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U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Toluca Prediction, H2H & Stats

Mexico: Liga MX · Clausura - 9
U.N.A.M. - Pumas

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

1st in table
LDWLD
Full time
2:3
HT 1 - 1
Toluca

Toluca

5th in table
LLDDD
29' R. Morales (Penalty)
37' J. Angulo
38' Jesús Ricardo Angulo
63' A. Angulo
73' D. Barbosa
79' Paulinho
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
Estadio Olimpico Universitario, Mexico City
M. Ortiz

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
1U.N.A.M. - Pumas wins
6Draws
1Toluca wins
2.6Goals per game
88%Both scored
38%Over 2.5
17 Aug 2025Liga MX Toluca 1 - 1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas
30 Jan 2025Liga MX U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1 - 1 Toluca
06 Oct 2024Liga MX Toluca 1 - 1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas
18 Mar 2024Liga MX Toluca 3 - 0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas
19 Aug 2023Liga MX U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1 - 1 Toluca
16 Apr 2023Liga MX U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3 - 1 Toluca
14 Dec 2022Copa por México U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1 - 1 Toluca
11 Sep 2022Liga MX Toluca 2 - 2 U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Liga MX table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 171061 34:17 +17 36 LDWLD
2 Guadalajara Chivas 171133 33:17 +16 36 LDWLD
3 Cruz Azul 17962 31:18 +13 33 WDWDW
4 CF Pachuca 17944 25:19 +6 31 LWWWL
5 Toluca 17863 28:16 +12 30 LLWLL
6 Atlas 17755 16:18 -2 26 LLWDW
7 Tigres UANL 17746 28:18 +10 25 LWWDD
8 Club America 17746 20:17 +3 25 DDLWW
9 Club Tijuana 17584 19:17 +2 23 DWDWW
10 Leon 17719 22:32 -10 22 LLWWW
11 Club Queretaro 17485 17:21 -4 20 WDDWD
12 FC Juarez 17548 26:32 -6 19 WLLLD
13 Monterrey 17539 22:24 -2 18 LWLDL
14 Atletico San Luis 17539 24:27 -3 18 LWLDW
15 Necaxa 17539 19:25 -6 18 LDDLW
16 Mazatlán 174310 22:37 -15 15 LWDLL
17 Puebla 173410 13:26 -13 13 LLLLD
18 Santos Laguna 173311 20:38 -18 12 WLLLD

Top scorers

Liga MX
1 J. GalvãoAtletico San Luis 26goals 1assists 33apps
2 A. GonzálezGuadalajara Chivas 24goals 2assists 34apps
3 J. BrunettaTigres UANL 19goals 9assists 39apps
4 PaulinhoToluca 18goals 4assists 33apps
5 Á. CorreaTigres UANL 16goals 12assists 38apps
6 Ó. EstupiñánFC Juarez 15goals 2assists 31apps
7 D. CambindoLeon 14goals 4assists 31apps
8 G. FernándezCruz Azul 14goals 6assists 34apps
9 G. BerterameMonterrey 13goals 3assists 22apps
10 Sergio CanalesMonterrey 13goals 6assists 29apps

Recent form

2 W 4 D 4 L in the last 10
25 Oct 2026Liga MX U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1 - 1 Tigres UANL D
22 Oct 2026Liga MX Santos Laguna 2 - 0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas L
17 Oct 2026Liga MX Atlante FC 1 - 2 U.N.A.M. - Pumas W
12 Oct 2026Liga MX U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3 - 3 Cruz Azul D
27 Sep 2026Liga MX U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2 - 3 Atletico San Luis L
19 Sep 2026Liga MX Atlas 1 - 1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas D
14 Sep 2026Liga MX Guadalajara Chivas 3 - 0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas L
11 Sep 2026Liga MX U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3 - 1 Leon W
29 Aug 2026Liga MX Club Tijuana 2 - 0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas L
24 Aug 2026Liga MX U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1 - 1 Necaxa D
3 W 4 D 3 L in the last 10
24 Oct 2026Liga MX Leon 1 - 1 Toluca D
22 Oct 2026Liga MX Toluca 2 - 2 Club Tijuana D
18 Oct 2026Liga MX Toluca 1 - 1 Atletico San Luis D
10 Oct 2026Liga MX Tigres UANL 3 - 2 Toluca L
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Monterrey 2 - 1 Toluca L
26 Sep 2026Liga MX Cruz Azul 3 - 3 Toluca D
21 Sep 2026Liga MX Toluca 2 - 3 Santos Laguna L
16 Sep 2026Liga MX Puebla 0 - 1 Toluca W
12 Sep 2026Liga MX Toluca 5 - 2 Atlas W
07 Sep 2026Leagues Cup Toluca 2 - 0 Monterrey W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Draw Toluca
Value spotted: U.N.A.M. - Pumas win at 3.58 (model 32% vs market 26%)

Most likely scores

1-1 13.3%
0-1 12.6%
1-0 11.1%
0-0 10.5%
1-2 8%
0-2 7.6%

Expected goals: 1.05 U.N.A.M. - Pumas · 1.2 Toluca

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals66%
Over 2.5 goals39%
Over 3.5 goals19%
Both teams score45%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
63%
Attack
37%
17%
Defence
83%
33%
Goal model
67%
36%
Head to head
64%
36%
Goals
64%
39%
Overall
60%

Season numbers

Liga MX 2025

When the goals come

7
0-15'
5
5
16-30'
14
11
31-45'
10
5
46-60'
14
4
61-75'
6
9
76-90'
11
4
0-15'
5
3
16-30'
3
8
31-45'
7
5
46-60'
5
7
61-75'
3
7
76-90'
4
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Toluca

Side by side

U.N.A.M. - Pumas Toluca
26 Played 31
9 Won 19
10 Drawn 8
7 Lost 4
1.5 Goals scored per game 2
1.3 Goals conceded per game 0.8
1.5 / 1.6 Scored per game (home / away) 2.5 / 1.5
6 Clean sheets 13
3 Failed to score 8
2 Longest winning run 7
4-0 Biggest win 6-2
2-3 Biggest defeat 3-4
6/6 Penalties scored 6/6

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Toluca: preview and prediction

U.N.A.M. - Pumas host Toluca in the Mexico Liga MX (Clausura - 9) on Wednesday, 4th March 2026 at 04:10 at Estadio Olimpico Universitario, Mexico City. U.N.A.M. - Pumas sit 1st in the table and Toluca 5th.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-W-L-D). Toluca are still looking for a win, with 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-D-D-D).

In the last 8 meetings, U.N.A.M. - Pumas won 1, Toluca won 1 and 6 ended level. These games average 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 88% and over 2.5 goals in 38%.

Our goal model expects about 1.05 goals for U.N.A.M. - Pumas and 1.2 for Toluca. It gives Toluca the edge (32% home win, 29% draw, 39% away win), 39% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.26.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Toluca FAQs

What is the best prediction for U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Toluca?

Our top tip is Free Tip: Away or Draw (1.26 odds).

Who will win U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Toluca?

Toluca are favourites: our model gives U.N.A.M. - Pumas 32%, the draw 29% and Toluca 39%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 45% chance in our model, and it happened in 88% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.3 goals in total, with a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Toluca?

Kick-off is on Wednesday, 4th March 2026 at 04:10 at Estadio Olimpico Universitario, Mexico City.

Who is the referee?

M. Ortiz is in charge of this game.