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US Virgin Islands vs Saint Martin Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: CONCACAF Nations League · League C - 3
US Virgin Islands

US Virgin Islands

LWWLW
Full time
0:5
HT 0 - 1
Saint Martin

Saint Martin

WWLWW
44' A. Raga Rigobert
49' R. Denis
58' Axel Bartsch
83' P. Arne
86' P. Arne
89' P. Arne
Thursday, 1 October 2026
Bethlehem Soccer Stadium, Upper Bethlehem
J. Leiton

Head to head

Last 3 meetings
3games
2US Virgin Islands wins
0Draws
1Saint Martin wins
2.7Goals per game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
26 Sep 2026CONCACAF Nations League Saint Martin 0 - 2 US Virgin Islands
20 Nov 2019CONCACAF Nations League US Virgin Islands 1 - 2 Saint Martin
08 Sep 2019CONCACAF Nations League Saint Martin 1 - 2 US Virgin Islands

Top scorers

CONCACAF Nations League
1 O. AndersonSt. Vincent / Grenadines 6goals 0assists 3apps
2 T. GaleBarbados 6goals 2assists 4apps
3 C. MoraCosta Rica 4goals 0assists 4apps
4 K. GorréCuraçao 4goals 0assists 4apps
5 P. ArnéSaint Martin 4goals 0assists 0apps
6 A. Raga RigobertSaint Martin 4goals 1assists 0apps
7 L. TaylorMontserrat 4goals 0assists 4apps
8 O. GlasgowGuyana 3goals 4assists 4apps
9 N. Reid-StephenBarbados 3goals 3assists 4apps
10 W. IsidorHaiti 3goals 2assists 4apps

Recent form

4 W 1 D 5 L in the last 10
04 Oct 2026CONCACAF Nations League Bahamas 2 - 3 US Virgin Islands W
01 Oct 2026CONCACAF Nations League US Virgin Islands 0 - 5 Saint Martin L
29 Sep 2026CONCACAF Nations League US Virgin Islands 3 - 1 Bahamas W
26 Sep 2026CONCACAF Nations League Saint Martin 0 - 2 US Virgin Islands W
29 Mar 2026FIFA Series Puerto Rico 2 - 0 US Virgin Islands L
25 Mar 2026FIFA Series US Virgin Islands 5 - 2 American Samoa W
15 Nov 2025Friendlies Grenada 4 - 1 US Virgin Islands L
14 Aug 2025Friendlies US Virgin Islands 1 - 1 Turks and Caicos Islands D
13 Oct 2024CONCACAF Nations League Bahamas 3 - 1 US Virgin Islands L
10 Oct 2024CONCACAF Nations League US Virgin Islands 0 - 5 Barbados L
6 W 0 D 4 L in the last 10
06 Oct 2026CONCACAF Nations League Saint Martin 6 - 0 Bahamas W
01 Oct 2026CONCACAF Nations League US Virgin Islands 0 - 5 Saint Martin W
26 Sep 2026CONCACAF Nations League Saint Martin 0 - 2 US Virgin Islands L
23 Sep 2026CONCACAF Nations League Bahamas 0 - 8 Saint Martin W
30 Mar 2026CONCACAF Series Bonaire 0 - 3 Saint Martin W
26 Mar 2026CONCACAF Series Saint Martin 3 - 1 Barbados W
15 Nov 2025CONCACAF Series Saint Martin 0 - 1 Belize L
12 Nov 2025CONCACAF Series Dominica 1 - 2 Saint Martin W
09 Nov 2025Friendlies Saint Martin 1 - 2 Anguilla L
05 Oct 2025Friendlies St. Kitts and Nevis 2 - 1 Saint Martin L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
US Virgin Islands Draw Saint Martin

Most likely scores

1-3 5.3%
1-4 5.3%
2-3 5.3%
2-4 5.3%
1-5 4.2%
2-5 4.2%

Expected goals: 2 US Virgin Islands · 4 Saint Martin

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals93%
Over 2.5 goals89%
Over 3.5 goals80%
Both teams score80%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
67%
Form
33%
38%
Attack
62%
67%
Defence
33%
0%
Goal model
100%
67%
Head to head
33%
63%
Goals
38%
60%
Overall
39%

Season numbers

CONCACAF Nations League 2025

When the goals come

1
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
2
1
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
1
US Virgin Islands Saint Martin

Side by side

US Virgin Islands Saint Martin
2 Played 2
2 Won 1
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 1
2.5 Goals scored per game 4
0.5 Goals conceded per game 1
3 / 2 Scored per game (home / away) 0 / 8
1 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 1
2 Longest winning run 1
3-1 Biggest win 0-8
- Biggest defeat 0-2
0/0 Penalties scored 1/1

US Virgin Islands vs Saint Martin: preview and prediction

US Virgin Islands host Saint Martin in the World CONCACAF Nations League (League C - 3) on Thursday, 1st October 2026 at 21:00 at Bethlehem Soccer Stadium, Upper Bethlehem.

US Virgin Islands are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-W-L-W). Saint Martin are flying, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-L-W-W).

In the last 3 meetings, US Virgin Islands won 2, Saint Martin won 1 and 0 ended level. These games average 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 goals in 67%.

Our goal model expects about 2 goals for US Virgin Islands and 4 for Saint Martin. It gives Saint Martin the edge (15% home win, 12% draw, 68% away win), 89% for over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-3.

Our pick was Home Win at odds of 9.15.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

US Virgin Islands vs Saint Martin FAQs

What is the best prediction for US Virgin Islands vs Saint Martin?

Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (9.15 odds).

Who will win US Virgin Islands vs Saint Martin?

Saint Martin are favourites: our model gives US Virgin Islands 15%, the draw 12% and Saint Martin 68%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 80% chance in our model, and it happened in 67% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 6 goals in total, with a 89% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is US Virgin Islands vs Saint Martin?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 1st October 2026 at 21:00 at Bethlehem Soccer Stadium, Upper Bethlehem.

Who is the referee?

J. Leiton is in charge of this game.