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USA vs Chile Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: Friendlies · Friendly International
USA

USA

LWWWW
Full time
4:2
HT 1 - 1
Chile

Chile

LWLLW
12' Jonathan Villagra
37' S. Berhalter
45' D. Ulloa
49' M. Gutierrez
51' J. Hall
72' C. Richards
90+8' Chris Richards
90+8' Leandro Hernández
90' M. Albert
Wednesday, 30 September 2026
Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego
Jorge Abraham Camacho Peregrina, Mexico

Head to head

Last 1 meetings
1games
0USA wins
1Draws
0Chile wins
2Goals per game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
26 Mar 2019Friendlies USA 1 - 1 Chile

Top scorers

Friendlies
1 M. OsmajićMontenegro 5goals 0assists 4apps
2 Son Heung-MinSouth Korea 5goals 0assists 8apps
3 L. SadulaevRussia 4goals 1assists 7apps
4 J. VélezPeru 4goals 0assists 8apps
5 D. LukebakioBelgium 4goals 0assists 3apps
6 F. WirtzGermany 3goals 2assists 4apps
7 N. PazArgentina 3goals 1assists 6apps
8 M. AraújoUruguay 3goals 1assists 5apps
9 J. HallUSA 3goals 1assists 4apps
10 M. OliseFrance 3goals 1assists 4apps

Recent form

7 W 0 D 3 L in the last 10
07 Oct 2026Friendlies USA 1 - 0 Canada W
04 Oct 2026Friendlies USA 3 - 0 Mexico W
30 Sep 2026Friendlies USA 4 - 2 Chile W
26 Sep 2026Friendlies USA 4 - 1 Peru W
07 Jul 2026World Cup USA 1 - 4 Belgium L
02 Jul 2026World Cup USA 2 - 0 Bosnia & Herzegovina W
26 Jun 2026World Cup Türkiye 3 - 2 USA L
19 Jun 2026World Cup USA 2 - 0 Australia W
13 Jun 2026World Cup USA 4 - 1 Paraguay W
06 Jun 2026Friendlies USA 1 - 2 Germany L
5 W 0 D 4 L in the last 9
07 Oct 2026Friendlies Mexico 0 - 2 Chile W
30 Sep 2026Friendlies USA 4 - 2 Chile L
26 Sep 2026Friendlies Canada 1 - 0 Chile L
09 Jun 2026Friendlies Congo DR 1 - 2 Chile W
06 Jun 2026Friendlies Portugal 2 - 1 Chile L
30 Mar 2026FIFA Series New Zealand 4 - 1 Chile L
27 Mar 2026FIFA Series Chile 4 - 2 Cape Verde Islands W
18 Nov 2025Friendlies Chile 2 - 1 Peru W
15 Nov 2025Friendlies Russia 0 - 2 Chile W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
USA Draw Chile
Value spotted: Chile win at 7.11 (model 40% vs market 14%)

Most likely scores

1-1 9.8%
1-2 8.4%
2-1 8.1%
2-2 6.9%
0-1 6%
1-0 5.8%

Expected goals: 1.65 USA · 1.7 Chile

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Over 3.5 goals43%
Both teams score66%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
67%
Form
33%
77%
Attack
23%
25%
Defence
75%
43%
Goal model
57%
50%
Head to head
50%
50%
Goals
50%
52%
Overall
48%

Season numbers

Friendlies 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
2
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
1
3
61-75'
0
2
76-90'
2
2
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
0
3
31-45'
0
5
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
1
USA Chile

Side by side

USA Chile
5 Played 3
2 Won 1
0 Drawn 0
3 Lost 2
2 Goals scored per game 1
2.4 Goals conceded per game 1.3
2 / 0 Scored per game (home / away) 0 / 1
0 Clean sheets 0
1 Failed to score 1
1 Longest winning run 1
4-1 Biggest win 1-2
2-5 Biggest defeat 2-1
1/1 Penalties scored 0/0

USA vs Chile: preview and prediction

USA host Chile in the World Friendlies (Friendly International) on Wednesday, 30th September 2026 at 01:00 at Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego.

USA are flying, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-W-W-W-W). Chile are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-L-W).

In the last 1 meetings, USA won 0, Chile won 0 and 1 ended level. These games average 2 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% and over 2.5 goals in 0%.

Our goal model expects about 1.65 goals for USA and 1.7 for Chile. It gives Chile the edge (38% home win, 23% draw, 40% away win), 65% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home Win at odds of 1.52. We also like Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

USA vs Chile FAQs

What is the best prediction for USA vs Chile?

Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (1.52 odds).

Who will win USA vs Chile?

Chile are favourites: our model gives USA 38%, the draw 23% and Chile 40%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 66% chance in our model, and it happened in 100% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.3 goals in total, with a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is USA vs Chile?

Kick-off is on Wednesday, 30th September 2026 at 01:00 at Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego.

Who is the referee?

Jorge Abraham Camacho Peregrina, Mexico is in charge of this game.