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Union Magdalena vs Real Cartagena Prediction, H2H & Stats

Colombia: Primera B · Apertura Quadrangular - 4
Union Magdalena

Union Magdalena

3rd in table
DWWDD
Full time
3:0
HT 1 - 0
Real Cartagena

Real Cartagena

4th in table
DWDDL
34' A. Carreno
35' G. Arrieta
62' J. Lerma
68' A. Carreno (Penalty)
71' A. Escobar
71' V. Cabezas
73'
80' A. Carreno (Penalty)
90+4'
90+4' C. Florez
Tuesday, 12 May 2026
Estadio Sierra Nevada, Santa Marta

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7games
3Union Magdalena wins
1Draws
3Real Cartagena wins
2.6Goals per game
57%Both scored
57%Over 2.5
09 May 2026Primera B Real Cartagena 2 - 1 Union Magdalena
23 Mar 2026Primera B Real Cartagena 2 - 1 Union Magdalena
25 Aug 2024Primera B Real Cartagena 2 - 0 Union Magdalena
11 Mar 2024Primera B Union Magdalena 2 - 2 Real Cartagena
31 Aug 2021Primera B Union Magdalena 1 - 0 Real Cartagena
15 Feb 2021Primera B Union Magdalena 2 - 1 Real Cartagena
08 Mar 2020Primera B Real Cartagena 0 - 2 Union Magdalena

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Quindio 3820108 43:28 +15 70 WWWWD
2 Envigado 4018148 54:34 +20 68 DWWWD
3 Union Magdalena 3817129 52:36 +16 63 DDWWD
4 Real Cartagena 40161410 62:46 +16 62 LDDWD
5 Internacional Palmira 3617109 43:33 +10 61 LLDDL
6 Tigres FC 38121412 35:31 +4 50 DDLDD
7 Ind. Yumbo 3212119 35:29 +6 47 LLLWD
8 Bogota FC 36101412 30:36 -6 44 DWDDD
9 Real Cundinamarca 32101210 34:32 +2 42 DLWDD
10 Barranquilla 36101016 44:48 -4 40 DLDWD
11 Popayan 3291112 40:43 -3 38 WDWLL
12 Patriotas 309813 30:40 -10 35 LLLDL
13 Orsomarso 3081012 24:31 -7 34 WLDWL
14 Depor FC 306915 28:44 -16 27 LLWDL
15 Real Santander 3051213 26:43 -17 27 DWDWL
16 Leones FC 305916 20:46 -26 24 LLWDD

Top scorers

Primera B
1 F. MonteroReal Cartagena 3goals 0assists 4apps
2 Alberto OrozcoBarranquilla 1goals 0assists 4apps
3 J. HernándezEnvigado 0goals 0assists 2apps
4 Tomas MolinaPatriotas 0goals 0assists 1apps
5 Juan SanchezPatriotas 0goals 0assists 1apps
6 Luys CaicedoReal Santander 0goals 0assists 1apps

Recent form

3 W 7 D 0 L in the last 10
02 Nov 2026Primera B Union Magdalena 1 - 1 Envigado D
29 Oct 2026Primera B Popayan 1 - 1 Union Magdalena D
24 Oct 2026Primera B Union Magdalena 1 - 0 Depor FC W
19 Oct 2026Primera B Internacional Palmira 0 - 1 Union Magdalena W
15 Oct 2026Primera B Union Magdalena 1 - 1 Ind. Yumbo D
11 Oct 2026Primera B Union Magdalena 2 - 2 Leones FC D
07 Oct 2026Primera B Popayan 1 - 1 Union Magdalena D
03 Oct 2026Primera B Real Santander 1 - 3 Union Magdalena W
29 Sep 2026Primera B Union Magdalena 1 - 1 Real Cartagena D
25 Sep 2026Copa Colombia Union Magdalena 1 - 1 Santa Fe D
1 W 6 D 3 L in the last 10
04 Nov 2026Primera B Real Cartagena 2 - 3 Quindio L
29 Oct 2026Primera B Tigres FC 0 - 0 Real Cartagena D
24 Oct 2026Primera B Barranquilla 1 - 1 Real Cartagena D
19 Oct 2026Primera B Real Cartagena 3 - 0 Patriotas W
16 Oct 2026Primera B Quindio 1 - 1 Real Cartagena D
08 Oct 2026Primera B Depor FC 2 - 2 Real Cartagena D
04 Oct 2026Primera B Real Cartagena 2 - 3 Popayan L
29 Sep 2026Primera B Union Magdalena 1 - 1 Real Cartagena D
22 Sep 2026Primera B Real Cartagena 0 - 0 Envigado D
12 Sep 2026Primera B Internacional Palmira 2 - 1 Real Cartagena L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Union Magdalena Draw Real Cartagena

Most likely scores

1-0 16.5%
0-0 15.7%
1-1 13.2%
0-1 12.6%
2-0 8.7%
2-1 6.9%

Expected goals: 1.05 Union Magdalena · 0.8 Real Cartagena

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals55%
Over 2.5 goals28%
Over 3.5 goals12%
Both teams score36%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
58%
Attack
42%
45%
Defence
55%
53%
Goal model
47%
29%
Head to head
71%
38%
Goals
62%
45%
Overall
54%

Season numbers

Primera B 2026

When the goals come

4
0-15'
2
5
16-30'
6
6
31-45'
10
3
46-60'
2
7
61-75'
3
6
76-90'
4
3
0-15'
1
4
16-30'
3
6
31-45'
4
3
46-60'
3
1
61-75'
5
1
76-90'
0
Union Magdalena Real Cartagena

Side by side

Union Magdalena Real Cartagena
18 Played 18
11 Won 9
3 Drawn 6
4 Lost 3
1.7 Goals scored per game 1.5
1 Goals conceded per game 0.9
1.6 / 1.9 Scored per game (home / away) 2.2 / 0.6
5 Clean sheets 7
3 Failed to score 3
4 Longest winning run 2
4-2 Biggest win 4-0
0-2 Biggest defeat 1-3
4/4 Penalties scored 5/5

Union Magdalena vs Real Cartagena: preview and prediction

Union Magdalena host Real Cartagena in the Colombia Primera B (Apertura Quadrangular - 4) on Tuesday, 12th May 2026 at 22:00 at Estadio Sierra Nevada, Santa Marta. Union Magdalena sit 3rd in the table and Real Cartagena 4th.

Union Magdalena are unbeaten, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-W-D-D). Real Cartagena have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-W-D-D-L).

In the last 7 meetings, Union Magdalena won 3, Real Cartagena won 3 and 1 ended level. These games average 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% and over 2.5 goals in 57%.

Our goal model expects about 1.05 goals for Union Magdalena and 0.8 for Real Cartagena. It gives Union Magdalena the edge (41% home win, 32% draw, 27% away win), 28% for over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.73. We also like Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Union Magdalena vs Real Cartagena FAQs

What is the best prediction for Union Magdalena vs Real Cartagena?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.73 odds).

Who will win Union Magdalena vs Real Cartagena?

Union Magdalena are favourites: our model gives Union Magdalena 41%, the draw 32% and Real Cartagena 27%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 36% chance in our model, and it happened in 57% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 1.9 goals in total, with a 28% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Union Magdalena vs Real Cartagena?

Kick-off is on Tuesday, 12th May 2026 at 22:00 at Estadio Sierra Nevada, Santa Marta.