% chance in our model.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.3 goals in total, with a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is USD Casatese vs Pistoiese?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 4th October 2026 at 14:00.