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Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04 Prediction, H2H & Stats

Germany: Bundesliga · Regular Season - 3
Union Berlin

Union Berlin

17th in table
WWDDL
Full time
1:3
HT 0 - 1
FC Schalke 04

FC Schalke 04

16th in table
WLLDL
25' Robin Gosens
45' Aljoscha Kemlein
46' Adil Aouchiche
74' Marin Ljubičić
78' Felix Uduokhai
90+6' Tim Skarke
90+13' Maximilian Wöber
90+9' Loris Karius
Friday, 11 September 2026
An der Alten Försterei, Berlin
Timo Gerach, Germany

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
6games
1Union Berlin wins
4Draws
1FC Schalke 04 wins
2.3Goals per game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
19 Feb 2023Bundesliga Union Berlin 0 - 0 FC Schalke 04
27 Aug 2022Bundesliga FC Schalke 04 1 - 6 Union Berlin
13 Feb 2021Bundesliga Union Berlin 0 - 0 FC Schalke 04
18 Oct 2020Bundesliga FC Schalke 04 1 - 1 Union Berlin
07 Jun 2020Bundesliga Union Berlin 1 - 1 FC Schalke 04
29 Nov 2019Bundesliga FC Schalke 04 2 - 1 Union Berlin

Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Bayern München 7520 25:6 +19 17 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 7520 12:4 +8 17 WDDWW
3 SC Freiburg 7412 16:9 +7 13 LLWDW
4 Bayer Leverkusen 7412 16:12 +4 13 LWWWD
5 RB Leipzig 7403 20:11 +9 12 WLWLW
6 Werder Bremen 7331 15:14 +1 12 WDDWD
7 FSV Mainz 05 7313 16:13 +3 10 LWLWL
8 SV Elversberg 7313 12:15 -3 10 LWLDL
9 FC Augsburg 7232 17:13 +4 9 DLDLD
10 1899 Hoffenheim 7304 14:14 0 9 WWLLW
11 Hamburger SV 7304 6:16 -10 9 LWWWL
12 1. FC Köln 7223 8:11 -3 8 DLWLD
13 SC Paderborn 07 7223 6:9 -3 8 WDLWL
14 Eintracht Frankfurt 7223 10:17 -7 8 LWLDW
15 VfB Stuttgart 7205 10:13 -3 6 LLWLL
16 FC Schalke 04 7133 4:7 -3 6 DLLDW
17 Union Berlin 7133 6:18 -12 6 DDWLL
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 7106 11:22 -11 3 WLLLL

Top scorers

Bundesliga
1 N. FüllkrugWerder Bremen 8goals 0assists 7apps
2 M. OliseBayern München 6goals 3assists 7apps
3 P. SchickBayer Leverkusen 6goals 2assists 7apps
4 Y. EbnoutalibEintracht Frankfurt 5goals 1assists 7apps
5 P. TietzFSV Mainz 05 5goals 0assists 7apps
6 C. NkunkuRB Leipzig 4goals 1assists 6apps
7 L. DíazBayern München 4goals 1assists 6apps
8 Y. SuzukiSC Freiburg 4goals 0assists 6apps
9 H. KaneBayern München 4goals 5assists 7apps
10 M. GregoritschFC Augsburg 4goals 0assists 7apps

Recent form

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
27 Oct 2026DFB Pokal 1. FC Köln 5 - 0 Union Berlin L
24 Oct 2026Bundesliga FC Augsburg 1 - 1 Union Berlin D
17 Oct 2026Bundesliga Union Berlin 0 - 0 Borussia Dortmund D
10 Oct 2026Bundesliga Union Berlin 1 - 0 SV Elversberg W
26 Sep 2026Friendlies Clubs HNK Rijeka 0 - 1 Union Berlin W
18 Sep 2026Bundesliga Bayern München 7 - 0 Union Berlin L
11 Sep 2026Bundesliga Union Berlin 1 - 3 FC Schalke 04 L
05 Sep 2026Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen 4 - 0 Union Berlin L
29 Aug 2026Bundesliga Union Berlin 3 - 3 Eintracht Frankfurt D
23 Aug 2026DFB Pokal Eintracht Braunschweig 2 - 4 Union Berlin W
3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
28 Oct 2026DFB Pokal Dynamo Dresden 2 - 0 FC Schalke 04 L
24 Oct 2026Bundesliga 1. FC Köln 0 - 0 FC Schalke 04 D
17 Oct 2026Bundesliga FC Schalke 04 0 - 1 FSV Mainz 05 L
11 Oct 2026Bundesliga SC Freiburg 2 - 1 FC Schalke 04 L
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Austria Lustenau 0 - 1 FC Schalke 04 W
24 Sep 2026Friendlies Clubs Rot-weiss Oberhausen 2 - 5 FC Schalke 04 W
20 Sep 2026Bundesliga FC Schalke 04 0 - 0 SV Elversberg D
11 Sep 2026Bundesliga Union Berlin 1 - 3 FC Schalke 04 W
05 Sep 2026Bundesliga FC Schalke 04 0 - 0 Bayern München D
30 Aug 2026Bundesliga FC Augsburg 3 - 0 FC Schalke 04 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Union Berlin Draw FC Schalke 04
Value spotted: Union Berlin win at 2.39 (model 74% vs market 41%)

Most likely scores

2-1 8.2%
3-1 8.2%
2-0 7.5%
3-0 7.5%
4-1 6.2%
4-0 5.6%

Expected goals: 3 Union Berlin · 1.1 FC Schalke 04

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals90%
Over 2.5 goals76%
Over 3.5 goals57%
Both teams score63%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
100%
Attack
0%
30%
Defence
70%
100%
Goal model
0%
64%
Head to head
36%
73%
Goals
27%
54%
Overall
45%

Season numbers

Bundesliga 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
2
76-90'
0
3
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
2
Union Berlin FC Schalke 04

Side by side

Union Berlin FC Schalke 04
2 Played 2
0 Won 0
1 Drawn 1
1 Lost 1
1.5 Goals scored per game 0
3.5 Goals conceded per game 1.5
3 / 0 Scored per game (home / away) 0 / 0
0 Clean sheets 1
1 Failed to score 2
0 Longest winning run 0
- Biggest win -
4-0 Biggest defeat 3-0
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04: preview and prediction

Union Berlin host FC Schalke 04 in the Germany Bundesliga (Regular Season - 3) on Friday, 11th September 2026 at 19:30 at An der Alten Försterei, Berlin. Union Berlin sit 17th in the table and FC Schalke 04 16th.

Union Berlin have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-D-D-L). FC Schalke 04 are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-L-D-L).

In the last 6 meetings, Union Berlin won 1, FC Schalke 04 won 1 and 4 ended level. These games average 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 goals in 33%.

Our goal model expects about 3 goals for Union Berlin and 1.1 for FC Schalke 04. It gives Union Berlin the edge (74% home win, 14% draw, 11% away win), 76% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-1.

Our pick was Over 2.5 at odds of 1.70. We also like BTTS Yes, Over 0.5, Home Wins Either Half.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04 FAQs

What is the best prediction for Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04?

Our top tip is Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5 (1.70 odds).

Who will win Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04?

Union Berlin are favourites: our model gives Union Berlin 74%, the draw 14% and FC Schalke 04 11%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 63% chance in our model, and it happened in 67% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 4.1 goals in total, with a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04?

Kick-off is on Friday, 11th September 2026 at 19:30 at An der Alten Försterei, Berlin.

Who is the referee?

Timo Gerach, Germany is in charge of this game.